Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 16.2%
- Current value
- $56.53K
- Potential payout
- $350K
- Potential profit
- $293.48K
- Multiplier
- 6.19x
- User PnL
- -$118.48K
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $6.92M POLITICS · MONTH · PnL sorted
Partial data Some leaderboard sections are delayed, but available rows are shown.
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $65.04K
- Potential payout
- $136.93K
- Potential profit
- $71.89K
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $28K
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 83.9%
- Current value
- $293.48K
- Potential payout
- $350K
- Potential profit
- $56.53K
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $118.48K
Top Traders
POLITICS leaderboard
Rank #1
wan123
0xde7b...5f4b Public
- PnL
- $1.31M
- Volume
- $2.2M
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $1.42M
- Potential payout
- $1.42M
- Potential profit
- $2.13K
- User PnL
- $1.19M
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $144.09K
- Potential payout
- $144.31K
- Potential profit
- $216.46
- User PnL
- $98.84K
Rank #2
denizz
0xbaa2...2c73 Public @denizz_poly
- PnL
- $1.19M
- Volume
- $6.77M
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $950.38K
- Potential payout
- $951.8K
- Potential profit
- $1.43K
- User PnL
- $810.76K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $262.31K
- Potential payout
- $289.84K
- Potential profit
- $27.53K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $70.71K
Rank #3
Erasmus.
0xc658...b784 Public
- PnL
- $721.41K
- Volume
- $1.26M
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $688.65K
- Potential payout
- $689.68K
- Potential profit
- $1.03K
- User PnL
- $396.07K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $352.88K
- Potential payout
- $353.41K
- Potential profit
- $530.12
- User PnL
- $251.88K
Rank #4
Arbguy
0x53e5...6177 Public
- PnL
- $586.64K
- Volume
- $2.93M
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 83.9%
- Current value
- $293.48K
- Potential payout
- $350K
- Potential profit
- $56.53K
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $118.48K
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 16.2%
- Current value
- $56.53K
- Potential payout
- $350K
- Potential profit
- $293.48K
- Multiplier
- 6.19x
- User PnL
- -$118.48K
Rank #5
BrightStars
0xc84f...e0c5 Public
- PnL
- $581.17K
- Volume
- $2.91M
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $579.29K
- Potential payout
- $580.16K
- Potential profit
- $870.24
- User PnL
- $340.11K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $204.79K
- Potential payout
- $205.1K
- Potential profit
- $307.65
- User PnL
- $166.39K
Rank #6
Wickier
0x1cc1...b8df Public
- PnL
- $567.3K
- Volume
- $1.27M
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $462.27K
- Potential payout
- $462.96K
- Potential profit
- $694.45
- User PnL
- $400.72K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $51.68K
- Potential payout
- $51.97K
- Potential profit
- $285.81
- User PnL
- $18.85K
Rank #7
ScottyNooo
0xbacd...ab35 Public
- PnL
- $499.62K
- Volume
- $5.42M
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 0
Rank #8
coali10
0x7bc1...8db4 Public
- PnL
- $499.55K
- Volume
- $5.37M
- Win rate
- 53.1%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $406.43K
- Potential payout
- $407.04K
- Potential profit
- $610.55
- User PnL
- $68.72K
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $227.23K
- Potential payout
- $230.81K
- Potential profit
- $3.58K
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $27.48K
Rank #9
tetrose
0x7447...a16d Public
- PnL
- $498.24K
- Volume
- $3.38M
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $152.77K
- Potential payout
- $153K
- Potential profit
- $229.51
- User PnL
- $137.43K
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.7%
- Current value
- $46.35K
- Potential payout
- $53.5K
- Potential profit
- $7.14K
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $763.91
Rank #10
Valen9
0x162f...798d Public
- PnL
- $459.8K
- Volume
- $4.98M
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $311.42K
- Potential payout
- $311.89K
- Potential profit
- $467.83
- User PnL
- $236.64K
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $65.04K
- Potential payout
- $136.93K
- Potential profit
- $71.89K
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $28K
Rank #11
cigarettes
0xd218...b5c9 Public @friendlyping
- PnL
- $431.49K
- Volume
- $2.21M
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Algeria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $25.07K
- Potential payout
- $25.94K
- Potential profit
- $869.1
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $2.28K
Yes position
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $21.35K
- Potential payout
- $30.72K
- Potential profit
- $9.37K
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $6.43K
Rank #12
Clicker1
