Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $85.54K
- Potential payout
- $166.11K
- Potential profit
- $80.56K
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $12.92K
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $13.41K POLITICS · DAY · Volume sorted
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $65.82K
- Potential payout
- $98.98K
- Potential profit
- $33.16K
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $6.73K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $11.21K
- Potential payout
- $38K
- Potential profit
- $26.79K
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- $9.75K
Top Traders
POLITICS leaderboard
Rank #1
elmcap2
0xed10...d2e5 Public @elm_cap
- PnL
- $1.51K
- Volume
- $1.89M
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $2.44M
- Potential payout
- $2.45M
- Potential profit
- $8.58K
- User PnL
- $7.39K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $1.66M
- Potential payout
- $1.66M
- Potential profit
- $2.49K
- User PnL
- $4.05K
Rank #2
poorersob
0x45bc...978b Public
- PnL
- $212.09
- Volume
- $1.49M
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $19.97K
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- $70
No position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $16.28K
- Potential payout
- $16.4K
- Potential profit
- $123
- User PnL
- $73.14
Rank #3
aenews2
0x44c1...ebc1 Public @aenews
- PnL
- $6.17K
- Volume
- $1.11M
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $134.61K
- Potential payout
- $136.73K
- Potential profit
- $2.12K
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $10.97K
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $104.77K
- Potential payout
- $119.73K
- Potential profit
- $14.97K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $19.19K
Rank #4
PowellTheKing
0x4099...9fb8 Public
- PnL
- $4.28K
- Volume
- $1.11M
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $3.38M
- Potential payout
- $3.4M
- Potential profit
- $11.88K
- User PnL
- $2.94K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $1.44M
- Potential payout
- $1.44M
- Potential profit
- $2.16K
- User PnL
- $4.26K
Rank #5
Shirtybonds
0x672f...7fcc Public
- PnL
- $502
- Volume
- $1M
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 1
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $1M
- Potential payout
- $1M
- Potential profit
- $1.51K
- User PnL
- $502
Rank #6
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
0xc8ab...6418 Public @Eltonma
- PnL
- $955.42
- Volume
- $470.4K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $433.17K
- Potential payout
- $433.83K
- Potential profit
- $650.74
- User PnL
- $4.81K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $398.6K
- Potential payout
- $400K
- Potential profit
- $1.4K
- User PnL
- $200.4
Rank #7
033033033
0xd1c7...1d2b Public
- PnL
- $796.83
- Volume
- $354.17K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Y
Yes position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $1.33M
- Potential payout
- $1.33M
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- $1.29K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $199.7K
- Potential payout
- $200K
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- $551.2
Rank #8
strike123
0xf284...b9f9 Public
- PnL
- -$2.42K
- Volume
- $352.5K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $2.89K
- Potential payout
- $23.15K
- Potential profit
- $20.26K
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$12.39K
No position
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $1.36K
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $142.5
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $7.5
Rank #9
Top1-J
0xa576...8678 Public
- PnL
- $160.59
- Volume
- $321.54K
- Win rate
- 64%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $320.06K
- Potential payout
- $320.54K
- Potential profit
- $480.81
- User PnL
- $160.59
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $16.53K
- Potential payout
- $38K
- Potential profit
- $21.47K
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $15.07K
Rank #10
Car
0x7c3d...5c6b Verified @CarOnPolymarket
- PnL
- $1.25K
- Volume
- $321.27K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $394.52K
- Potential payout
- $395.11K
- Potential profit
- $592.67
- User PnL
- $4.64K
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $13.81K
- Potential payout
- $14.93K
- Potential profit
- $1.12K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $3.67K
Rank #11
ScottyNooo
0xbacd...ab35 Public
- PnL
- -$2.77K
- Volume
- $297.69K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $224.55K
- Potential payout
- $224.89K
- Potential profit
- $337.33
- User PnL
- $132.46
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $118.41K
- Potential payout
- $119.07K
- Potential profit
- $654.86
- User PnL
- $14.37K
Rank #12
spamabunch
0xced2...1076 Public
- PnL
- -$2K
- Volume
- $293.49K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $4.7K
- Potential payout
- $5.7K
- Potential profit
- $997.92
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $256.61
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 43%
- Current value
- $1.12K
- Potential payout
- $2.61K
- Potential profit
- $1.49K
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- -$136.8
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $65.82K
- Potential payout
- $98.98K
- Potential profit
- $33.16K
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $6.73K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $16.53K
- Potential payout
- $38K
- Potential profit
- $21.47K
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $15.07K
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $13.81K
- Potential payout
- $14.93K
- Potential profit
- $1.12K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $3.67K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $11.21K
- Potential payout
- $38K
- Potential profit
- $26.79K
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- $9.75K
No position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $9.09K
- Potential payout
- $9.62K
- Potential profit
- $529.19
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $316.44
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $4.7K
- Potential payout
- $5.7K
- Potential profit
- $997.92
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $256.61
Market Context
Live markets traders may be watching
Event Live
Austria vs. Jordan
AustriaJordan Jun 17, 2026
Austria Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?
Yes70.5% No29.5%
Jordan Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17?
Yes9.5% No90.5%
Event Live
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White SoxO/U 8.5 Jun 18, 2026
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox
Yes52.5% No47.5%
O/U 8.5 Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5
Yes79% No21%
Event Live
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C
Match WinnerGame Handicap: SGW (-1.5) vs Saigon Dino (+1.5) Jun 10, 2026
Match Winner LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C
Yes100% No0%
Game Handicap: SGW (-1.5) vs Saigon Dino (+1.5)
Yes50% No50%
Event Live
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. AthleticsO/U 10.5 Jun 24, 2026
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics
Yes46.5% No53.5%
O/U 10.5 Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5
Yes100% No0.1%
Event Live
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta BravesNRFI Jun 23, 2026
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves
Yes49.5% No50.5%
NRFI Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves
Yes100% No0%
Event Live
Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona DiamondbacksO/U 11.5 Jun 24, 2026
Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Yes100% No0.1%
O/U 11.5 Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 11.5
Yes2.5% No97.5%
Event Live
Austria vs. Jordan - Second Half Result
AustriaJordan Jun 17, 2026
Austria Austria to win the second half?
Yes50% No50%
Jordan Jordan to win the second half?
Yes49.5% No50.5%
Event MLB Live
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox - First 5 Innings Winner
Atlanta BravesDraw Jun 11, 2026
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves winning after 5 innings?
Yes50% No50%
Draw Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: Tied after 5 innings?
Yes50% No50%
Event Live
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves - First 5 Innings Winner
San Francisco GiantsAtlanta Braves Jun 16, 2026
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants winning after 5 innings?
Yes49.5% No50.5%
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves winning after 5 innings?
Yes49.5% No50.5%
Event Live
Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Game Master (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier Playoffs
Match WinnerEnds in Daytime Jun 17, 2026
Match Winner Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Game Master (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier Playoffs
Yes58% No42%
Ends in Daytime Game 1: Ends in Daytime?
Yes50% No50%
Event Live
Dota 2: Carstensz vs InterActive Philippines (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stage
Game 1 WinnerMatch Winner Jun 17, 2026
Game 1 Winner Dota 2: Carstensz vs InterActive Philippines - Game 1 Winner
Yes100% No0.1%
Match Winner Dota 2: Carstensz vs InterActive Philippines (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stage
Yes85.5% No14.5%
Market Live
Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes21.5% No78.5%