Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $5.99K CULTURE · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $16.59K
Potential payout: $174.67K
Potential profit: $158.08K
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$5.58K

If you invest $100 $1.05K back +$952.63 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5.2%
Current value: $1.82K
Potential payout: $35K
Potential profit: $33.18K
Multiplier: 19.23x
User PnL: $390.67

If you invest $100 $1.92K back +$1.82K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $525.93K
Potential payout: $533.94K
Potential profit: $8.01K
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $20.79K

If you invest $100 $101.52 back +$1.52 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

CULTURE leaderboard

Updated 3:02 AM

PnL: $1.95K
Volume: $17.4K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Marcelo Brigadeiro win the Governor of Santa Catarina election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $5.6K
Potential payout: $5.93K
Potential profit: $329.3
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $200.85

If you invest $100 $105.88 back +$5.88 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $3.03K
Potential payout: $4.62K
Potential profit: $1.6K
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $684.72

If you invest $100 $152.67 back +$52.67 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.52K
Volume: $55
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $525.93K
Potential payout: $533.94K
Potential profit: $8.01K
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $20.79K

If you invest $100 $101.52 back +$1.52 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $61.92K
Potential payout: $70.77K
Potential profit: $8.85K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $7.38K

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $845.39
Volume: $239.01
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $3.77K
Potential payout: $13.23K
Potential profit: $9.46K
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: $190.83

If you invest $100 $351 back +$251 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $22.8
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $377.2
Multiplier: 17.54x
User PnL: $5.4

If you invest $100 $1.75K back +$1.65K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $288.22
Volume: $0
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $1.01K
Potential payout: $4.12K
Potential profit: $3.11K
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$1.89K

If you invest $100 $408.16 back +$308.16 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 86.8%
Current value: $10.38
Potential payout: $11.96
Potential profit: $1.58
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $0.44

If you invest $100 $115.27 back +$15.27 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $249.61
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $1.09K
Potential payout: $3.84K
Potential profit: $2.75K
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: $109.02

If you invest $100 $351 back +$251 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $3.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $96.5
Multiplier: 28.57x
User PnL: -$82.5

If you invest $100 $2.86K back +$2.76K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $244.03
Volume: $556.8
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in June 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $1.61K
Potential payout: $3.7K
Potential profit: $2.09K
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $1.49K

If you invest $100 $229.89 back +$129.89 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in June 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 39.3%
Current value: $1.45K
Potential payout: $3.7K
Potential profit: $2.25K
Multiplier: 2.54x
User PnL: $1.34K

If you invest $100 $254.45 back +$154.45 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $238.44
Volume: $66.67
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $16.59K
Potential payout: $174.67K
Potential profit: $158.08K
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$5.58K

If you invest $100 $1.05K back +$952.63 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5.2%
Current value: $1.82K
Potential payout: $35K
Potential profit: $33.18K
Multiplier: 19.23x
User PnL: $390.67

If you invest $100 $1.92K back +$1.82K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $230.63
Volume: $1.66K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $14.94K
Potential payout: $15.16K
Potential profit: $219.82
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $3.6K

If you invest $100 $101.47 back +$1.47 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $7.79K
Potential payout: $9.27K
Potential profit: $1.48K
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $1.39K

If you invest $100 $119.05 back +$19.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $229
Volume: $0
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $988.36
Potential payout: $3.47K
Potential profit: $2.48K
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: $184.58

If you invest $100 $351 back +$251 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $100
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $6.4

If you invest $100 $100 back +$0 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $199.69
Volume: $673.94
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $1.07K
Potential payout: $10.27K
Potential profit: $9.19K
Multiplier: 9.57x
User PnL: $277.19

If you invest $100 $956.94 back +$856.94 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $484.25
Potential payout: $650
Potential profit: $165.75
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: -$9.25

If you invest $100 $134.23 back +$34.23 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $183.65
Volume: $1.87K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $2.44K
Potential payout: $2.96K
Potential profit: $518.24
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $52.4

If you invest $100 $121.21 back +$21.21 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $2K
Potential payout: $2.39K
Potential profit: $394.83
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $15.71

If you invest $100 $119.76 back +$19.76 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $141.56
Volume: $570
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Ryan Terefenko win the 2026 PLL Hard Hat Award (SSDM)?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $14.25
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $15.75
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $13.42

If you invest $100 $210.53 back +$110.53 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Dylan Hess win the 2026 PLL Hard Hat Award (SSDM)?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $13.95
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $16.05
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $13.12

If you invest $100 $215.05 back +$115.05 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $16.59K
Potential payout: $174.67K
Potential profit: $158.08K
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$5.58K

If you invest $100 $1.05K back +$952.63 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $14.94K
Potential payout: $15.16K
Potential profit: $219.82
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $3.6K

If you invest $100 $101.47 back +$1.47 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $7.79K
Potential payout: $9.27K
Potential profit: $1.48K
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $1.39K

If you invest $100 $119.05 back +$19.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $5.81K
Potential payout: $11.28K
Potential profit: $5.47K
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $727.04

If you invest $100 $194.17 back +$94.17 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Marcelo Brigadeiro win the Governor of Santa Catarina election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $5.6K
Potential payout: $5.93K
Potential profit: $329.3
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $200.85

If you invest $100 $105.88 back +$5.88 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $3.77K
Potential payout: $13.23K
Potential profit: $9.46K
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: $190.83

If you invest $100 $351 back +$251 estimated profit if it wins

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