Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $15.49K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.9%
Current value: $5.4K
Potential payout: $25.82K
Potential profit: $20.42K
Multiplier: 4.78x
User PnL: -$851.98

If you invest $100 $478.47 back +$378.47 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $5.43K
Potential payout: $14.1K
Potential profit: $8.67K
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $352.54

If you invest $100 $259.74 back +$159.74 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $12.25K
Potential payout: $21.31K
Potential profit: $9.06K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $745.72

If you invest $100 $173.91 back +$73.91 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 8:08 PM

PnL: $1.98K
Volume: $6.18K
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $239.28
Potential profit: $239.28
User PnL: -$14.84

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $969.27
Potential profit: $969.27
User PnL: -$18.26

PnL: $1.98K
Volume: $95.67K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $796.96
Potential payout: $1.52K
Potential profit: $721.06
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $88.55

If you invest $100 $190.48 back +$90.48 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $714.65
Potential payout: $1.39K
Potential profit: $673.02
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $137.6

If you invest $100 $194.17 back +$94.17 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.9K
Volume: $21.28K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $1.19K
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $8.4
User PnL: $15.6

If you invest $100 $100.7 back +$0.7 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $628.85
Potential payout: $641.03
Potential profit: $12.18
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $28.26

If you invest $100 $101.94 back +$1.94 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.89K
Volume: $130.31K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $1.84K
Potential payout: $2.16K
Potential profit: $312.63
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$53.9

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Reya launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $566.08
Potential payout: $571.51
Potential profit: $5.43
User PnL: $35.59

If you invest $100 $100.96 back +$0.96 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.61K
Volume: $4.59K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $5.06
Potential payout: $10.12K
Potential profit: $10.12K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$45.53

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.78
Potential payout: $3.56K
Potential profit: $3.56K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$487.69

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.51K
Volume: $21.4K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 71%
Current value: $694.47
Potential payout: $978.12
Potential profit: $283.65
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: $605.55

If you invest $100 $140.85 back +$40.85 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $294.62
Potential payout: $1.07K
Potential profit: $776.73
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $182.12

If you invest $100 $363.64 back +$263.64 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.29K
Volume: $9.73K
Win rate: 86%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.99K
Potential payout: $2.99K
Potential profit: $1.5
User PnL: $1.95K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.9
Potential payout: $3.79K
Potential profit: $3.79K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$396.93

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.2K
Volume: $7.46K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $2.6K
Potential payout: $2.61K
Potential profit: $5.21
User PnL: $1.08K

If you invest $100 $100.2 back +$0.2 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $1.49K
Potential payout: $3.14K
Potential profit: $1.65K
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $491.48

If you invest $100 $210.53 back +$110.53 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.11K
Volume: $11.88K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $11.9K
Potential payout: $16.88K
Potential profit: $4.98K
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $945.9

If you invest $100 $141.84 back +$41.84 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $7.63K
Potential payout: $7.64K
Potential profit: $11.47
User PnL: $26.75

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.02K
Volume: $7.97K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.87
Potential profit: $8.87
User PnL: -$6.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$215.87

PnL: $922.25
Volume: $2.22K
Win rate: 58.3%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $12.25K
Potential payout: $21.31K
Potential profit: $9.06K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $745.72

If you invest $100 $173.91 back +$73.91 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $5.43K
Potential payout: $14.1K
Potential profit: $8.67K
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $352.54

If you invest $100 $259.74 back +$159.74 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $912.58
Volume: $164.05K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.14K
Potential payout: $1.14K
Potential profit: $0.57
User PnL: $835.46

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $941.6
Potential payout: $942.07
Potential profit: $0.47
User PnL: $758

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.9%
Current value: $5.4K
Potential payout: $25.82K
Potential profit: $20.42K
Multiplier: 4.78x
User PnL: -$851.98

If you invest $100 $478.47 back +$378.47 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $2.78K
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $225
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $975

If you invest $100 $108.11 back +$8.11 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $1.84K
Potential payout: $2.16K
Potential profit: $312.63
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$53.9

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $1.49K
Potential payout: $3.14K
Potential profit: $1.65K
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $491.48

If you invest $100 $210.53 back +$110.53 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $796.96
Potential payout: $1.52K
Potential profit: $721.06
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $88.55

If you invest $100 $190.48 back +$90.48 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $714.65
Potential payout: $1.39K
Potential profit: $673.02
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $137.6

If you invest $100 $194.17 back +$94.17 estimated profit if it wins

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