Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $16.65K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $109.55K
Potential payout: $566.15K
Potential profit: $456.6K
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $60.9K

If you invest $100 $516.8 back +$416.8 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $123.14K
Potential payout: $217.99K
Potential profit: $94.85K
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$27.94K

If you invest $100 $177.02 back +$77.02 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 67%
Current value: $62.26K
Potential payout: $92.92K
Potential profit: $30.66K
Multiplier: 1.49x
User PnL: $35.22K

If you invest $100 $149.25 back +$49.25 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 4:24 PM

PnL: $3.58K
Volume: $20.68K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Cabo Verde?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $9.87K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $130
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $232.01

If you invest $100 $101.32 back +$1.32 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $7.28K
Potential payout: $7.29K
Potential profit: $7.29
User PnL: $3.63K

If you invest $100 $100.1 back +$0.1 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.4K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $123.14K
Potential payout: $217.99K
Potential profit: $94.85K
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$27.94K

If you invest $100 $177.02 back +$77.02 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $109.55K
Potential payout: $566.15K
Potential profit: $456.6K
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $60.9K

If you invest $100 $516.8 back +$416.8 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.22K
Volume: $27.2K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Israeli forces enter Beirut by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $932.53
Potential payout: $935.34
Potential profit: $2.81
User PnL: $43.96

If you invest $100 $100.3 back +$0.3 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 73%
Current value: $495.41
Potential payout: $678.64
Potential profit: $183.23
Multiplier: 1.37x
User PnL: $69.58

If you invest $100 $136.99 back +$36.99 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.57K
Volume: $55.63K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 62%
Current value: $292.37
Potential payout: $471.57
Potential profit: $179.2
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: -$37.33

If you invest $100 $161.29 back +$61.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 27%
Current value: $21.62
Potential payout: $80.07
Potential profit: $58.45
Multiplier: 3.70x
User PnL: $3.94

If you invest $100 $370.37 back +$270.37 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.42K
Volume: $34.37K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Argentina position

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $9.1K
Potential payout: $9.73K
Potential profit: $632.62
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $305.06

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.1%
Current value: $7.88K
Potential payout: $9.38K
Potential profit: $1.5K
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $1.4K

If you invest $100 $118.98 back +$18.98 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.31K
Volume: $7.5K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 6.8%
Current value: $3.29
Potential payout: $48.45
Potential profit: $45.16
Multiplier: 14.71x
User PnL: -$14.58

If you invest $100 $1.47K back +$1.37K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$101.62

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.21K
Volume: $20.9K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.62K
Potential payout: $2.63K
Potential profit: $1.31
User PnL: $3.18

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 68%
Current value: $1.62K
Potential payout: $2.39K
Potential profit: $764.6
Multiplier: 1.47x
User PnL: $12.94

If you invest $100 $147.06 back +$47.06 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.08K
Volume: $1.31K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $1.27K
Potential payout: $1.28K
Potential profit: $3.83
User PnL: $872.51

If you invest $100 $100.3 back +$0.3 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $579.76
Potential payout: $2.37K
Potential profit: $1.79K
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: $58.55

If you invest $100 $408.16 back +$308.16 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $946.89
Volume: $560.62
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Under position

Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$380

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $163.71
Potential profit: $163.71
User PnL: -$60.57

PnL: $910.97
Volume: $4.08K
Win rate: 85.7%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $410.04
Potential payout: $410.25
Potential profit: $0.21
User PnL: $47.79

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 33.4%
Current value: $3.34
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $6.67
Multiplier: 3.00x
User PnL: -$0.01

If you invest $100 $299.85 back +$199.85 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $893.1
Volume: $23.02K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 97°F or below on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $394.92
Potential payout: $4.41K
Potential profit: $4.02K
Multiplier: 11.17x
User PnL: $273.7

If you invest $100 $1.12K back +$1.02K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $264.9
Potential payout: $486.06
Potential profit: $221.16
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $14.9

If you invest $100 $183.49 back +$83.49 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $815.39
Volume: $6.33K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $317.91
Potential payout: $318.07
Potential profit: $0.16
User PnL: $232.06

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $103.94
Potential payout: $143.36
Potential profit: $39.42
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $69.3

If you invest $100 $137.93 back +$37.93 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Cabo Verde?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $9.87K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $130
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $232.01

If you invest $100 $101.32 back +$1.32 estimated profit if it wins

Argentina position

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $9.1K
Potential payout: $9.73K
Potential profit: $632.62
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $305.06

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.1%
Current value: $7.88K
Potential payout: $9.38K
Potential profit: $1.5K
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $1.4K

If you invest $100 $118.98 back +$18.98 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 88.9%
Current value: $6.49K
Potential payout: $7.31K
Potential profit: $814.63
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$185.09

If you invest $100 $112.55 back +$12.55 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Exact Score: Australia 2 - 2 Egypt?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 95.6%
Current value: $3.75K
Potential payout: $3.92K
Potential profit: $174.44
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $80.36

If you invest $100 $104.66 back +$4.66 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 68%
Current value: $1.62K
Potential payout: $2.39K
Potential profit: $764.6
Multiplier: 1.47x
User PnL: $12.94

If you invest $100 $147.06 back +$47.06 estimated profit if it wins

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