Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.6%
- Current value
- $3.62K
- Potential payout
- $19.53K
- Potential profit
- $15.91K
- Multiplier
- 5.39x
- User PnL
- -$478.54
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page -$570.67 TECH · DAY · Volume sorted
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.4%
- Current value
- $635.91
- Potential payout
- $4.76K
- Potential profit
- $4.13K
- Multiplier
- 7.49x
- User PnL
- $17.92
Yes position
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $4.72K
- Potential payout
- $9.72K
- Potential profit
- $5.01K
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- -$322.06
Top Traders
TECH leaderboard
Rank #1
0xee67...67a6
0xee67...67a6 Public
- PnL
- -$7.16
- Volume
- $1.95K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) settle at $100-$115 in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $40.74
- Potential payout
- $3.26K
- Potential profit
- $3.22K
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- $27.7
Yes position
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $33.1
- Potential payout
- $3.68K
- Potential profit
- $3.64K
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- $9.34
Rank #2
dumbfuqLIQUIDITYprovider
0x0482...6b0a Public
- PnL
- -$109.93
- Volume
- $1.8K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $5.58K
- Potential payout
- $10.43K
- Potential profit
- $4.85K
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$80.47
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.6%
- Current value
- $3.62K
- Potential payout
- $19.53K
- Potential profit
- $15.91K
- Multiplier
- 5.39x
- User PnL
- -$478.54
Rank #3
09f3be3c174a84
0x9ef8...8949 Public
- PnL
- -$3.33
- Volume
- $1.67K
- Win rate
- 38.9%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $4.72
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $50.83
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Yes position
Will Rihanna perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $2.68
- Potential payout
- $77.56
- Potential profit
- $74.88
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- -$0.32
Rank #4
cqk
0x7365...64da Public
- PnL
- -$96.89
- Volume
- $929.99
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $4.72K
- Potential payout
- $9.72K
- Potential profit
- $5.01K
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- -$322.06
No position
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51%
- Current value
- $2.26K
- Potential payout
- $4.42K
- Potential profit
- $2.17K
- Multiplier
- 1.96x
- User PnL
- $677.67
Rank #5
PavtheGreat
0x048a...9be4 Public
- PnL
- $20.12
- Volume
- $700
- Win rate
- 79.5%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.2%
- Current value
- $1.1K
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $93.81
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $68.39
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $1.07K
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $29.15
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $102.85
Rank #6
Bigggggggg
0x511f...cbe1 Public
- PnL
- $12.81
- Volume
- $603.99
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $570.57
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $683.43
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- $431.24
Yes position
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $345
- Potential payout
- $1.97K
- Potential profit
- $1.63K
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $285.26
Rank #7
Annihilation
0xd416...d9e2 Public
- PnL
- -$412.45
- Volume
- $537.38
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $952.32
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $148.63
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$12.38
No position
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $384.4
- Potential payout
- $474.57
- Potential profit
- $90.17
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $103.09
Rank #8
david420
0x9416...5a15 Public
- PnL
- $0.37
- Volume
- $537.18
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.4%
- Current value
- $635.91
- Potential payout
- $4.76K
- Potential profit
- $4.13K
- Multiplier
- 7.49x
- User PnL
- $17.92
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 52%
- Current value
- $535.08
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $493.92
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- $135.08
Rank #9
planktonXD
0x4ffe...9f71 Public
- PnL
- $8.92
- Volume
- $430.5
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $440.1
- Potential payout
- $1.8K
- Potential profit
- $1.36K
- Multiplier
- 4.09x
- User PnL
- $418.5
Yes position
Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 12.7%
- Current value
- $326.33
- Potential payout
- $2.57K
- Potential profit
- $2.24K
- Multiplier
- 7.87x
- User PnL
- $321.05
Rank #10
ToyodaMan
0x9d4a...6cb1 Public
- PnL
- $16.86
- Volume
- $411.48
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $3.49K
- Potential payout
- $4.31K
- Potential profit
- $819.51
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $168.48
Yes position
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?
