Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $37.63K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.7%
Current value: $82.94K
Potential payout: $566.15K
Potential profit: $483.21K
Multiplier: 6.83x
User PnL: $34.29K

If you invest $100 $682.59 back +$582.59 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $136.25K
Potential payout: $217.99K
Potential profit: $81.75K
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: -$14.84K

If you invest $100 $160 back +$60 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $69.23K
Potential payout: $92.92K
Potential profit: $23.69K
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $42.19K

If you invest $100 $134.23 back +$34.23 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 11:57 PM

PnL: $9.94K
Volume: $30.24K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $3.2K
Potential payout: $3.21K
Potential profit: $16.07
User PnL: $1.69K

If you invest $100 $100.5 back +$0.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $2.77K
Potential payout: $2.79K
Potential profit: $23.76
User PnL: $110.05

If you invest $100 $100.86 back +$0.86 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $136.25K
Potential payout: $217.99K
Potential profit: $81.75K
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: -$14.84K

If you invest $100 $160 back +$60 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.7%
Current value: $82.94K
Potential payout: $566.15K
Potential profit: $483.21K
Multiplier: 6.83x
User PnL: $34.29K

If you invest $100 $682.59 back +$582.59 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.37K
Volume: $65.37K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $1.08K
Potential payout: $7.72K
Potential profit: $6.64K
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: -$417.78

If you invest $100 $714.29 back +$614.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $204.63
Potential payout: $649.61
Potential profit: $444.98
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: $13.63

If you invest $100 $317.46 back +$217.46 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.9K
Volume: $13.44K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $11.6K
Potential payout: $17.18K
Potential profit: $5.58K
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $447.38

If you invest $100 $148.15 back +$48.15 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $7.11K
Potential payout: $7.13K
Potential profit: $24.96
User PnL: $973.41

If you invest $100 $100.35 back +$0.35 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.91K
Volume: $11.32K
Win rate: 42%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C or below on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $252.86
Potential payout: $310.29
Potential profit: $57.43
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $193.72

If you invest $100 $122.71 back +$22.71 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 95.9%
Current value: $178.41
Potential payout: $186.04
Potential profit: $7.63
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $36.45

If you invest $100 $104.28 back +$4.28 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.61K
Volume: $4.54K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $23.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $76.5
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$2.5

If you invest $100 $425.53 back +$325.53 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 4.9%
Current value: $4.9
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $95.1
Multiplier: 20.41x
User PnL: -$13.1

If you invest $100 $2.04K back +$1.94K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.51K
Volume: $118.78K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $749.98
Potential payout: $4.55K
Potential profit: $3.8K
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $333.55

If you invest $100 $606.06 back +$506.06 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $651.35
Potential payout: $652.33
Potential profit: $0.98
User PnL: $459.9

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.34K
Volume: $12.88K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.86K
Potential payout: $2.87K
Potential profit: $1.43
User PnL: $176.16

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $1.89K
Potential payout: $1.92K
Potential profit: $29.82
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.06K

If you invest $100 $101.57 back +$1.57 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.02K
Volume: $14.62K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in London be 22°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 78%
Current value: $1.06K
Potential payout: $1.36K
Potential profit: $300.81
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $537.11

If you invest $100 $128.29 back +$28.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 49%
Current value: $828.8
Potential payout: $1.69K
Potential profit: $862.62
Multiplier: 2.04x
User PnL: $316.78

If you invest $100 $204.08 back +$104.08 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.02K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 86.2%
Current value: $3.19K
Potential payout: $3.7K
Potential profit: $512.45
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $1.34K

If you invest $100 $116.08 back +$16.08 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $512.45
Potential payout: $3.7K
Potential profit: $3.19K
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$1.34K

If you invest $100 $722.02 back +$622.02 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.01K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 70%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $219.63
Potential profit: $219.63
User PnL: -$3.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $127.56
Potential profit: $127.56
User PnL: -$0.49

PnL: $1.99K
Volume: $3.56K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $907.51
Potential payout: $912.98
Potential profit: $5.48
User PnL: $537.43

If you invest $100 $100.6 back +$0.6 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $871.82
Potential payout: $885.55
Potential profit: $13.73
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $573.59

If you invest $100 $101.57 back +$1.57 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $11.6K
Potential payout: $17.18K
Potential profit: $5.58K
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $447.38

If you invest $100 $148.15 back +$48.15 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 86.2%
Current value: $3.19K
Potential payout: $3.7K
Potential profit: $512.45
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $1.34K

If you invest $100 $116.08 back +$16.08 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $2.72K
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $285
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $915

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $2.34K
Potential payout: $2.37K
Potential profit: $29.57
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $137.88

If you invest $100 $101.27 back +$1.27 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $1.89K
Potential payout: $1.92K
Potential profit: $29.82
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.06K

If you invest $100 $101.57 back +$1.57 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $1.08K
Potential payout: $7.72K
Potential profit: $6.64K
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: -$417.78

If you invest $100 $714.29 back +$614.29 estimated profit if it wins

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