Polymarket Trader

lukepython

0xffec0703a479e9a465913bd0be9154a408f73c5b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $9.84
Realized PnL: $5
Win rate: 58.8%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 17
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $3.43
Potential payout: $60.24
Potential profit: $56.81
Multiplier: 17.54x
User PnL: -$1.57

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.83
Potential profit: $21.83
User PnL: -$2.21

No position

Jack Hinshelwood: Anytime Goalscorer

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$1.75

Yes position

Will the match end in a draw?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.37
Potential profit: $9.37
User PnL: -$1.69

Yes position

Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $0.94
Potential payout: $7.54
Potential profit: $6.6
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$0.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.68
Potential profit: $6.68
User PnL: -$1.27

Yes position

Will Renofa Yamaguchi FC vs. Tegevajaro Miyazaki end in a draw?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.5
Potential profit: $6.5
User PnL: -$1.3

Yes position

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $1.95
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $4.05
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $1.41
Potential payout: $5.12
Potential profit: $3.71
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $2.11
Potential payout: $5.08
Potential profit: $2.97
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $0.89

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C on May 19?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.7

Yes position

Will Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Alanyaspor end in a draw?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.1
Potential profit: $4.1
User PnL: -$1.23

Under position

Joint/Perez vs. Chan/Klepac: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.03
Potential profit: $4.03
User PnL: -$0.04

Under position

Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3
Potential profit: $3
User PnL: -$1.2

G2 Esports position

LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.85
Potential profit: $1.85
User PnL: -$1.18

No position

Will Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2026-05-17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.63
Potential profit: $1.63
User PnL: -$1.19

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.63

Tsitsipas position

Set 1 Winner: Tsitsipas vs Aguilar

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.15

Yes position

Jalen Green: Points O/U 19.5

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04

Over position

Amiens SC vs. Red Star FC: O/U 2.5

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.81

FURIA Esports position

Game Handicap: RED (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.54

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

Angers SCO position

Spread: AJ Auxerre (-2.5)

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

Aurora position

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

Aston Villa FC position

Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-2.5)

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 2.25T and 2.50T?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $420 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.08

Fnatic position

LoL: Fnatic vs Solary - Game 2 Winner

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.26

No position

Will Alexander Noren finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Cadillac Championship?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.27

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5

Under 40% 3 shares
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

Yes 20% 6 shares
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026?

Yes 18% 7.54 shares
Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Yes 24.2% 5.12 shares
Game Handicap: RED (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)

FURIA Esports 69% 1.73 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.3% 60.24 shares
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?

No 66% 2.29 shares
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $420 in May?

Yes 37% 2.81 shares
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $420 in May?

Yes 40% 2.81 shares
Joint/Perez vs. Chan/Klepac: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5

Under 1% 4.03 shares
Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?

No 24% 5.08 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C on May 19?

Yes 14% 5 shares