Yes position
Diddy found guilty of sex trafficking?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$7
Polymarket Trader
Ferrous
0xfff0c3ed0f217ecdab9ec37516a4c19dc6e39db1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $16.02
- Realized PnL
- $5.73
- Win rate
- 77.8%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
PSG position
Champions League Final: PSG vs. Inter Milan
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $8.47
- Potential payout
- $8.47
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $3.47
Yes position
Ethereum above $2,500 on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $7.55
- Potential payout
- $7.55
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $3.55
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Joe Biden say "COVID" during his May 8 interview?
Ends May 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.25
Yes position
Pakistan military strike on India by Friday?
Ends May 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.69
No position
Will Joe Biden say "Tariff" during his May 8 interview?
Ends May 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.67
No position
Will Jerome Powell say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the May meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
Yes position
Champions League Final: 3+ goals?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
Yes position
Will Jerome Powell say "tariff" 5 or more times during the May meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with the United Kingdom before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will Joe Biden say "Zelenskyy" during his May 8 interview?
Ends May 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Joe Biden say "Inflation" during his May 8 interview?
Ends May 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Champions League Final: 3+ goals?Yes 54% 7.84 shares
- Ethereum above $2,500 on May 16?Yes 53% 7.55 shares
- Champions League Final: PSG vs. Inter MilanPSG 59% 8.47 shares
- Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with the United Kingdom before July?Yes 98.6% 8.52 shares
- Champions League Final: 3+ goals?Yes 51% 7.84 shares
- Will Joe Biden say "Tariff" during his May 8 interview?No 45% 6.67 shares
- Will Joe Biden say "COVID" during his May 8 interview?Yes 32% 6.25 shares
- Will Joe Biden say "Zelenskyy" during his May 8 interview?Yes 45% 6.67 shares
- Will Joe Biden say "Inflation" during his May 8 interview?Yes 44% 9.09 shares
- Pakistan military strike on India by Friday?Yes 97.6% 10.95 shares
- Diddy found guilty of sex trafficking?Yes 70% 10 shares
- Will Jerome Powell say "tariff" 5 or more times during the May meeting?Yes 95.9% 5.21 shares