Polymarket Trader

GoriIIa

0xfffadf38a520cd5a0035ff52d7fceb436a08864b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $426.13K
Realized PnL: $867.65K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $40.55K
Potential payout: $388.03K
Potential profit: $347.48K
Multiplier: 9.57x
User PnL: -$3.63K

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.1%
Current value: $41.46K
Potential payout: $375.23K
Potential profit: $333.77K
Multiplier: 9.05x
User PnL: $8.99K

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $22.63K
Potential payout: $340.33K
Potential profit: $317.69K
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: -$8.32K

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.3%
Current value: $42.95K
Potential payout: $324.14K
Potential profit: $281.2K
Multiplier: 7.55x
User PnL: -$11.56K

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $56.12K
Potential payout: $304.17K
Potential profit: $248.05K
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $1.42K

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.2%
Current value: $24.51K
Potential payout: $241.46K
Potential profit: $216.95K
Multiplier: 9.85x
User PnL: $2.74K

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $11.63K
Potential payout: $205.85K
Potential profit: $194.22K
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: $926.35

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $8.99K
Potential payout: $202.13K
Potential profit: $193.14K
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: $2.12K

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $177.28K
Potential payout: $195.89K
Potential profit: $18.61K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $14.22K

No position

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $101.04K
Potential profit: $101.04K
User PnL: -$96.14K

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $192.6K

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.65K

No position

Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.4K

Yes position

Will a Republican win Arizona Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.8K

No position

Will a Democrat win Arizona Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.58K

No position

Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.24K

No position

Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.4K

Yes position

Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.86K

Yes position

Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.06K

Yes position

Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.91K

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.75K

No position

Will a Republican win Arizona US Senate Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.12K

Yes position

Will a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.42K

No position

Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.7K

No position

Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.8K

No position

Iran Nuke in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.44K

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.38K

No position

Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.29K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?

Ends Dec 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.02K

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.91K

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.64K

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?

Ends Jun 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.15K

Sinner position

Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Djokovic

Ends Jul 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.34K

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.17K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?

No 94.1% 12,522.16 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

No 96.2% 9,466.32 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17.1% 3,589.26 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16% 3,590.48 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.5% 3,595.45 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 9.6% 20,557.51 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 9% 10,228.64 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.3% 7,198.01 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16% 4,103.4 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 9% 20,561.32 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 9.6% 20,557.51 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 9.6% 10,278.75 shares