Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $16.71K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $109.55K
Potential payout: $566.15K
Potential profit: $456.6K
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $60.9K

If you invest $100 $516.8 back +$416.8 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $123.14K
Potential payout: $217.99K
Potential profit: $94.85K
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$27.94K

If you invest $100 $177.02 back +$77.02 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 67%
Current value: $62.26K
Potential payout: $92.92K
Potential profit: $30.66K
Multiplier: 1.49x
User PnL: $35.22K

If you invest $100 $149.25 back +$49.25 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 5:16 PM

PnL: $3.79K
Volume: $20.85K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $7.28K
Potential payout: $7.29K
Potential profit: $10.93
User PnL: $3.63K

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Cabo Verde?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $7.1K
Potential payout: $7.19K
Potential profit: $89.87
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $170.4

If you invest $100 $101.27 back +$1.27 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.7K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $123.14K
Potential payout: $217.99K
Potential profit: $94.85K
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$27.94K

If you invest $100 $177.02 back +$77.02 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $109.55K
Potential payout: $566.15K
Potential profit: $456.6K
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $60.9K

If you invest $100 $516.8 back +$416.8 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.27K
Volume: $27.75K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Israeli forces enter Beirut by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $932.53
Potential payout: $935.34
Potential profit: $2.81
User PnL: $43.96

If you invest $100 $100.3 back +$0.3 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $566.32
Potential payout: $570.31
Potential profit: $3.99
User PnL: $457.3

If you invest $100 $100.7 back +$0.7 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.72K
Volume: $59.89K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 62%
Current value: $292.37
Potential payout: $471.57
Potential profit: $179.2
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: -$37.33

If you invest $100 $161.29 back +$61.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $15.64
Potential payout: $240.62
Potential profit: $224.98
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$15.21

If you invest $100 $1.54K back +$1.44K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.3K
Volume: $7.5K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 9.3%
Current value: $4.51
Potential payout: $48.45
Potential profit: $43.94
Multiplier: 10.75x
User PnL: -$13.37

If you invest $100 $1.08K back +$975.27 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
User PnL: -$102.13

PnL: $1.22K
Volume: $20.9K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.62K
Potential payout: $2.63K
Potential profit: $1.31
User PnL: $3.18

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $1.64K
Potential payout: $2.39K
Potential profit: $752.66
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $24.89

If you invest $100 $145.99 back +$45.99 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.03K
Volume: $24.35K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $356.62
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $942.55
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $215.29

If you invest $100 $364.3 back +$264.3 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 100-101°F on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $335.18
Potential payout: $527.84
Potential profit: $192.66
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $90.17

If you invest $100 $157.48 back +$57.48 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $946.89
Volume: $560.62
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Under position

Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$380

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $163.71
Potential profit: $163.71
User PnL: -$60.57

PnL: $910.99
Volume: $4.08K
Win rate: 85.7%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $410.25
Potential payout: $410.25
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $48

If you invest $100 $100 back +$0 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 33.4%
Current value: $3.34
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $6.67
Multiplier: 3.00x
User PnL: -$0.01

If you invest $100 $299.85 back +$199.85 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $825.32
Volume: $6.49K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $92.96
Potential payout: $199.92
Potential profit: $106.96
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $37.16

If you invest $100 $215.05 back +$115.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $89.87
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $0.14
User PnL: $62.87

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $740.06
Volume: $24.3K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Iran full airspace closure by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $4.35K
Potential payout: $4.6K
Potential profit: $253.25
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $851.83

If you invest $100 $105.82 back +$5.82 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $2.47K
Potential payout: $2.49K
Potential profit: $18.65
User PnL: $578.23

If you invest $100 $100.76 back +$0.76 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $736.51
Volume: $7.21K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C or higher on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 10.7%
Current value: $29.37
Potential payout: $274.51
Potential profit: $245.14
Multiplier: 9.35x
User PnL: $17.84

If you invest $100 $934.58 back +$834.58 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $4.68
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $75.32
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: $3.8

If you invest $100 $1.71K back +$1.61K estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Cabo Verde?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $7.1K
Potential payout: $7.19K
Potential profit: $89.87
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $170.4

If you invest $100 $101.27 back +$1.27 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Iran full airspace closure by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $4.35K
Potential payout: $4.6K
Potential profit: $253.25
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $851.83

If you invest $100 $105.82 back +$5.82 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Exact Score: Australia 2 - 2 Egypt?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 95.8%
Current value: $3.76K
Potential payout: $3.92K
Potential profit: $164.64
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $90.16

If you invest $100 $104.38 back +$4.38 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $2.13K
Potential payout: $2.36K
Potential profit: $223.89
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $181.66

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $1.64K
Potential payout: $2.39K
Potential profit: $752.66
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $24.89

If you invest $100 $145.99 back +$45.99 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 97%
Current value: $1.04K
Potential payout: $1.07K
Potential profit: $32.61
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $39.18

If you invest $100 $103.15 back +$3.15 estimated profit if it wins

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