Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $16.04K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $109.55K
Potential payout: $566.15K
Potential profit: $456.6K
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $60.9K

If you invest $100 $516.8 back +$416.8 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $123.14K
Potential payout: $217.99K
Potential profit: $94.85K
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$27.94K

If you invest $100 $177.02 back +$77.02 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 67%
Current value: $62.26K
Potential payout: $92.92K
Potential profit: $30.66K
Multiplier: 1.49x
User PnL: $35.22K

If you invest $100 $149.25 back +$49.25 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 3:58 PM

PnL: $3.5K
Volume: $19.3K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $7.28K
Potential payout: $7.29K
Potential profit: $3.64
User PnL: $3.63K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Exact Score: Australia 2 - 2 Egypt?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $3.74K
Potential payout: $3.92K
Potential profit: $178.36
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $76.44

If you invest $100 $104.77 back +$4.77 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.1K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $123.14K
Potential payout: $217.99K
Potential profit: $94.85K
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$27.94K

If you invest $100 $177.02 back +$77.02 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $109.55K
Potential payout: $566.15K
Potential profit: $456.6K
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $60.9K

If you invest $100 $516.8 back +$416.8 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.06K
Volume: $24.61K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Israeli forces enter Beirut by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $932.53
Potential payout: $935.34
Potential profit: $2.81
User PnL: $43.96

If you invest $100 $100.3 back +$0.3 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 76%
Current value: $515.77
Potential payout: $678.64
Potential profit: $162.87
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $89.94

If you invest $100 $131.58 back +$31.58 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.79K
Volume: $32.42K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Argentina position

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $9.1K
Potential payout: $9.73K
Potential profit: $632.62
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $305.06

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.1%
Current value: $7.88K
Potential payout: $9.38K
Potential profit: $1.5K
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $1.4K

If you invest $100 $118.98 back +$18.98 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.51K
Volume: $54.48K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $719.87
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $286.94
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $17.18

If you invest $100 $139.86 back +$39.86 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 25%
Current value: $20.02
Potential payout: $80.07
Potential profit: $60.05
Multiplier: 4.00x
User PnL: $2.34

If you invest $100 $400 back +$300 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.31K
Volume: $7.5K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $2.1
Potential payout: $48.45
Potential profit: $46.35
Multiplier: 23.04x
User PnL: -$15.78

If you invest $100 $2.3K back +$2.2K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$101.62

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.18K
Volume: $20.9K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.62K
Potential payout: $2.63K
Potential profit: $1.31
User PnL: $3.18

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $1.64K
Potential payout: $2.39K
Potential profit: $752.66
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $24.89

If you invest $100 $145.99 back +$45.99 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $945.58
Volume: $560.62
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Under position

Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$380

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $163.71
Potential profit: $163.71
User PnL: -$60.57

PnL: $909.4
Volume: $4.01K
Win rate: 85.7%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $409.63
Potential payout: $410.25
Potential profit: $0.62
User PnL: $47.38

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

Argentina position

Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $3.38
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $1.63
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $0.02

If you invest $100 $148.15 back +$48.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $736.49
Volume: $1.31K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $1.27K
Potential payout: $1.28K
Potential profit: $3.83
User PnL: $872.51

If you invest $100 $100.3 back +$0.3 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $567.21
Potential payout: $626.75
Potential profit: $59.54
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $267.21

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $725.31
Volume: $7.21K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $437.43
Potential payout: $437.64
Potential profit: $0.22
User PnL: $430.22

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C or higher on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 7.7%
Current value: $21
Potential payout: $274.51
Potential profit: $253.51
Multiplier: 13.07x
User PnL: $9.47

If you invest $100 $1.31K back +$1.21K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $701.68
Volume: $20.54K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 55%
Current value: $267.33
Potential payout: $486.06
Potential profit: $218.73
Multiplier: 1.82x
User PnL: $17.33

If you invest $100 $181.82 back +$81.82 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 100-101°F on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $220.16
Potential payout: $427.5
Potential profit: $207.34
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $20.16

If you invest $100 $194.17 back +$94.17 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Argentina position

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $9.1K
Potential payout: $9.73K
Potential profit: $632.62
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $305.06

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.1%
Current value: $7.88K
Potential payout: $9.38K
Potential profit: $1.5K
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $1.4K

If you invest $100 $118.98 back +$18.98 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 89.1%
Current value: $6.51K
Potential payout: $7.31K
Potential profit: $800.02
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$170.47

If you invest $100 $112.3 back +$12.3 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Exact Score: Australia 2 - 2 Egypt?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $3.74K
Potential payout: $3.92K
Potential profit: $178.36
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $76.44

If you invest $100 $104.77 back +$4.77 estimated profit if it wins

Over position

San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $2.98K
Potential payout: $4.12K
Potential profit: $1.13K
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $987.48

If you invest $100 $137.93 back +$37.93 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $1.64K
Potential payout: $2.39K
Potential profit: $752.66
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $24.89

If you invest $100 $145.99 back +$45.99 estimated profit if it wins

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