Ends Jan 10, 2027- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $1.34K
- Potential payout
- $1.55K
- Potential profit
- $208.87
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $118.47
Rank #11
1walrus
0x6560...e164 Public
- PnL
- $3.22
- Volume
- $388.25
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $3.91K
- Potential payout
- $3.99K
- Potential profit
- $79.85
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $48.2
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $730.46
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $291.16
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- -$8.87
Rank #12
hl.contrariandog
0x0ab3...b750 Public @Deshady_
- PnL
- $12.88
- Volume
- $361.55
- Win rate
- 27.8%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $35.85
- Potential payout
- $35.85K
- Potential profit
- $35.81K
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$28.93
Yes position
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.9%
- Current value
- $32
- Potential payout
- $361.55
- Potential profit
- $329.55
- Multiplier
- 11.30x
- User PnL
- $20.3
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.6%
- Current value
- $3.62K
- Potential payout
- $19.53K
- Potential profit
- $15.91K
- Multiplier
- 5.39x
- User PnL
- -$478.54
No position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $3.49K
- Potential payout
- $4.31K
- Potential profit
- $819.51
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $168.48
No position
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51%
- Current value
- $2.26K
- Potential payout
- $4.42K
- Potential profit
- $2.17K
- Multiplier
- 1.96x
- User PnL
- $677.67
Yes position
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $2.23K
- Potential payout
- $4.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.27K
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $427.5
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $1.99K
- Potential payout
- $2.99K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- -$24.89
Yes position
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?
Ends Jan 10, 2027- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $1.34K
- Potential payout
- $1.55K
- Potential profit
- $208.87
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $118.47
Market Context
Live markets traders may be watching
Event Live
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White SoxO/U 8.5 Jun 18, 2026
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox
Yes53% No47%
O/U 8.5 Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5
Yes79% No21%
Event Live
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C
Match WinnerGame Handicap: SGW (-1.5) vs Saigon Dino (+1.5) Jun 10, 2026
Match Winner LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C
Yes100% No0%
Game Handicap: SGW (-1.5) vs Saigon Dino (+1.5)
Yes50% No50%
Event Live
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta BravesNRFI Jun 23, 2026
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves
Yes46.5% No53.5%
NRFI Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves
Yes100% No0%
Event Live
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. AthleticsO/U 10.5 Jun 24, 2026
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics
Yes24.5% No75.5%
O/U 10.5 Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5
Yes50.5% No49.5%
Event Live
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles DodgersSpread -3.5 Jun 24, 2026
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Yes41.5% No58.5%
Spread -3.5 Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)
Yes8% No92%
Event Live
Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona DiamondbacksSpread -1.5 Jun 24, 2026
Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Yes97.8% No2.3%
Spread -1.5 Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)
Yes0.9% No99.1%
Event Live
Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners
Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle MarinersSpread -2.5 Jun 24, 2026
Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners
Yes40.5% No59.5%
Spread -2.5 Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)
Yes11% No89%
Event MLB Live
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox - First 5 Innings Winner
Atlanta BravesDraw Jun 11, 2026
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves winning after 5 innings?
Yes50% No50%
Draw Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: Tied after 5 innings?
Yes50% No50%
Event Live
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves - First 5 Innings Winner
San Francisco GiantsAtlanta Braves Jun 16, 2026
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants winning after 5 innings?
Yes49.5% No50.5%
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves winning after 5 innings?
Yes50% No50%
Event Live
Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacks - First 5 Innings Winner
Los Angeles AngelsArizona Diamondbacks Jun 17, 2026
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels winning after 5 innings?
Yes100% No0.1%
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks winning after 5 innings?
Yes0% No100%
Event Live
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics - First 5 Innings Winner
AthleticsPittsburgh Pirates Jun 17, 2026
Athletics Athletics winning after 5 innings?
Yes90.5% No9.5%
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates winning after 5 innings?
Yes0.1% No100%
Event Live
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers - First 5 Innings Winner
Tampa Bay RaysLos Angeles Dodgers Jun 17, 2026
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays winning after 5 innings?
Yes0.1% No100%
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers winning after 5 innings?
Yes8.4% No91.6%