0xFFAedEa5699dC2BCbCA0ac466e4bB4cf111d5C98-1781442354502

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $2.46
Potential payout: $27.28
Potential profit: $24.82
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: $0.49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 6.6%
Current value: $1.71
Potential payout: $26.1
Potential profit: $24.39
Multiplier: 15.27x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $0.64
Potential payout: $23.8
Potential profit: $23.15
Multiplier: 37.04x
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$0.04

No position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $19.97
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $19.3
Potential payout: $19.36
Potential profit: $0.07
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.41
Potential profit: $16.41
User PnL: -$0.03

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $15.41
Potential payout: $15.48
Potential profit: $0.07
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.61
Potential profit: $10.61
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $6.88
Potential payout: $9.76
Potential profit: $2.88
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $2.82

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $6.41
Potential payout: $8.6
Potential profit: $2.19
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $1.99

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.29
Potential profit: $7.29
User PnL: -$0.16

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.61
Potential profit: $6.61
User PnL: -$0.2

No position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.91
Potential payout: $5.91
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $5.58
Potential profit: $5.57
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $0.93
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.08
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $0.18

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 5.5%
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: $51

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.42

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.51

No position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 44.5%
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $0.91

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 82.7%
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $0.88

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.72

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.62

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 17.4%
Multiplier: 5.76x
User PnL: $0.51

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?

Implied probability: 25.5%
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.42

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.42

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.42

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 28.5%
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: $0.36

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 71.5%
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $0.29

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 89%
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?