0xc884...e17e Public
- PnL
- $429.82K
- Volume
- $680.88K
- Win rate
- 80%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $425.68K
- Potential payout
- $426.32K
- Potential profit
- $639.48
- User PnL
- $238.78K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $210.75K
- Potential payout
- $211.91K
- Potential profit
- $1.17K
- User PnL
- $4.34K
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $221.75K
- Potential payout
- $253.42K
- Potential profit
- $31.68K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $52.52K
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $65.04K
- Potential payout
- $136.93K
- Potential profit
- $71.89K
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $28K
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 16.2%
- Current value
- $56.53K
- Potential payout
- $350K
- Potential profit
- $293.48K
- Multiplier
- 6.19x
- User PnL
- -$118.48K
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $56.51K
- Potential payout
- $58.05K
- Potential profit
- $1.54K
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $4.81K
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.7%
- Current value
- $46.35K
- Potential payout
- $53.5K
- Potential profit
- $7.14K
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $763.91
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $38.62K
- Potential payout
- $40K
- Potential profit
- $1.38K
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.92K
Market Context
Live markets traders may be watching
Event Live
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White SoxO/U 8.5 Jun 18, 2026
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox
Yes53% No47%
O/U 8.5 Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5
Yes79% No21%
Event Live
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C
Match WinnerGame Handicap: SGW (-1.5) vs Saigon Dino (+1.5) Jun 10, 2026
Match Winner LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C
Yes100% No0%
Game Handicap: SGW (-1.5) vs Saigon Dino (+1.5)
Yes50% No50%
Event Live
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta BravesNRFI Jun 23, 2026
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves
Yes46.5% No53.5%
NRFI Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves
Yes100% No0%
Event Live
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. AthleticsO/U 10.5 Jun 24, 2026
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics
Yes24.5% No75.5%
O/U 10.5 Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5
Yes50.5% No49.5%
Event Live
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles DodgersSpread -3.5 Jun 24, 2026
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Yes41.5% No58.5%
Spread -3.5 Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)
Yes8% No92%
Event Live
Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona DiamondbacksSpread -1.5 Jun 24, 2026
Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Yes97.8% No2.3%
Spread -1.5 Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)
Yes0.9% No99.1%
Event Live
Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners
Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle MarinersSpread -2.5 Jun 24, 2026
Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners
Yes40.5% No59.5%
Spread -2.5 Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)
Yes11% No89%
Event MLB Live
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox - First 5 Innings Winner
Atlanta BravesDraw Jun 11, 2026
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves winning after 5 innings?
Yes50% No50%
Draw Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: Tied after 5 innings?
Yes50% No50%
Event Live
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves - First 5 Innings Winner
San Francisco GiantsAtlanta Braves Jun 16, 2026
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants winning after 5 innings?
Yes49.5% No50.5%
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves winning after 5 innings?
Yes50% No50%
Event Live
Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacks - First 5 Innings Winner
Los Angeles AngelsArizona Diamondbacks Jun 17, 2026
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels winning after 5 innings?
Yes100% No0.1%
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks winning after 5 innings?
Yes0% No100%
Event Live
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics - First 5 Innings Winner
AthleticsPittsburgh Pirates Jun 17, 2026
Athletics Athletics winning after 5 innings?
Yes90.5% No9.5%
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates winning after 5 innings?
Yes0.1% No100%
Event Live
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers - First 5 Innings Winner
Tampa Bay RaysLos Angeles Dodgers Jun 17, 2026
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays winning after 5 innings?
Yes0.1% No100%
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers winning after 5 innings?
Yes8.4% No91.6%