Polymarket leaderboard

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $120.99K
Potential payout: $199.99K
Potential profit: $79K
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $20.99K

Anna Bondar position

Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Tamara Zidansek

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $8.01K
Potential payout: $20.27K
Potential profit: $12.26K
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: -$5.37K

PnL: $60.84K
Volume: $966.42K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2

Argentina position

England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance

Implied probability: 46.1%
Current value: $55.97K
Potential payout: $121.35K
Potential profit: $65.38K
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: -$380.91

Yes position

England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $21.56K
Potential payout: $41.07K
Potential profit: $19.51K
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $243

PnL: $55.98K
Volume: $1.6M
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 58.2%
Current value: $283.42K
Potential payout: $487.39K
Potential profit: $203.97K
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: $189.8K

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 95.1%
Current value: $269.14K
Potential payout: $283.16K
Potential profit: $14.02K
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $55.44K

PnL: $37.06K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 2

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 19.8%
Current value: $2.44M
Potential payout: $12.35M
Potential profit: $9.91M
Multiplier: 5.06x
User PnL: $1.21M

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $113.29K
Potential profit: $113.29K
User PnL: -$3.01K

PnL: $36.07K
Volume: $176.98K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $514.68K
Potential payout: $595.01K
Potential profit: $80.33K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $54.67K

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $347.61K
Potential payout: $375.8K
Potential profit: $28.18K
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $39.32K

PnL: $31.45K
Volume: $43.54K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2

AG.AL position

LoL: AG.AL vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group A

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $25.84K
Potential payout: $25.85K
Potential profit: $12.93
User PnL: $13.69K

Over position

Seattle Storm vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 170.5

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $7.21K
Potential payout: $14K
Potential profit: $6.79K
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: -$70.01

PnL: $28.49K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2

No position

Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $19.99
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $19.99
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.07

PnL: $25.22K
Volume: $74.9K
Win rate: 92.9%
Open positions: 2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$1.57K

PnL: $24.43K
Volume: $364.4K
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 2

Team Spirit position

Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $95.84
Potential payout: $191.68K
Potential profit: $191.58K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$85.16K

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $316.57K
Potential profit: $316.57K
User PnL: -$128.21K

PnL: $22.16K
Volume: $278.21K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2

Lamis Alhussein Abdel Aziz position

ITF Olomouc: Gloria Levinsky vs Lamis Alhussein Abdel Aziz

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $37.66K
Potential payout: $37.81K
Potential profit: $151.24
User PnL: $16.04K

Luca Staeheli position

ITF Kramsach: Luca Staeheli vs Matyas Kozlovsky

Implied probability: 75.4%
Current value: $6.02K
Potential payout: $7.99K
Potential profit: $1.97K
Multiplier: 1.33x
User PnL: -$576.36

PnL: $21.25K
Volume: $6.53K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 95.1%
Current value: $462.18K
Potential payout: $486.25K
Potential profit: $24.07K
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $15.83K

No position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $50.36K
Potential payout: $101.73K
Potential profit: $51.38K
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: -$19.05K

PnL: $21.01K
Volume: $159.45K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2

Tomas Etcheverry position

Croatia Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Daniel Merida Aguilar

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $9.9K
Potential payout: $16.1K
Potential profit: $6.2K
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$97.67

Arnaldi position

Set Handicap: Arnaldi (-1.5) vs Gomez (+1.5)

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $9.73K
Potential payout: $17.85K
Potential profit: $8.12K
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$274.4

PnL: $20.74K
Volume: $48.91K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2

Hanne Vandewinkel position

Istanbul 2: Hanne Vandewinkel vs Weronika Falkowska

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $12.58K
Potential payout: $12.59K
Potential profit: $6.29
User PnL: $7.46K

Felipe Meligeni Alves position

Quito: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Hernan Casanova

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.62K
Potential profit: $7.62K
User PnL: -$2.36K

PnL: $20.1K
Volume: $37.42K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $205.1
Potential payout: $339
Potential profit: $133.91
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $194.5

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 41.9%
Current value: $167.41
Potential payout: $400.03
Potential profit: $232.62
Multiplier: 2.39x
User PnL: $157.66

PnL: $19.85K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 43.8%
Open positions: 1

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 95.1%
Current value: $454.69K
Potential payout: $478.37K
Potential profit: $23.68K
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $24.64K

PnL: $19.4K
Volume: $345.91K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2

Filiberto Fumagalli position

ITF Nova Gorica: Filiberto Fumagalli vs Jeremy Gschwendtner

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $1.6K
Potential payout: $1.68K
Potential profit: $75.57
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $603.03

Chloe Paquet position

ITF Olomouc: Chloe Paquet vs Valentina Ivanov

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $7.62
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $4.38
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: -$0.06

