Democrat position
Senate: Will a Democrat (Franken) or Republican (Grassley) win in Iowa?
Ends Nov 15, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $62.47
- Potential profit
- $62.44
- Multiplier
- 2500.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.98
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $466.59K CULTURE · DAY · PnL sorted
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Bayern position
Will PSG or Bayern win the second leg of their Champions League quarter-final draw?
Ends Apr 13, 2021- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $322.43K
- Potential profit
- $322.43K
- User PnL
- -$0.97
No position
[Single Market] Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.89K
- Potential profit
- $54.89K
- User PnL
- -$25K
Top Traders
CULTURE leaderboard
Rank #1
RWCS
0x4ab9...8ebe Public
- PnL
- $102.27K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
Yes position
[Single Market] Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- User PnL
- -$300
No position
[Single Market] Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.89K
- Potential profit
- $54.89K
- User PnL
- -$25K
Rank #2
AvrahamEisenberg - 10161
0x6c3a...c459 Public
- PnL
- $100.29K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Ethereum switch to Proof-of-Stake (EIP-3675) by February 22, 2022?
Ends Feb 22, 2022- Implied probability
- 4.4%
- Current value
- $25.07
- Potential payout
- $574.96
- Potential profit
- $549.89
- Multiplier
- 22.94x
- User PnL
- -$174.93
No position
Will 3 or more of Dan Ariely’s papers be retracted by December 31, 2021?
Ends Dec 31, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.43
- Potential payout
- $2.43
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.1
Rank #3
0xa8cf...031f
0xa8cf...031f Public
- PnL
- $85.55K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #4
Poyo
0x3d8a...5724 Public
- PnL
- $50.77K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $94.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $5.5
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $3.5
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 92.9%
- Current value
- $83.57
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $6.44
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$1.84
Rank #5
MonsieurDimanche
0x0d18...24a6 Public
- PnL
- $29.73K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Up position
Solana Up or Down - February 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $716.22
- Potential profit
- $716.22
- User PnL
- -$322.3
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $789.45
- Potential profit
- $789.45
- User PnL
- -$370.86
Rank #6
0x0f35...c84a
0x0f35...c84a Public
- PnL
- $27.25K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
N
No position
Will Uniswap v3 launch before April 30, 2021?
Ends Apr 30, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $13.97
- Potential payout
- $13.97
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $6.98
Yes position
Will the US have fewer than 50,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before March 15, 2021?
Ends Mar 15, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $9.2
- Potential payout
- $9.2
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $4.6
Rank #7
thif - 33063
0x7821...bb1a Public
- PnL
- $23.61K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
No position
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by August 1, 2022?
Ends Aug 1, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.2
- Potential payout
- $2.2
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.2
Rank #8
thepicklebomber - 3805
0x95b1...f9ac Public
- PnL
- $18.12K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #9
0x7fb2...ed4b
0x7fb2...ed4b Public
- PnL
- $14.77K
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #10
Lance Uppercut
0x4f70...d185 Public
- PnL
- $14.23K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Democrat position
Senate: Will a Democrat (Franken) or Republican (Grassley) win in Iowa?
Ends Nov 15, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $62.47
- Potential profit
- $62.44
- Multiplier
- 2500.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.98
Rank #11
humiliating piglet
0x15ae...6ffd Public
- PnL
- $13.23K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 62%
- Current value
- $38.44K
- Potential payout
- $62.05K
- Potential profit
- $23.61K
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- $7.41K
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 38.1%
- Current value
- $23.61K
- Potential payout
- $62.05K
- Potential profit
- $38.44K
- Multiplier
- 2.63x
- User PnL
- -$7.41K
Rank #12
0x903221b1
0x9032...8717 Public
- PnL
- $11.41K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $44.72K
- Potential payout
- $44.88K
- Potential profit
- $157.06
- User PnL
- $3.63K
No position
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $5.66K
- Potential payout
- $34.28K
- Potential profit
- $28.62K
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- $292.35
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.4%
- Current value
- $2.09K
- Potential payout
- $15.69K
- Potential profit
- $13.59K
- Multiplier
- 7.49x
- User PnL
- $349.56
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $94.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $5.5
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $3.5
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 92.9%
- Current value
- $83.57
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $6.44
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$1.84
Yes position
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $60.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $39.5
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $56.93
Yes position
Will Ethereum switch to Proof-of-Stake (EIP-3675) by February 22, 2022?
Ends Feb 22, 2022- Implied probability
- 4.4%
- Current value
- $25.07
- Potential payout
- $574.96
- Potential profit
- $549.89
- Multiplier
- 22.94x
- User PnL
- -$174.93
Democrat position
Senate: Will a Democrat (Franken) or Republican (Grassley) win in Iowa?
Ends Nov 15, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $62.47
- Potential profit
- $62.44
- Multiplier
- 2500.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.98
Market Context
Live markets traders may be watching
Market Inflation Live
Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?
Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026? Jan 20, 2027
Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?
Yes23.2% No76.8%
Market Inflation Live
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.6% and 2.0%?
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.6% and 2.0%? Jan 10, 2027
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.6% and 2.0%?
Yes4.9% No95.2%
Market Inflation Live
Costco increases hotdog price before 2027?
Costco increases hotdog price before 2027? Dec 31, 2026
Costco increases hotdog price before 2027?
Yes8% No92%
Market Inflation Live
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 4.0% and 4.4%?
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 4.0% and 4.4%? Jan 20, 2027
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 4.0% and 4.4%?
Yes12% No88%
Market Inflation Live
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.4%?
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.4%? Jan 10, 2027
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.4%?
Yes5% No95%
Market Inflation Live
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? Dec 31, 2026
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
Yes13.5% No86.5%
Market Inflation Live
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%? Jan 20, 2027
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?
Yes16.5% No83.5%
Market Inflation Live
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.0% and 1.2%?
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.0% and 1.2%? Jan 19, 2027
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.0% and 1.2%?
Yes3.5% No96.5%
Market Inflation Live
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%?
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%? Jan 20, 2027
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%?
Yes27.4% No72.7%
Market Inflation Live
Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026?
Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026? Dec 31, 2026
Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026?
Yes3.8% No96.3%
Market Inflation Live
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be at least 4.5%?
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be at least 4.5%? Jan 20, 2027
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be at least 4.5%?
Yes14% No86%
Market Inflation Live
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 2.0% and 2.4%?
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 2.0% and 2.4%? Jan 20, 2027
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 2.0% and 2.4%?
Yes7.8% No92.3%