Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $305.06K
- Potential profit
- $305.06K
- User PnL
- -$37.25K
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $1.49M POLITICS · WEEK · PnL sorted
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 16.2%
- Current value
- $56.53K
- Potential payout
- $350K
- Potential profit
- $293.48K
- Multiplier
- 6.19x
- User PnL
- -$118.48K
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $65.04K
- Potential payout
- $136.93K
- Potential profit
- $71.89K
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $28K
Top Traders
POLITICS leaderboard
Rank #1
denizz
0xbaa2...2c73 Public @denizz_poly
- PnL
- $342.67K
- Volume
- $1.65M
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $950.38K
- Potential payout
- $951.8K
- Potential profit
- $1.43K
- User PnL
- $810.76K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $262.31K
- Potential payout
- $289.84K
- Potential profit
- $27.53K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $70.71K
Rank #2
wan123
0xde7b...5f4b Public
- PnL
- $266.79K
- Volume
- $77.93K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $1.42M
- Potential payout
- $1.42M
- Potential profit
- $2.13K
- User PnL
- $1.19M
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $144.09K
- Potential payout
- $144.31K
- Potential profit
- $216.46
- User PnL
- $98.84K
Rank #3
Valen9
0x162f...798d Public
- PnL
- $133.58K
- Volume
- $1.43M
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $311.42K
- Potential payout
- $311.89K
- Potential profit
- $467.83
- User PnL
- $236.64K
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $65.04K
- Potential payout
- $136.93K
- Potential profit
- $71.89K
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $28K
Rank #4
BrightStars
0xc84f...e0c5 Public
- PnL
- $131.77K
- Volume
- $622.1K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $579.29K
- Potential payout
- $580.16K
- Potential profit
- $870.24
- User PnL
- $340.11K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $204.79K
- Potential payout
- $205.1K
- Potential profit
- $307.65
- User PnL
- $166.39K
Rank #5
PatrocIus
0xdf17...97d1 Public
- PnL
- $120.71K
- Volume
- $1.52M
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $558.79K
- Potential payout
- $559.63K
- Potential profit
- $839.44
- User PnL
- $287.34K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $317.92K
- Potential payout
- $318.4K
- Potential profit
- $477.6
- User PnL
- $91.74K
Rank #6
Erasmus.
0xc658...b784 Public
- PnL
- $113.26K
- Volume
- $151.16K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $688.65K
- Potential payout
- $689.68K
- Potential profit
- $1.03K
- User PnL
- $396.07K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $352.88K
- Potential payout
- $353.41K
- Potential profit
- $530.12
- User PnL
- $251.88K
Rank #7
aenews2
0x44c1...ebc1 Public @aenews
- PnL
- $110.09K
- Volume
- $3.64M
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $134.61K
- Potential payout
- $136.73K
- Potential profit
- $2.12K
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $10.97K
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $104.77K
- Potential payout
- $119.73K
- Potential profit
- $14.97K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $19.19K
Rank #8
Arbguy
0x53e5...6177 Public
- PnL
- $92.84K
- Volume
- $1.23M
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 83.9%
- Current value
- $293.48K
- Potential payout
- $350K
- Potential profit
- $56.53K
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $118.48K
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 16.2%
- Current value
- $56.53K
- Potential payout
- $350K
- Potential profit
- $293.48K
- Multiplier
- 6.19x
- User PnL
- -$118.48K
Rank #9
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465
0x2c33...0563 Public
- PnL
- $92.31K
- Volume
- $1.53M
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $385.99K
- Potential payout
- $386.57K
- Potential profit
- $579.85
- User PnL
- $99.53K
No position
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $253.08K
- Potential payout
- $255.77K
- Potential profit
- $2.69K
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $10.97K
Rank #10
Wickier
0x1cc1...b8df Public
- PnL
- $83.31K
- Volume
- $250.63K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $462.27K
- Potential payout
- $462.96K
- Potential profit
- $694.45
- User PnL
- $400.72K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $51.68K
- Potential payout
- $51.97K
- Potential profit
- $285.81
- User PnL
- $18.85K
Rank #11
tetrose
0x7447...a16d Public
- PnL
- $76.1K
- Volume
- $1.04M
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $152.77K
- Potential payout
- $153K
- Potential profit
- $229.51
- User PnL
- $137.43K
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.7%
- Current value
- $46.35K
- Potential payout
- $53.5K
- Potential profit
- $7.14K
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $763.91
Rank #12
