No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $273.87
- Potential payout
- $306
- Potential profit
- $32.13
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $10.71
Polymarket Trader
0xfFaCd701B7b6Dc7F029CDF5264CCE5a06ab8BBf5-1771225579324
0xffacd701b7b6dc7f029cdf5264cce5a06ab8bbf5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $537.65
- Realized PnL
- $1.62K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $263.78
- Potential payout
- $266.85
- Potential profit
- $3.07
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $20.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $174
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $120
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.98
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.67
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4PM ET
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $92.38
Up position
Solana Up or Down - March 27, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.41
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.3
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $64
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.5
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down on March 30?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $59.83
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 27, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.83
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 12PM ET
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.09
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.81
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.33
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 28?
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.6
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 26, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.49
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 4AM ET
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.89
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 1, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.99
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 27, 4AM ET
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.28
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 6?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $42.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 8PM ET
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $42.34
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.99
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?No 86% 40 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?No 86% 266 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 99% 266.84 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 92.7% 79.99 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?No 91.6% 68 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 89.9% 76.3 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 91.1% 30 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 91.1% 200 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 91.1% 200 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 91.1% 100 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?Yes 78% 472.57 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Yes 99.7% 380 shares