Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $21.76K CULTURE · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.7%
Current value: $589.5K
Potential payout: $3M
Potential profit: $2.41M
Multiplier: 5.09x
User PnL: -$910.5K

If you invest $100 $508.91 back +$408.91 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 80.4%
Current value: $2.41M
Potential payout: $3M
Potential profit: $589.5K
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $910.5K

If you invest $100 $124.46 back +$24.46 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $1.32M
Potential payout: $1.46M
Potential profit: $138.32K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $46.82K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

CULTURE leaderboard

Updated 10:33 PM

PnL: $4.49K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 54.5%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $2.24M
Potential payout: $2.24M
Potential profit: $5.61K
User PnL: $21.73K

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $1.32M
Potential payout: $1.46M
Potential profit: $138.32K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $46.82K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.49K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $7.66K
Potential payout: $7.78K
Potential profit: $112.77
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $161.67

If you invest $100 $101.47 back +$1.47 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $6.44K
Potential payout: $6.67K
Potential profit: $223.31
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $123.34

If you invest $100 $103.47 back +$3.47 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.41K
Volume: $7.59K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $3.37K
Potential payout: $4.18K
Potential profit: $816.02
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $1.66K

If you invest $100 $124.22 back +$24.22 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $2.07K
Potential payout: $4.02K
Potential profit: $1.95K
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $20.1

If you invest $100 $194.17 back +$94.17 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.75K
Volume: $59.88K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 94.9%
Current value: $9.28K
Potential payout: $9.78K
Potential profit: $503.66
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $158.33

If you invest $100 $105.43 back +$5.43 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 87.4%
Current value: $2.05K
Potential payout: $2.34K
Potential profit: $296.38
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $36.14

If you invest $100 $114.48 back +$14.48 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.02K
Volume: $18.55K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $540.43
Potential payout: $671.35
Potential profit: $130.91
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $125.8

If you invest $100 $124.22 back +$24.22 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $443.46
Potential payout: $4.05K
Potential profit: $3.61K
Multiplier: 9.13x
User PnL: $102.4

If you invest $100 $913.24 back +$813.24 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $865.74
Volume: $13.88K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.1%
Current value: $4.35K
Potential payout: $5.18K
Potential profit: $826.22
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $2.84K

If you invest $100 $118.98 back +$18.98 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.7%
Current value: $3.17K
Potential payout: $3.35K
Potential profit: $179.35
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $2.71K

If you invest $100 $105.65 back +$5.65 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $740.81
Volume: $5.11K
Win rate: 90%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $460.48
Potential payout: $460.48
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $99.62

If you invest $100 $100 back +$0 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Neither team to score first?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $73.27
Potential payout: $80.96
Potential profit: $7.69
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.4

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $667.18
Volume: $0
Win rate: 84%
Open positions: 3

No position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $3.57K
Potential payout: $3.92K
Potential profit: $353.21
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $571.36

If you invest $100 $109.89 back +$9.89 estimated profit if it wins

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.62
Potential profit: $8.62
User PnL: -$5

PnL: $666.63
Volume: $3.92K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $2.78K
Potential payout: $2.79K
Potential profit: $13.97
User PnL: $119.84

If you invest $100 $100.5 back +$0.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $2.43K
Potential payout: $2.46K
Potential profit: $35.71
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.98K

If you invest $100 $101.47 back +$1.47 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $662.81
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Weed rescheduled by December 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 75.8%
Current value: $31.42K
Potential payout: $41.43K
Potential profit: $10.01K
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $8K

If you invest $100 $131.86 back +$31.86 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $16.96K
Potential payout: $26.3K
Potential profit: $9.34K
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $2.14K

If you invest $100 $155.04 back +$55.04 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $611.26
Volume: $112.69K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 80.4%
Current value: $2.41M
Potential payout: $3M
Potential profit: $589.5K
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $910.5K

If you invest $100 $124.46 back +$24.46 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Trump out as President by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $772.39K
Potential payout: $773.55K
Potential profit: $1.16K
User PnL: $34.35K

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $606.99
Volume: $0
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 1

Yes position

Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $1.94K
Potential payout: $5.78K
Potential profit: $3.84K
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: -$1.34K

If you invest $100 $298.51 back +$198.51 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Weed rescheduled by December 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 75.8%
Current value: $31.42K
Potential payout: $41.43K
Potential profit: $10.01K
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $8K

If you invest $100 $131.86 back +$31.86 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $16.96K
Potential payout: $26.3K
Potential profit: $9.34K
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $2.14K

If you invest $100 $155.04 back +$55.04 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 94.9%
Current value: $9.28K
Potential payout: $9.78K
Potential profit: $503.66
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $158.33

If you invest $100 $105.43 back +$5.43 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $7.66K
Potential payout: $7.78K
Potential profit: $112.77
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $161.67

If you invest $100 $101.47 back +$1.47 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $6.44K
Potential payout: $6.67K
Potential profit: $223.31
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $123.34

If you invest $100 $103.47 back +$3.47 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.1%
Current value: $4.35K
Potential payout: $5.18K
Potential profit: $826.22
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $2.84K

If you invest $100 $118.98 back +$18.98 estimated profit if it wins

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