0xffB1816D69154C49fbfB46e206B59eed0CC1F54e-1765295967325

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $9.33
Potential payout: $109.76
Potential profit: $100.43
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$9.45

Yes position

Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 36%
Current value: $27.08
Potential payout: $75.23
Potential profit: $48.15
Multiplier: 2.78x
User PnL: -$1.34

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $72.67
Potential profit: $72.67
User PnL: -$2.43

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $70
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $14.22
Potential payout: $69.37
Potential profit: $55.15
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$2.96

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $66.67
User PnL: -$4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $63.64
Potential profit: $63.64
User PnL: -$14

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$1.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52
Potential profit: $52
User PnL: -$10.68

No position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.88
Potential profit: $51.88
User PnL: -$24.9

Sharks position

Counter-Strike: Sharks vs ECHO (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffs

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.79
Potential profit: $50.79
User PnL: -$33.52

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.2%
Current value: $4.81
Potential payout: $43.15
Potential profit: $38.34
Multiplier: 8.97x
User PnL: -$1.82

Boston Red Sox position

New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $40.57
Potential payout: $40.59
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $19.87

Virtus.pro position

Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.47
Potential profit: $40.47
User PnL: -$26.23

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $17.07
Potential payout: $26.46
Potential profit: $9.39
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 27%
Current value: $6.64
Potential payout: $24.59
Potential profit: $17.95
Multiplier: 3.70x
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $22.22
Potential profit: $21.22
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $0.63
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.04
Multiplier: 26.32x
User PnL: -$1.37

Yes position

Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 40%
Current value: $6.14
Potential payout: $15.36
Potential profit: $9.22
Multiplier: 2.50x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will the U.S. national debt hit $42 trillion before 2027?

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $1.05
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $8.05
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $1.28
Potential payout: $6.94
Potential profit: $5.66
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$3.72

Yes position

Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $0.35
Potential payout: $6.45
Potential profit: $6.1
Multiplier: 18.35x
User PnL: -$1.65

Resolved Context

Closed positions

San Diego Padres position

San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.65

Houston Astros position

Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.93

BIG position

Counter-Strike: paiN vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.27

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.59

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 4AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.32

LGD Gaming position

Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.67

San Francisco Giants position

San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.57

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12PM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.16

Team Yandex position

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.55

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.03

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Cavaliers

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11AM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.93

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 12PM ET

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.5

Up position

BNB Up or Down - June 6, 4AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.85

Golden Knights position

Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.03

San Francisco Giants position

San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.21

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.8

Colorado Rockies position

Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.68

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET