Yes position
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 34%
- Current value
- $965.56
- Potential payout
- $2.84K
- Potential profit
- $1.87K
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- -$34.43
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $1.32K TECH · DAY · PnL sorted
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $944.44
- Potential payout
- $2.22K
- Potential profit
- $1.28K
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$55.55
No position
Will Anthropic have the second best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 49%
- Current value
- $1.02K
- Potential payout
- $2.08K
- Potential profit
- $1.06K
- Multiplier
- 2.04x
- User PnL
- $828.23
Top Traders
TECH leaderboard
Rank #1
da4c07
0x81ca...3b87 Public
- PnL
- $490.4
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 44.9%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Anthropic have the second best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 49%
- Current value
- $1.02K
- Potential payout
- $2.08K
- Potential profit
- $1.06K
- Multiplier
- 2.04x
- User PnL
- $828.23
Yes position
Will Z.ai have the second best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.2%
- Current value
- $189.65
- Potential payout
- $1.44K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- Multiplier
- 7.58x
- User PnL
- $16.6
Rank #2
gotaluism
0x3466...ea7a Public
- PnL
- $172.55
- Volume
- $1.31
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $996.63
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $502.06
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- -$7.49
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $470.29
- Potential payout
- $511.19
- Potential profit
- $40.9
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $66.45
Rank #3
laseptimalavencida
0x7bc5...4626 Public @MarquezIsa58750
- PnL
- $124.2
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Dan Schwartz be the Democratic nominee for MD-01?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.1%
- Current value
- $502.47
- Potential payout
- $540
- Potential profit
- $37.53
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$3.31
No position
Will Anthropic have the second best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 49%
- Current value
- $294
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $306
- Multiplier
- 2.04x
- User PnL
- $261.5
Rank #4
sand1
0x34d0...264e Public
- PnL
- $108.04
- Volume
- $784
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $766.65
- Potential payout
- $799.84
- Potential profit
- $33.19
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $14.82
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the second best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 51%
- Current value
- $204
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $196
- Multiplier
- 1.96x
- User PnL
- $102.2
Rank #5
donthackme
0x0380...073d Public
- PnL
- $98.66
- Volume
- $1.63K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $4.17K
- Potential payout
- $4.18K
- Potential profit
- $14.64
- User PnL
- -$6.27
Yes position
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $2.52K
- Potential payout
- $2.53K
- Potential profit
- $10.14
- User PnL
- $2.24K
Rank #6
Banditoxaxa
0xe7fe...24e5 Public
- PnL
- $74.19
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $1.07K
- Potential payout
- $1.22K
- Potential profit
- $152.58
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $724.46
Y
Yes position
Will Eduardo Braide win the Governor of Maranhão election?
Ends Oct 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $1.03K
- Potential payout
- $1.28K
- Potential profit
- $250.34
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $134.49
Rank #7
yangzhe1991
0x636d...6a8f Public
- PnL
- $70.44
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.1%
- Current value
- $89.35
- Potential payout
- $741.46
- Potential profit
- $652.11
- Multiplier
- 8.30x
- User PnL
- -$60.65
No position
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $90.91
- User PnL
- -$50
Rank #8
jam516
0x4e8d...3b13 Public
- PnL
- $63.49
- Volume
- $90
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Y
Yes position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $1.33K
- Potential payout
- $1.55K
- Potential profit
- $217
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $121.68
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $990.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $9.5
- User PnL
- $280.5
Rank #9
SingletonFamilyFund
0x4c4e...297b Public
- PnL
- $59.93
- Volume
- $238.25
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Indiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $1.41K
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $90
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $281.44
Yes position
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $1.33K
- Potential payout
- $2.2K
- Potential profit
- $870.22
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$514.52
Rank #10
PavtheGreat
0x048a...9be4 Public
- PnL
- $57.95
- Volume
- $700
- Win rate
- 79.5%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.2%
- Current value
- $1.1K
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $93.81
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $68.39
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $1.07K
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $28.6
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $103.4
Rank #11
Delta141
0x7c4e...6cad Public
- PnL
- $56.65
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $1.09K
- Potential payout
- $1.37K
- Potential profit
- $280.82
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $89.04
Yes position
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 34%
- Current value
- $965.56
- Potential payout
- $2.84K
- Potential profit
- $1.87K
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- -$34.43
Rank #12
kl1v
0x5999...ae94 Public
- PnL
- $53.27
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $1.59K
- Potential payout
- $1.84K
- Potential profit
- $248.1
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $163.65
Yes position
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $939.44
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $116.11
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$29.04
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
Y
Yes position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $1.33K
- Potential payout
- $1.55K
- Potential profit
- $217
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $121.68
Yes position
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $1.33K
- Potential payout
- $2.2K
- Potential profit
- $870.22
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$514.52
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.2%
- Current value
- $1.1K
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $93.81
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $68.39
Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $1.09K
- Potential payout
- $1.37K
- Potential profit
- $280.82
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $89.04
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $1.07K
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $28.6
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $103.4
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $1.07K
- Potential payout
- $1.22K
- Potential profit
- $152.58
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $724.46
Market Context
Live markets traders may be watching
Event Live
Austria vs. Jordan
AustriaJordan Jun 17, 2026
Austria Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?
Yes68.5% No31.5%
Jordan Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17?
Yes10.5% No89.5%
Event Live
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White SoxO/U 8.5 Jun 18, 2026
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox
Yes52.5% No47.5%
O/U 8.5 Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5
Yes79% No21%
Event Live
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C
Match WinnerGame Handicap: SGW (-1.5) vs Saigon Dino (+1.5) Jun 10, 2026
Match Winner LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C
Yes100% No0%
Game Handicap: SGW (-1.5) vs Saigon Dino (+1.5)
Yes50% No50%
Event Live
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. AthleticsO/U 10.5 Jun 24, 2026
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics
Yes38.5% No61.5%
O/U 10.5 Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5
Yes100% No0.1%
Event Live
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta BravesNRFI Jun 23, 2026
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves
Yes50.5% No49.5%
NRFI Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves
Yes100% No0%
Event Live
Austria vs. Jordan - Second Half Result
AustriaJordan Jun 17, 2026
Austria Austria to win the second half?
Yes37.5% No62.5%
Jordan Jordan to win the second half?
Yes10% No90%
Event MLB Live
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox - First 5 Innings Winner
Atlanta BravesDraw Jun 11, 2026
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves winning after 5 innings?
Yes50% No50%
Draw Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: Tied after 5 innings?
Yes50% No50%
Event Live
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves - First 5 Innings Winner
San Francisco GiantsAtlanta Braves Jun 16, 2026
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants winning after 5 innings?
Yes50% No50%
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves winning after 5 innings?
Yes49.5% No50.5%
Event Live
Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Game Master (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier Playoffs
Match WinnerEnds in Daytime Jun 17, 2026
Match Winner Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Game Master (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier Playoffs
Yes62% No38%
Ends in Daytime Game 1: Ends in Daytime?
Yes50% No50%
Event Live
Dota 2: Carstensz vs InterActive Philippines (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stage
Game 1 WinnerMatch Winner Jun 17, 2026
Game 1 Winner Dota 2: Carstensz vs InterActive Philippines - Game 1 Winner
Yes100% No0.1%
Match Winner Dota 2: Carstensz vs InterActive Philippines (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stage
Yes86% No14%
Market Live
Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes21.5% No78.5%
Market Live
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Yes10.5% No89.5%