zb8
0x0224...292a Public @zb8zb9
- PnL
- $68.8K
- Volume
- $632.15K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $363.68K
- Potential payout
- $364.22K
- Potential profit
- $546.34
- User PnL
- $147.99K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $49.57K
- Potential payout
- $49.64K
- Potential profit
- $74.46
- User PnL
- $28.13K
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $221.75K
- Potential payout
- $253.42K
- Potential profit
- $31.68K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $52.52K
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $134.61K
- Potential payout
- $136.73K
- Potential profit
- $2.12K
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $10.97K
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $65.04K
- Potential payout
- $136.93K
- Potential profit
- $71.89K
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $28K
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 16.2%
- Current value
- $56.53K
- Potential payout
- $350K
- Potential profit
- $293.48K
- Multiplier
- 6.19x
- User PnL
- -$118.48K
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $56.51K
- Potential payout
- $58.05K
- Potential profit
- $1.54K
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $4.81K
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.7%
- Current value
- $46.35K
- Potential payout
- $53.5K
- Potential profit
- $7.14K
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $763.91
Market Context
Live markets traders may be watching
Event Live
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White SoxO/U 8.5 Jun 18, 2026
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox
Yes53% No47%
O/U 8.5 Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5
Yes79% No21%
Event Live
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C
Match WinnerGame Handicap: SGW (-1.5) vs Saigon Dino (+1.5) Jun 10, 2026
Match Winner LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C
Yes100% No0%
Game Handicap: SGW (-1.5) vs Saigon Dino (+1.5)
Yes50% No50%
Event Live
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta BravesNRFI Jun 23, 2026
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves
Yes46.5% No53.5%
NRFI Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves
Yes100% No0%
Event Live
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. AthleticsO/U 10.5 Jun 24, 2026
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics
Yes24.5% No75.5%
O/U 10.5 Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5
Yes50.5% No49.5%
Event Live
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles DodgersSpread -3.5 Jun 24, 2026
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Yes41.5% No58.5%
Spread -3.5 Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)
Yes8% No92%
Event Live
Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona DiamondbacksSpread -1.5 Jun 24, 2026
Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Yes97.8% No2.3%
Spread -1.5 Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)
Yes0.9% No99.1%
Event Live
Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners
Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle MarinersSpread -2.5 Jun 24, 2026
Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners
Yes40.5% No59.5%
Spread -2.5 Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)
Yes11% No89%
Event MLB Live
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox - First 5 Innings Winner
Atlanta BravesDraw Jun 11, 2026
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves winning after 5 innings?
Yes50% No50%
Draw Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: Tied after 5 innings?
Yes50% No50%
Event Live
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves - First 5 Innings Winner
San Francisco GiantsAtlanta Braves Jun 16, 2026
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants winning after 5 innings?
Yes49.5% No50.5%
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves winning after 5 innings?
Yes50% No50%
Event Live
Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacks - First 5 Innings Winner
Los Angeles AngelsArizona Diamondbacks Jun 17, 2026
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels winning after 5 innings?
Yes100% No0.1%
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks winning after 5 innings?
Yes0% No100%
Event Live
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics - First 5 Innings Winner
AthleticsPittsburgh Pirates Jun 17, 2026
Athletics Athletics winning after 5 innings?
Yes90.5% No9.5%
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates winning after 5 innings?
Yes0.1% No100%
Event Live
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers - First 5 Innings Winner
Tampa Bay RaysLos Angeles Dodgers Jun 17, 2026
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays winning after 5 innings?
Yes0.1% No100%
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers winning after 5 innings?
Yes8.4% No91.6%