PnL: $19.16K
Volume: $151.87K
Win rate: 74%
Open positions: 2

G2 Esports position

LoL: G2 Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group A

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $28.03K
Potential payout: $28.04K
Potential profit: $14.02
User PnL: $5.8K

AG.AL position

LoL: AG.AL vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group A

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $14.99K
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $7.5
User PnL: $4.64K

PnL: $19.08K
Volume: $47.12K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 22.7%
Current value: $5.4K
Potential payout: $23.85K
Potential profit: $18.45K
Multiplier: 4.42x
User PnL: -$35.76

Yes position

Iran full airspace closure by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $3K
Potential payout: $10.17K
Potential profit: $7.17K
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: -$160.93

PnL: $18.44K
Volume: $131.13K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2

No position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 80.3%
Current value: $38.12K
Potential payout: $47.5K
Potential profit: $9.38K
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $633.22

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 58.2%
Current value: $32.75K
Potential payout: $56.32K
Potential profit: $23.57K
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: $24.36K

PnL: $18.42K
Volume: $51.84K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 58.2%
Current value: $10.19K
Potential payout: $17.52K
Potential profit: $7.33K
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: $1.43K

No position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 41.9%
Current value: $7.33K
Potential payout: $17.51K
Potential profit: $10.18K
Multiplier: 2.39x
User PnL: -$1.43K

PnL: $17.26K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2

G2 Esports position

LoL: G2 Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group A

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $80.43K
Potential payout: $80.47K
Potential profit: $40.24
User PnL: $19.16K

Over position

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $491.18
Potential profit: $491.18
User PnL: -$209.02

PnL: $16.14K
Volume: $91.24K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2

Team Liquid position

Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $19.99K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: $8.99K

AG.AL position

LoL: AG.AL vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group A

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $12.41K
Potential payout: $12.42K
Potential profit: $6.21
User PnL: $6.71K

PnL: $15.59K
Volume: $126.52K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 95.1%
Current value: $447.48K
Potential payout: $470.78K
Potential profit: $23.3K
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $79.88K

No position

Palisades wildfire burns 10,000 acres by Friday?

Ends Jan 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $103
Potential profit: $103
User PnL: -$27.81

PnL: $15.43K
Volume: $26.41K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2

Yes position

Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $661.01
Potential payout: $3.57K
Potential profit: $2.91K
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $561.76

Yes position

Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $297.98
Potential payout: $3.97K
Potential profit: $3.68K
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: $187.62

Hot positions

What leaderboard traders are holding

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 19.8%
Current value: $2.44M
Potential payout: $12.35M
Potential profit: $9.91M
Multiplier: 5.06x
User PnL: $1.21M

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $514.68K
Potential payout: $595.01K
Potential profit: $80.33K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $54.67K

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 95.1%
Current value: $462.18K
Potential payout: $486.25K
Potential profit: $24.07K
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $15.83K

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $347.61K
Potential payout: $375.8K
Potential profit: $28.18K
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $39.32K

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 58.2%
Current value: $283.42K
Potential payout: $487.39K
Potential profit: $203.97K
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: $189.8K

Tamara Zidansek position

Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Tamara Zidansek

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $120.99K
Potential payout: $199.99K
Potential profit: $79K
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $20.99K

G2 Esports position

LoL: G2 Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group A

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $80.43K
Potential payout: $80.47K
Potential profit: $40.24
User PnL: $19.16K

Argentina position

England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance

Implied probability: 46.1%
Current value: $55.97K
Potential payout: $121.35K
Potential profit: $65.38K
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: -$380.91

No position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $50.36K
Potential payout: $101.73K
Potential profit: $51.38K
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: -$19.05K

No position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 80.3%
Current value: $38.12K
Potential payout: $47.5K
Potential profit: $9.38K
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $633.22

Lamis Alhussein Abdel Aziz position

ITF Olomouc: Gloria Levinsky vs Lamis Alhussein Abdel Aziz

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $37.66K
Potential payout: $37.81K
Potential profit: $151.24
User PnL: $16.04K

AG.AL position

LoL: AG.AL vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group A

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $25.84K
Potential payout: $25.85K
Potential profit: $12.93
User PnL: $13.69K

Yes position

England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $21.56K
Potential payout: $41.07K
Potential profit: $19.51K
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $243

Team Liquid position

Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $19.99K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: $8.99K

Hanne Vandewinkel position

Istanbul 2: Hanne Vandewinkel vs Weronika Falkowska

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $12.58K
Potential payout: $12.59K
Potential profit: $6.29
User PnL: $7.46K

Tomas Etcheverry position

Croatia Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Daniel Merida Aguilar

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $9.9K
Potential payout: $16.1K
Potential profit: $6.2K
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$97.67

Arnaldi position

Set Handicap: Arnaldi (-1.5) vs Gomez (+1.5)

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $9.73K
Potential payout: $17.85K
Potential profit: $8.12K
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$274.4

Anna Bondar position

Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Tamara Zidansek