Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 23.9%
- Current value
- $70.59K
- Potential payout
- $295.96K
- Potential profit
- $225.37K
- Multiplier
- 4.19x
- User PnL
- $69.42K
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $539.51K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 38.1%
- Current value
- $126.21K
- Potential payout
- $331.7K
- Potential profit
- $205.49K
- Multiplier
- 2.63x
- User PnL
- -$35.12K
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $50.7K
- Potential payout
- $131.68K
- Potential profit
- $80.98K
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $20.49K
Top Traders
POLITICS leaderboard
Rank #1
RWCS
0x4ab9...8ebe Public
- PnL
- $102.27K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
Yes position
[Single Market] Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- User PnL
- -$300
No position
[Single Market] Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.89K
- Potential profit
- $54.89K
- User PnL
- -$25K
Rank #2
AvrahamEisenberg - 10161
0x6c3a...c459 Public
- PnL
- $100.29K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Ethereum switch to Proof-of-Stake (EIP-3675) by February 22, 2022?
Ends Feb 22, 2022- Implied probability
- 4.4%
- Current value
- $25.07
- Potential payout
- $574.96
- Potential profit
- $549.89
- Multiplier
- 22.94x
- User PnL
- -$174.93
No position
Will 3 or more of Dan Ariely’s papers be retracted by December 31, 2021?
Ends Dec 31, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.43
- Potential payout
- $2.43
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.1
Rank #3
0xa8cf...031f
0xa8cf...031f Public
- PnL
- $85.55K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #4
hopedieslast
0x5739...5f1a Public
- PnL
- $53.62K
- Volume
- $7K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 58%
- Current value
- $70.37K
- Potential payout
- $121.34K
- Potential profit
- $50.96K
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- -$7.06K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.7%
- Current value
- $35.07K
- Potential payout
- $90.73K
- Potential profit
- $55.67K
- Multiplier
- 2.59x
- User PnL
- $11.55K
Rank #5
Poyo
0x3d8a...5724 Public
- PnL
- $50.77K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $94.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $5.5
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $3.5
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 92.9%
- Current value
- $83.57
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $6.44
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$1.84
Rank #6
tetrose
0x7447...a16d Public
- PnL
- $44.78K
- Volume
- $341.21K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.9%
- Current value
- $80.37K
- Potential payout
- $86.56K
- Potential profit
- $6.19K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $5.15K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $35.24K
- Potential payout
- $35.68K
- Potential profit
- $446.02
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $16.62K
Rank #7
MonsieurDimanche
0x0d18...24a6 Public
- PnL
- $29.73K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Up position
Solana Up or Down - February 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $716.22
- Potential profit
- $716.22
- User PnL
- -$322.3
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $789.45
- Potential profit
- $789.45
- User PnL
- -$370.86
Rank #8
0x0f35...c84a
0x0f35...c84a Public
- PnL
- $27.25K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
N
No position
Will Uniswap v3 launch before April 30, 2021?
Ends Apr 30, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $13.97
- Potential payout
- $13.97
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $6.98
Yes position
Will the US have fewer than 50,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before March 15, 2021?
Ends Mar 15, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $9.2
- Potential payout
- $9.2
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $4.6
Rank #9
thif - 33063
0x7821...bb1a Public
- PnL
- $23.61K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
No position
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by August 1, 2022?
Ends Aug 1, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.2
- Potential payout
- $2.2
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.2
Rank #10
FreeDiddy2028
0x136a...88ee Public
- PnL
- $21.65K
- Volume
- $31.43K
- Win rate
- 77.8%
- Open positions
- 1
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 58%
- Current value
- $65.67K
- Potential payout
- $113.22K
- Potential profit
- $47.55K
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- -$8.97K
Rank #11
ImJustKen
0x9d84...1344 Verified @Domahhhh
- PnL
- $19.69K
- Volume
- $36.47K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.1%
- Current value
- $66.31K
- Potential payout
- $89.55K
- Potential profit
- $23.24K
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- $61.88K
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $50.7K
- Potential payout
- $131.68K
- Potential profit
- $80.98K
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $20.49K
Rank #12
Brokie
0x1e1f...c855 Public @BrokieTrades
- PnL
- $19.69K
- Volume
- $24.42K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 38.1%
- Current value
- $126.21K
- Potential payout
- $331.7K
- Potential profit
- $205.49K
- Multiplier
- 2.63x
- User PnL
- -$35.12K
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 23.9%
- Current value
- $70.59K
- Potential payout
- $295.96K
- Potential profit
- $225.37K
- Multiplier
- 4.19x
- User PnL
- $69.42K
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 58%
- Current value
- $70.37K
- Potential payout
- $121.34K
- Potential profit
- $50.96K
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- -$7.06K
Yes position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.1%
- Current value
- $66.31K
- Potential payout
- $89.55K
- Potential profit
- $23.24K
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- $61.88K
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $62.67K
- Potential payout
- $65.32K
- Potential profit
- $2.65K
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $2.34K
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $50.7K
- Potential payout
- $131.68K
- Potential profit
- $80.98K
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $20.49K
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.3%
- Current value
- $41.46K
- Potential payout
- $51.03K
- Potential profit
- $9.57K
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $35.84K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $35.24K
- Potential payout
- $35.68K
- Potential profit
- $446.02
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $16.62K
Market Context
Live markets traders may be watching
Market Soccer Live
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jul 20, 2026
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes6.7% No93.4%
Market Soccer Live
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jul 20, 2026
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes5.8% No94.3%
Market Soccer Live
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jul 20, 2026
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes18.5% No81.6%
Market Soccer Live
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jul 20, 2026
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes12.9% No87.2%
Market Soccer Live
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jul 20, 2026
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes2.5% No97.6%
Market Soccer Live
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jul 20, 2026
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes13.7% No86.4%
Market Soccer Live
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jul 20, 2026
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes7.4% No92.7%
Market Soccer Live
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jul 20, 2026
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes11.8% No88.3%
Market Soccer Live
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jul 20, 2026
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes1.5% No98.6%