Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $3.62K MENTIONS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12.3%
Current value: $8.27K
Potential payout: $67.5K
Potential profit: $59.23K
Multiplier: 8.16x
User PnL: -$25.48K

If you invest $100 $816.33 back +$716.33 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 87.8%
Current value: $59.23K
Potential payout: $67.5K
Potential profit: $8.27K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $25.48K

If you invest $100 $113.96 back +$13.96 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $1.3K
Potential payout: $5.3K
Potential profit: $4K
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$163.48

If you invest $100 $408.16 back +$308.16 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

MENTIONS leaderboard

Updated 4:31 PM

PnL: $971.23
Volume: $7.83K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 87.8%
Current value: $59.23K
Potential payout: $67.5K
Potential profit: $8.27K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $25.48K

If you invest $100 $113.96 back +$13.96 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12.3%
Current value: $8.27K
Potential payout: $67.5K
Potential profit: $59.23K
Multiplier: 8.16x
User PnL: -$25.48K

If you invest $100 $816.33 back +$716.33 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $519.66
Volume: $8.82K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

No position

Will the announcers say "Penalty Shootout" during the Portugal vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.32K
Potential profit: $1.32K
User PnL: -$15.16

PnL: $383.39
Volume: $5.44K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $22.43K
Potential payout: $22.5K
Potential profit: $67.49
User PnL: $1.32K

If you invest $100 $100.3 back +$0.3 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 96.9%
Current value: $19.37K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $630
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $370

If you invest $100 $103.25 back +$3.25 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $334.62
Volume: $217.7
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $1.46K
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $38.25
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $66.75

If you invest $100 $102.62 back +$2.62 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Portugal reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $1.23K
Potential payout: $1.58K
Potential profit: $355.96
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $167.97

If you invest $100 $129.03 back +$29.03 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $284.49
Volume: $1.47K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $49.63K
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $375
User PnL: $24.63K

If you invest $100 $100.76 back +$0.76 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 84.6%
Current value: $16.91K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $3.09K
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $6.91K

If you invest $100 $118.27 back +$18.27 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $273.79
Volume: $1.44K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will "GOLDEN HOUR: Part.5 - ATEEZ" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 11?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $200.61
Potential payout: $201.62
Potential profit: $1.01
User PnL: $35.95

If you invest $100 $100.5 back +$0.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $198.33
Potential payout: $240.4
Potential profit: $42.07
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: -$0.97

If you invest $100 $121.21 back +$21.21 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $223.11
Volume: $6.44K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $886.33
Potential payout: $1.35K
Potential profit: $466.84
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $184.2

If you invest $100 $152.67 back +$52.67 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by June 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $719.54
Potential payout: $724.98
Potential profit: $5.44
User PnL: $70.13

If you invest $100 $100.76 back +$0.76 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $212.37
Volume: $829.44
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Golden Boot" during the Argentina vs Cape Verde FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $181.5
Potential payout: $220
Potential profit: $38.5
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $133.1

If you invest $100 $121.21 back +$21.21 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the Australia vs Egypt FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $115.4
Potential payout: $295.9
Potential profit: $180.5
Multiplier: 2.56x
User PnL: $44.78

If you invest $100 $256.41 back +$156.41 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $209.98
Volume: $6.3K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 96.1%
Current value: $6.38K
Potential payout: $6.64K
Potential profit: $259.11
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $6.38

If you invest $100 $104.06 back +$4.06 estimated profit if it wins

No position

AI bubble burst in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.8%
Current value: $2.59K
Potential payout: $3.09K
Potential profit: $502.87
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $386.88

If you invest $100 $119.4 back +$19.4 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $205.73
Volume: $476.13
Win rate: 52%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 72%
Current value: $449.17
Potential payout: $623.84
Potential profit: $174.68
Multiplier: 1.39x
User PnL: -$15.83

If you invest $100 $138.89 back +$38.89 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $280.14
Potential payout: $352.37
Potential profit: $72.24
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $31.96

If you invest $100 $125.79 back +$25.79 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $200.53
Volume: $3.44K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 91.1%
Current value: $2.42K
Potential payout: $2.65K
Potential profit: $236.29
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $1.29K

If you invest $100 $109.77 back +$9.77 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $1.59K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $411
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $589

If you invest $100 $125.87 back +$25.87 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $183.8
Volume: $1.03K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $1.3K
Potential payout: $5.3K
Potential profit: $4K
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$163.48

If you invest $100 $408.16 back +$308.16 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $715
Potential payout: $110K
Potential profit: $109.28K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$71.83

If you invest $100 $15.38K back +$15.28K estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $15.89K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $4.11K
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $5.89K

If you invest $100 $125.87 back +$25.87 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12.3%
Current value: $8.27K
Potential payout: $67.5K
Potential profit: $59.23K
Multiplier: 8.16x
User PnL: -$25.48K

If you invest $100 $816.33 back +$716.33 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 96.1%
Current value: $6.38K
Potential payout: $6.64K
Potential profit: $259.11
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $6.38

If you invest $100 $104.06 back +$4.06 estimated profit if it wins

No position

AI bubble burst in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.8%
Current value: $2.59K
Potential payout: $3.09K
Potential profit: $502.87
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $386.88

If you invest $100 $119.4 back +$19.4 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 91.1%
Current value: $2.42K
Potential payout: $2.65K
Potential profit: $236.29
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $1.29K

If you invest $100 $109.77 back +$9.77 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Jeff Bezos buy the Seattle Seahawks?

Ends Sep 10, 2026

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $2.24K
Potential payout: $2.32K
Potential profit: $75.32
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $369.01

If you invest $100 $103.36 back +$3.36 estimated profit if it wins

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