Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $17.41K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $109.55K
Potential payout: $566.15K
Potential profit: $456.6K
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $60.9K

If you invest $100 $516.8 back +$416.8 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $123.14K
Potential payout: $217.99K
Potential profit: $94.85K
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$27.94K

If you invest $100 $177.02 back +$77.02 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 67%
Current value: $62.26K
Potential payout: $92.92K
Potential profit: $30.66K
Multiplier: 1.49x
User PnL: $35.22K

If you invest $100 $149.25 back +$49.25 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 6:10 PM

PnL: $3.79K
Volume: $21.28K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $7.28K
Potential payout: $7.29K
Potential profit: $10.93
User PnL: $3.63K

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Cabo Verde?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $7.1K
Potential payout: $7.19K
Potential profit: $89.87
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $170.4

If you invest $100 $101.27 back +$1.27 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.5K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $123.14K
Potential payout: $217.99K
Potential profit: $94.85K
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$27.94K

If you invest $100 $177.02 back +$77.02 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $109.55K
Potential payout: $566.15K
Potential profit: $456.6K
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $60.9K

If you invest $100 $516.8 back +$416.8 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.26K
Volume: $28.5K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Israeli forces enter Beirut by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $933
Potential payout: $935.34
Potential profit: $2.34
User PnL: $44.43

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $569.17
Potential payout: $570.31
Potential profit: $1.14
User PnL: $460.15

If you invest $100 $100.2 back +$0.2 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.68K
Volume: $27.86K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Iran full airspace closure by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $4.35K
Potential payout: $4.6K
Potential profit: $253.25
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $851.83

If you invest $100 $105.82 back +$5.82 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $2.47K
Potential payout: $2.49K
Potential profit: $18.65
User PnL: $578.23

If you invest $100 $100.76 back +$0.76 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.66K
Volume: $63.21K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 60%
Current value: $289.54
Potential payout: $482.57
Potential profit: $193.03
Multiplier: 1.67x
User PnL: -$47.09

If you invest $100 $166.67 back +$66.67 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $15.64
Potential payout: $240.62
Potential profit: $224.98
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$15.21

If you invest $100 $1.54K back +$1.44K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.3K
Volume: $7.5K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 9.2%
Current value: $4.46
Potential payout: $48.45
Potential profit: $43.99
Multiplier: 10.87x
User PnL: -$13.42

If you invest $100 $1.09K back +$986.96 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
User PnL: -$102.13

PnL: $1.23K
Volume: $20.9K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.62K
Potential payout: $2.63K
Potential profit: $1.31
User PnL: $3.18

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $1.64K
Potential payout: $2.39K
Potential profit: $752.66
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $24.89

If you invest $100 $145.99 back +$45.99 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.07K
Volume: $92.91K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $38.91K
Potential payout: $39.93K
Potential profit: $1.02K
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $2.51K

If you invest $100 $102.62 back +$2.62 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $619.75
Potential payout: $635.97
Potential profit: $16.22
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $198

If you invest $100 $102.62 back +$2.62 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $965.13
Volume: $26.1K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $11.9K
Potential payout: $16.88K
Potential profit: $4.98K
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $945.9

If you invest $100 $141.84 back +$41.84 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.1%
Current value: $789.8
Potential payout: $813.39
Potential profit: $23.59
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $301.77

If you invest $100 $102.99 back +$2.99 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $953.84
Volume: $7.43K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 51%
Current value: $101.96
Potential payout: $199.92
Potential profit: $97.96
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: $46.16

If you invest $100 $196.08 back +$96.08 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $89.87
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $0.14
User PnL: $62.87

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $946.89
Volume: $560.62
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Under position

Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$380

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $163.71
Potential profit: $163.71
User PnL: -$60.57

PnL: $929.38
Volume: $24.65K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 23.2%
Current value: $300.76
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $998.42
Multiplier: 4.32x
User PnL: $159.43

If you invest $100 $431.97 back +$331.97 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 100-101°F on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 54%
Current value: $285.03
Potential payout: $527.84
Potential profit: $242.8
Multiplier: 1.85x
User PnL: $40.03

If you invest $100 $185.19 back +$85.19 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $38.91K
Potential payout: $39.93K
Potential profit: $1.02K
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $2.51K

If you invest $100 $102.62 back +$2.62 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $11.9K
Potential payout: $16.88K
Potential profit: $4.98K
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $945.9

If you invest $100 $141.84 back +$41.84 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Cabo Verde?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $7.1K
Potential payout: $7.19K
Potential profit: $89.87
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $170.4

If you invest $100 $101.27 back +$1.27 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Iran full airspace closure by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $4.35K
Potential payout: $4.6K
Potential profit: $253.25
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $851.83

If you invest $100 $105.82 back +$5.82 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Exact Score: Australia 2 - 2 Egypt?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 96.1%
Current value: $3.77K
Potential payout: $3.92K
Potential profit: $152.88
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $101.92

If you invest $100 $104.06 back +$4.06 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $1.64K
Potential payout: $2.39K
Potential profit: $752.66
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $24.89

If you invest $100 $145.99 back +$45.99 estimated profit if it wins

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