Polymarket Trader

zuozhuan121212

0xffd905536e85f1d37f60a08523424f327df27925

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.38K
Realized PnL: $10.08K
Win rate: 68.2%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 22
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.97K
Potential profit: $2.97K
User PnL: -$100.99

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $2.71K
Potential payout: $2.8K
Potential profit: $93.8
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $85.4

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 34.6%
Current value: $692.8
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.31K
Multiplier: 2.89x
User PnL: $370.8

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $139
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.86K
Multiplier: 14.39x
User PnL: -$55

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17.1%
Current value: $341
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.66K
Multiplier: 5.87x
User PnL: $183

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $115
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.89K
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$97

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$102

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$104

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.3%
Current value: $125
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.87K
Multiplier: 16.00x
User PnL: -$43

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.2%
Current value: $263
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.74K
Multiplier: 7.60x
User PnL: -$73

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $850
Potential profit: $850
User PnL: -$501.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $381.5
Potential profit: $381.5
User PnL: -$20

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.29
Potential profit: $64.29
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.52
Potential profit: $56.52
User PnL: -$50

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.33
Potential profit: $56.33
User PnL: -$50

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.21
Potential profit: $9.21
User PnL: -$6.45

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.33K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45K

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.89

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.33

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.73

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.58

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.42

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.56

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.95

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.08

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.23

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$14.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$18.53

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$21.79

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$34.89

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$34.93

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$51.77

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

No 93.6% 2,800 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.1% 2,000 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.2% 2,000 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7.9% 2,000 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.4% 1,999.99 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 9.7% 2,000 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.6% 2,000 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.1% 2,000 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.8% 1,999.99 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

No 93.4% 3,076.3 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Yes 59% 850 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 80% 1,000 shares