Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $5.45K TECH · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $19.35K
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $80.65K
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $2.54K

If you invest $100 $516.8 back +$416.8 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 38.6%
Current value: $9.64K
Potential payout: $25K
Potential profit: $15.36K
Multiplier: 2.59x
User PnL: -$2.86K

If you invest $100 $259.4 back +$159.4 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $15.36K
Potential payout: $25K
Potential profit: $9.64K
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $2.86K

If you invest $100 $162.73 back +$62.73 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

TECH leaderboard

Updated 12:41 PM

PnL: $1.43K
Volume: $43.47K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?

Ends Aug 14, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $1.9K
Potential payout: $2.22K
Potential profit: $321.54
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $70.23

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $1.82K
Potential payout: $2.32K
Potential profit: $499.27
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $1.82K

If you invest $100 $127.39 back +$27.39 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $734.69
Volume: $18.56K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the September interest rate announcement?

Ends Sep 2, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $113.23
Potential payout: $134
Potential profit: $20.77
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$16.88

If you invest $100 $118.34 back +$18.34 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the September interest rate announcement?

Ends Sep 2, 2026

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $112.56
Potential payout: $134
Potential profit: $21.44
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: -$17.62

If you invest $100 $119.05 back +$19.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $473.97
Volume: $14.25K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $3.1
Potential payout: $6.19K
Potential profit: $6.19K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$235.06

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2.32
Potential payout: $4.64K
Potential profit: $4.64K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$176.31

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $465.09
Volume: $15.51K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $198.45
Potential payout: $221.73
Potential profit: $23.28
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $189.92

If you invest $100 $111.73 back +$11.73 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on July 4, 2026?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $148.05
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $1.95
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $118.05

If you invest $100 $101.32 back +$1.32 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $460
Volume: $0
Win rate: 80%
Open positions: 2

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $20.59K
Potential payout: $23K
Potential profit: $2.42K
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$115

If you invest $100 $111.73 back +$11.73 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $18.86K
Potential payout: $23K
Potential profit: $4.14K
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: -$1.84K

If you invest $100 $121.95 back +$21.95 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $401.23
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $673.54
Potential payout: $1.45K
Potential profit: $774.94
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $309.51

If you invest $100 $215.05 back +$115.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 33.3%
Current value: $47.04
Potential payout: $141.46
Potential profit: $94.43
Multiplier: 3.01x
User PnL: $22.04

If you invest $100 $300.75 back +$200.75 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $397.73
Volume: $9.36K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will CD Real Tomayapo vs. Club Independiente Petrolero end in a draw?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 73.4%
Current value: $36.23
Potential payout: $49.36
Potential profit: $13.13
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $19.78

If you invest $100 $136.24 back +$36.24 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Patrick Bertelotti finish 2nd at the 2026 Nathan's Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 70%
Current value: $32.9
Potential payout: $47
Potential profit: $14.1
Multiplier: 1.43x
User PnL: $30.66

If you invest $100 $142.86 back +$42.86 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $392.6
Volume: $11.83K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $11.1
Potential payout: $11.12
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: -$0.01

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $11.1
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: -$0.01

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $354.27
Volume: $3.28K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $15.36K
Potential payout: $25K
Potential profit: $9.64K
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $2.86K

If you invest $100 $162.73 back +$62.73 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 38.6%
Current value: $9.64K
Potential payout: $25K
Potential profit: $15.36K
Multiplier: 2.59x
User PnL: -$2.86K

If you invest $100 $259.4 back +$159.4 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $346.41
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $581.51
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $669.05
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $195.39

If you invest $100 $215.05 back +$115.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $316.27
Volume: $9.38K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $13.97
Potential payout: $14
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $0.01

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Audi be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $11.97
Potential payout: $12.03
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: -$0.01

If you invest $100 $100.45 back +$0.45 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $240.01
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $19.35K
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $80.65K
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $2.54K

If you invest $100 $516.8 back +$416.8 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $14.03K
Potential payout: $18.83K
Potential profit: $4.8K
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $3.39K

If you invest $100 $134.23 back +$34.23 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $15.36K
Potential payout: $25K
Potential profit: $9.64K
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $2.86K

If you invest $100 $162.73 back +$62.73 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $14.03K
Potential payout: $18.83K
Potential profit: $4.8K
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $3.39K

If you invest $100 $134.23 back +$34.23 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $11.93K
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $3.08K
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $1.39K

If you invest $100 $125.79 back +$25.79 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 38.6%
Current value: $9.64K
Potential payout: $25K
Potential profit: $15.36K
Multiplier: 2.59x
User PnL: -$2.86K

If you invest $100 $259.4 back +$159.4 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?

Ends Aug 14, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $1.9K
Potential payout: $2.22K
Potential profit: $321.54
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $70.23

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $1.82K
Potential payout: $2.32K
Potential profit: $499.27
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $1.82K

If you invest $100 $127.39 back +$27.39 estimated profit if it wins

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