Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $15.4K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.1%
Current value: $113.51K
Potential payout: $566.15K
Potential profit: $452.64K
Multiplier: 4.99x
User PnL: $64.87K

If you invest $100 $498.75 back +$398.75 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $118.81K
Potential payout: $217.99K
Potential profit: $99.19K
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$32.28K

If you invest $100 $183.49 back +$83.49 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $62.31K
Potential payout: $93.69K
Potential profit: $31.39K
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $34.8K

If you invest $100 $150.38 back +$50.38 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 10:33 PM

PnL: $2.6K
Volume: $26.68K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $516.71
Potential payout: $516.97
Potential profit: $0.26
User PnL: $401.71

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $305.76
Potential payout: $736.77
Potential profit: $431.01
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $25.76

If you invest $100 $240.96 back +$140.96 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.06K
Volume: $772.63
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $118.81K
Potential payout: $217.99K
Potential profit: $99.19K
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$32.28K

If you invest $100 $183.49 back +$83.49 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.1%
Current value: $113.51K
Potential payout: $566.15K
Potential profit: $452.64K
Multiplier: 4.99x
User PnL: $64.87K

If you invest $100 $498.75 back +$398.75 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.83K
Volume: $45.75K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $1.81K
Volume: $27.92K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $1.43K
Volume: $19.92K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.81
Potential payout: $1.63K
Potential profit: $1.63K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$808.86

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.38
Potential payout: $753.15
Potential profit: $752.77
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$7.77

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.39K
Volume: $89.53K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.18K
Potential payout: $1.18K
Potential profit: $0.59
User PnL: $704.82

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.11K
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $0.56
User PnL: $380.26

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.25K
Volume: $43.78K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Graham Platner drop out by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97%
Current value: $4.13K
Potential payout: $4.26K
Potential profit: $130.05
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $123.92

If you invest $100 $103.15 back +$3.15 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 90.3%
Current value: $2.9K
Potential payout: $3.22K
Potential profit: $313.75
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: -$30.43

If you invest $100 $110.8 back +$10.8 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.05K
Volume: $2.01K
Win rate: 90%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $622.26
Potential payout: $772.99
Potential profit: $150.73
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $174.94

If you invest $100 $124.22 back +$24.22 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $601.65
Potential payout: $621.86
Potential profit: $20.21
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $392.17

If you invest $100 $103.36 back +$3.36 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.02K
Volume: $45.61K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $5.65K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $4.35K
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $649

If you invest $100 $177.02 back +$77.02 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $4.35K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $5.65K
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$650

If you invest $100 $229.89 back +$129.89 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $967.42
Volume: $20.14K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 94.7%
Current value: $445.8
Potential payout: $471
Potential profit: $25.2
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $4.41

If you invest $100 $105.65 back +$5.65 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $438.85
Potential payout: $464.39
Potential profit: $25.54
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $6.12

If you invest $100 $105.82 back +$5.82 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $899.17
Volume: $68.22K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $11.09K
Potential payout: $13.87K
Potential profit: $2.78K
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: -$41.59

If you invest $100 $125.08 back +$25.08 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $11.06K
Potential payout: $11.36K
Potential profit: $295.27
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $2.2K

If you invest $100 $102.67 back +$2.67 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $899.13
Volume: $1.34K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $269.57
Potential payout: $269.7
Potential profit: $0.13
User PnL: $88.75

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $22.65
Potential payout: $22.66
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $4.39

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $11.09K
Potential payout: $13.87K
Potential profit: $2.78K
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: -$41.59

If you invest $100 $125.08 back +$25.08 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $11.06K
Potential payout: $11.36K
Potential profit: $295.27
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $2.2K

If you invest $100 $102.67 back +$2.67 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $10.45K
Potential payout: $12.68K
Potential profit: $2.22K
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $1.24K

If you invest $100 $121.29 back +$21.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $5.65K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $4.35K
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $649

If you invest $100 $177.02 back +$77.02 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $4.35K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $5.65K
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$650

If you invest $100 $229.89 back +$129.89 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Graham Platner drop out by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97%
Current value: $4.13K
Potential payout: $4.26K
Potential profit: $130.05
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $123.92

If you invest $100 $103.15 back +$3.15 estimated profit if it wins

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