Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $16.81K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $109.55K
Potential payout: $566.15K
Potential profit: $456.6K
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $60.9K

If you invest $100 $516.8 back +$416.8 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $123.14K
Potential payout: $217.99K
Potential profit: $94.85K
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$27.94K

If you invest $100 $177.02 back +$77.02 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 67%
Current value: $62.26K
Potential payout: $92.92K
Potential profit: $30.66K
Multiplier: 1.49x
User PnL: $35.22K

If you invest $100 $149.25 back +$49.25 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 8:07 PM

PnL: $3.66K
Volume: $21.77K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $7.28K
Potential payout: $7.29K
Potential profit: $10.93
User PnL: $3.63K

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Cabo Verde?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $7.11K
Potential payout: $7.19K
Potential profit: $82.68
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $177.59

If you invest $100 $101.16 back +$1.16 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.45K
Volume: $30.57K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $511.62
Potential payout: $598.38
Potential profit: $86.77
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $74.9

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $478.44
Potential payout: $678.64
Potential profit: $200.2
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $52.61

If you invest $100 $141.84 back +$41.84 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.41K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $123.14K
Potential payout: $217.99K
Potential profit: $94.85K
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$27.94K

If you invest $100 $177.02 back +$77.02 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $109.55K
Potential payout: $566.15K
Potential profit: $456.6K
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $60.9K

If you invest $100 $516.8 back +$416.8 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.65K
Volume: $63.89K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $287.13
Potential payout: $482.57
Potential profit: $195.44
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: -$49.5

If you invest $100 $168.07 back +$68.07 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $13.23
Potential payout: $240.62
Potential profit: $227.39
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$17.62

If you invest $100 $1.82K back +$1.72K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.3K
Volume: $7.5K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $4.82
Potential payout: $48.45
Potential profit: $43.63
Multiplier: 10.05x
User PnL: -$13.06

If you invest $100 $1.01K back +$905.03 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.24K
Volume: $28.29K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $11.9K
Potential payout: $16.88K
Potential profit: $4.98K
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $945.9

If you invest $100 $141.84 back +$41.84 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.1%
Current value: $789.8
Potential payout: $813.39
Potential profit: $23.59
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $301.77

If you invest $100 $102.99 back +$2.99 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.2K
Volume: $20.9K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.62K
Potential payout: $2.63K
Potential profit: $1.31
User PnL: $3.18

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $1.64K
Potential payout: $2.39K
Potential profit: $752.66
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $24.89

If you invest $100 $145.99 back +$45.99 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.05K
Volume: $97.05K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $38.95K
Potential payout: $39.93K
Potential profit: $978.23
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $2.55K

If you invest $100 $102.51 back +$2.51 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $707.02
Potential payout: $714.89
Potential profit: $7.86
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $270.02

If you invest $100 $101.11 back +$1.11 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $946.89
Volume: $560.62
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Under position

Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$380

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $163.71
Potential profit: $163.71
User PnL: -$60.57

PnL: $911.1
Volume: $4.08K
Win rate: 85.7%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $410.25
Potential payout: $410.25
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $48

If you invest $100 $100 back +$0 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 33.4%
Current value: $3.34
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $6.67
Multiplier: 3.00x
User PnL: -$0.01

If you invest $100 $299.85 back +$199.85 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $908.82
Volume: $7.59K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $116.95
Potential payout: $199.92
Potential profit: $82.97
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $61.15

If you invest $100 $170.94 back +$70.94 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $89.87
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $0.14
User PnL: $62.87

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $788.22
Volume: $25.89K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 100-101°F on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $249.43
Potential payout: $263.94
Potential profit: $14.52
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $126.91

If you invest $100 $105.82 back +$5.82 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 46%
Current value: $223.59
Potential payout: $486.06
Potential profit: $262.47
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: -$26.41

If you invest $100 $217.39 back +$117.39 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $38.95K
Potential payout: $39.93K
Potential profit: $978.23
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $2.55K

If you invest $100 $102.51 back +$2.51 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $11.9K
Potential payout: $16.88K
Potential profit: $4.98K
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $945.9

If you invest $100 $141.84 back +$41.84 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Cabo Verde?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $7.11K
Potential payout: $7.19K
Potential profit: $82.68
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $177.59

If you invest $100 $101.16 back +$1.16 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $1.64K
Potential payout: $2.39K
Potential profit: $752.66
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $24.89

If you invest $100 $145.99 back +$45.99 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 95.7%
Current value: $1.02K
Potential payout: $1.07K
Potential profit: $46.51
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $25.28

If you invest $100 $104.55 back +$4.55 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.1%
Current value: $789.8
Potential payout: $813.39
Potential profit: $23.59
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $301.77

If you invest $100 $102.99 back +$2.99 estimated profit if it wins

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