Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $1.6K MENTIONS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12.3%
Current value: $6.92K
Potential payout: $56.5K
Potential profit: $49.58K
Multiplier: 8.16x
User PnL: -$21.33K

If you invest $100 $816.33 back +$716.33 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 87.8%
Current value: $49.58K
Potential payout: $56.5K
Potential profit: $6.92K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $21.33K

If you invest $100 $113.96 back +$13.96 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.7%
Current value: $827.4
Potential payout: $4.2K
Potential profit: $3.37K
Multiplier: 5.08x
User PnL: -$1.27K

If you invest $100 $507.61 back +$407.61 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

MENTIONS leaderboard

Updated 1:08 AM

PnL: $629.63
Volume: $1.61K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 87.8%
Current value: $49.58K
Potential payout: $56.5K
Potential profit: $6.92K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $21.33K

If you invest $100 $113.96 back +$13.96 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12.3%
Current value: $6.92K
Potential payout: $56.5K
Potential profit: $49.58K
Multiplier: 8.16x
User PnL: -$21.33K

If you invest $100 $816.33 back +$716.33 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $389.12
Volume: $376.03
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Meg" during the USA vs Bosnia & Herzegovina FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $1.05K
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $28.01
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $366.44

If you invest $100 $102.67 back +$2.67 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 96.2%
Current value: $993.39
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $39.78
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $30.51

If you invest $100 $104 back +$4 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $116.47
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 80.3%
Current value: $3.37K
Potential payout: $4.2K
Potential profit: $827.4
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $1.27K

If you invest $100 $124.53 back +$24.53 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 90.9%
Current value: $2.41K
Potential payout: $2.65K
Potential profit: $241.6
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $1.29K

If you invest $100 $110.01 back +$10.01 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $94.35
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

AI bubble burst in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81.4%
Current value: $2.52K
Potential payout: $3.09K
Potential profit: $577.14
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $312.61

If you invest $100 $122.93 back +$22.93 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Jeff Bezos buy the Seattle Seahawks?

Ends Sep 10, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $2.22K
Potential payout: $2.32K
Potential profit: $92.7
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $351.63

If you invest $100 $104.17 back +$4.17 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $75.9
Volume: $179.9
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Golden Boot" during the Switzerland vs Algeria FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $217.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $82.5
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $75.5

If you invest $100 $137.93 back +$37.93 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 62%
Current value: $68.2
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $41.8
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: $17.6

If you invest $100 $161.29 back +$61.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $73.75
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Anthropic IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $226.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $73.5
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $105.99

If you invest $100 $132.45 back +$32.45 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the USA vs Bosnia & Herzegovina FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 60%
Current value: $142.73
Potential payout: $237.89
Potential profit: $95.16
Multiplier: 1.67x
User PnL: $62.32

If you invest $100 $166.67 back +$66.67 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $70.36
Volume: $1.9K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $1.19K
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $4.2
User PnL: $1.12K

If you invest $100 $100.35 back +$0.35 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 89.7%
Current value: $717.2
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $82.8
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $589.2

If you invest $100 $111.54 back +$11.54 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $60.47
Volume: $428.2
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $1.8K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $201
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $99

If you invest $100 $111.17 back +$11.17 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $825
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $175
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $245

If you invest $100 $121.21 back +$21.21 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $46.95
Volume: $210
Win rate: 46%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 35.4%
Current value: $1K
Potential payout: $2.83K
Potential profit: $1.83K
Multiplier: 2.83x
User PnL: $193.58

If you invest $100 $282.89 back +$182.89 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5.3%
Current value: $577.5
Potential payout: $11K
Potential profit: $10.42K
Multiplier: 19.05x
User PnL: $31.51

If you invest $100 $1.9K back +$1.8K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $46.88
Volume: $35.38
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Horrible" during the USA vs Bosnia & Herzegovina FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 51%
Current value: $37.6
Potential payout: $73.72
Potential profit: $36.12
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: $28.6

If you invest $100 $196.08 back +$96.08 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Golden Boot" during the USA vs Bosnia & Herzegovina FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 43%
Current value: $30.1
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $39.9
Multiplier: 2.33x
User PnL: $14.1

If you invest $100 $232.56 back +$132.56 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $42.29
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the USA vs Bosnia & Herzegovina FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $166.95
Potential payout: $185.5
Potential profit: $18.55
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $59.39

If you invest $100 $111.11 back +$11.11 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Golden Boot" during the USA vs Bosnia & Herzegovina FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 43%
Current value: $19.35
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $25.65
Multiplier: 2.33x
User PnL: $10.35

If you invest $100 $232.56 back +$132.56 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $37.42
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $544.5
Potential payout: $900
Potential profit: $355.5
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $190.5

If you invest $100 $165.29 back +$65.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.1%
Current value: $513.22
Potential payout: $528.82
Potential profit: $15.6
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $205.51

If you invest $100 $103.04 back +$3.04 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

AI bubble burst in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81.4%
Current value: $2.52K
Potential payout: $3.09K
Potential profit: $577.14
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $312.61

If you invest $100 $122.93 back +$22.93 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 90.9%
Current value: $2.41K
Potential payout: $2.65K
Potential profit: $241.6
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $1.29K

If you invest $100 $110.01 back +$10.01 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Ed Sheeran perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $2.23K
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $25.92
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $107.15

If you invest $100 $101.16 back +$1.16 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Jeff Bezos buy the Seattle Seahawks?

Ends Sep 10, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $2.22K
Potential payout: $2.32K
Potential profit: $92.7
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $351.63

If you invest $100 $104.17 back +$4.17 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $1.8K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $201
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $99

If you invest $100 $111.17 back +$11.17 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 96.2%
Current value: $1.48K
Potential payout: $1.54K
Potential profit: $59.44
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $16.63

If you invest $100 $104 back +$4 estimated profit if it wins

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