No position
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $2.04K
- Potential payout
- $2.9K
- Potential profit
- $854.55
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $21.77
Polymarket Trader
doubleone2
0xff9152ac8cb6260419ea8940248177083aceab3a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.06K
- Realized PnL
- $35.78K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 21
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $24.65
- Potential payout
- $1.7K
- Potential profit
- $1.68K
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$146.63
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Current value
- $1.26K
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $37.7
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $70.3
No position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $989.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $10.5
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $96.5
No position
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $996.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $3.5
- User PnL
- $33.5
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $104.88
- Potential payout
- $749.14
- Potential profit
- $644.26
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$14.23
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $437.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $62.5
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $2.5
No position
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $184.16
- Potential payout
- $491.1
- Potential profit
- $306.94
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- $21.27
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.1%
- Current value
- $32.2
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $367.8
- Multiplier
- 12.42x
- User PnL
- -$7.8
Yes position
Will Waymo operate in 8 cities on June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.8%
- Current value
- $54.03
- Potential payout
- $322.55
- Potential profit
- $268.52
- Multiplier
- 5.97x
- User PnL
- -$16.08
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $163.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $136.5
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- -$19.5
No position
Iran Nuke before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $277.35
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $22.65
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $7.05
Yes position
Will Waymo operate in 7 cities on June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.6%
- Current value
- $133.31
- Potential payout
- $280.07
- Potential profit
- $146.76
- Multiplier
- 2.10x
- User PnL
- $83.3
No position
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.7%
- Current value
- $39.46
- Potential payout
- $211
- Potential profit
- $171.54
- Multiplier
- 5.35x
- User PnL
- $5.55
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $175
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $25
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $7
Yes position
Will Waymo operate in 6 cities on June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $3.06
- Potential payout
- $135.98
- Potential profit
- $132.92
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$16.72
No position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $47.56
- Potential payout
- $117.42
- Potential profit
- $69.86
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $1.76
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $67.83
- Potential payout
- $103.56
- Potential profit
- $35.73
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $18.9
No position
Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25%
- Current value
- $25
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $75
- Multiplier
- 4.00x
- User PnL
- -$21
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $24.44
- Potential profit
- $24.43
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$21.08
No position
Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $0.99
- Potential payout
- $1.11
- Potential profit
- $0.12
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.16
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.13K
No position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.7K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.16K
Yes position
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.11K
No position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05K
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.01K
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.97K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9K
No position
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.69K
No position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.59K
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.53K
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.45K
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.35K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28K
Yes position
Will MrBeast's latest video get less than 45 million views on week 1?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11K
No position
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.06K
No position
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02K
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $990.36
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $884.85
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $813.02
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $788.44
No position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $765.26
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $741.46
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $673.31
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?Yes 65.2% 59.73 shares
- Will Waymo operate in 6 cities on June 30 2026?Yes 2.2% 174.33 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?Yes 54.3% 59.73 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 45.4% 41.95 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?No 21.5% 27.41 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 40.1% 41.95 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 37% 621.42 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No 25% 409.99 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 39.9% 300 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Yes 63% 157.24 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Yes 63% 353.82 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 16% 220 shares