Polymarket Trader

DonJoey1

0xff91aff2e663ef5753063241755ae6de10a8a1ed

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $12.47K
Realized PnL: $98.72K
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 21
Closed positions: 16
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.48K
Potential profit: $32.48K
User PnL: -$5K

Yes position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $40.87
Potential payout: $13.62K
Potential profit: $13.58K
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$591.12

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.83K
Potential profit: $11.83K
User PnL: -$168

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $11.26K
Potential payout: $11.67K
Potential profit: $408.35
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $6.26K

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.91K
Potential profit: $10.91K
User PnL: -$1.83K

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on March 1, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.79K
Potential profit: $10.79K
User PnL: -$500

No position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$10

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $13.93
Potential payout: $9.29K
Potential profit: $9.27K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$4.99K

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.88K
Potential profit: $6.88K
User PnL: -$1.5K

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 15?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.38K
Potential profit: $6.38K
User PnL: -$999.24

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $1.16K
Potential payout: $6.26K
Potential profit: $5.1K
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $157.22

Yes position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.06K
Potential profit: $6.06K
User PnL: -$500

Yes position

Houthi strike on Israel by March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.56K
Potential profit: $5.56K
User PnL: -$917

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.26K
Potential profit: $5.26K
User PnL: -$999.49

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.92K
Potential profit: $4.92K
User PnL: -$2K

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.26K
Potential profit: $3.26K
User PnL: -$945

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.37K
Potential profit: $2.37K
User PnL: -$500

Yes position

Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.04K
Potential profit: $2.04K
User PnL: -$500

Yes position

Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.52K
Potential profit: $1.52K
User PnL: -$688.94

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1AM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
User PnL: -$500

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6AM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $987.62
Potential profit: $987.62
User PnL: -$500

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.11K

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.05K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.25K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.17K

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.14K

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.34K

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.27K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $425.93

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2AM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $419.16

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3AM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $288.49

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$72.82

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 25, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$336.3

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$976.97

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.78K

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$2K

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.58K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?

Yes 43.2% 11,136.97 shares
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Yes 16% 6,255.21 shares
Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?

Yes 35.4% 530.1 shares
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?

Yes 7.2% 10,131.11 shares
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?

Yes 24.7% 10,131.12 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 53.8% 9,286.86 shares
Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?

Yes 29% 3,260 shares
Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?

Yes 40.6% 4,922.04 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 11?

Yes 21.1% 2,370.07 shares
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15?

Yes 4.6% 13,623.45 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Yes 21% 3,979.17 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Yes 14.4% 6,929.72 shares