Polymarket Trader

G45p3R

0xffd5bc366ab67e04b05d21472679e694b81332f8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $234
Realized PnL: $211.74
Win rate: 87.5%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $202.35
Potential payout: $14.99K
Potential profit: $14.79K
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$223.02

Yes position

Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $12.23
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.1K
Multiplier: 90.91x
User PnL: -$7.77

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.11K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $258.82
Potential profit: $258.82
User PnL: -$64

Yes position

Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $2.98
Potential payout: $238.21
Potential profit: $235.24
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$7.02

Yes position

Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $199.99
User PnL: -$38

Yes position

Will State Street (STT) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $148.17
Potential profit: $148.17
User PnL: -$61.2

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $147.06
Potential profit: $147.06
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $16.44
Potential payout: $103.09
Potential profit: $86.65
Multiplier: 6.27x
User PnL: $6.44

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.62

No position

Will Grok have a MacOS desktop app live by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24

Yes position

Will KeyCorp (KEY) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

Yes position

Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.04

No position

Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.45

Yes position

Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17

Yes position

Will Interactive Brokers (IBKR) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.88

Yes position

Will Roblox (RBLX) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.5

Ball State position

Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Ball State

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12

Yes position

Will Icahn Enterprises (IEP) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Yes position

Will Ally Financial (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.2

Yes position

Will US Bancorp (USB) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.2%
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: $6.92

No position

X Money launch in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.37

Yes position

Will Mastercard (MA) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

No position

Will Ethereum reach $4800 in September?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: November

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.88

No position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 92.5%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.88

No position

Epstein client list released in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.84

No position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 59.5%
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $0.67

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 80%
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: -$0.27

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.2% 5,000 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.8% 147.06 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 9.7% 103.09 shares
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.9% 1,111.11 shares
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 0.7% 14,000 shares
US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Yes 18% 16.67 shares
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Yes 3.8% 790 shares
Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by March 31?

No 87% 80 shares
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Yes 8% 250 shares
Will Interactive Brokers (IBKR) beat quarterly earnings?

Yes 65% 15.38 shares
Will State Street (STT) beat quarterly earnings?

Yes 44% 68.18 shares
Will Interactive Brokers (IBKR) beat quarterly earnings?

Yes 65% 30 shares