Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.3%
- Current value
- $63.69K
- Potential payout
- $566.15K
- Potential profit
- $502.46K
- Multiplier
- 8.89x
- User PnL
- $15.04K
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $1.34M WEATHER · ALL · PnL sorted
Partial data Some leaderboard sections are delayed, but available rows are shown.
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $125.35K
- Potential payout
- $217.99K
- Potential profit
- $92.65K
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$25.74K
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $19.8
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.18K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$2.4
Top Traders
WEATHER leaderboard
Rank #1
gopfan2
0xf2f6...5817 Public @r_gopfan
- PnL
- $357.92K
- Volume
- $4.61M
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $125.35K
- Potential payout
- $217.99K
- Potential profit
- $92.65K
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$25.74K
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.3%
- Current value
- $63.69K
- Potential payout
- $566.15K
- Potential profit
- $502.46K
- Multiplier
- 8.89x
- User PnL
- $15.04K
Rank #2
aenews2
0x44c1...ebc1 Public @aenews
- PnL
- $285.64K
- Volume
- $10.09M
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $134.61K
- Potential payout
- $136.73K
- Potential profit
- $2.12K
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $10.97K
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $104.77K
- Potential payout
- $119.73K
- Potential profit
- $14.97K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $19.19K
Rank #3
ColdMath
0x594e...1c11 Public
- PnL
- $135.93K
- Volume
- $10.9M
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.42K
- Potential payout
- $1.42K
- Potential profit
- $0.71
- User PnL
- $11.8
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $13.49
- Potential payout
- $13.59
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- User PnL
- $0.58
Rank #4
gopfan
0x6af7...0ff1 Public
- PnL
- $118.43K
- Volume
- $739.9K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #5
bama124
0xe5c8...d3e7 Public
- PnL
- $86.6K
- Volume
- $410.56K
- Open positions
- 1
No position
GPT-5 announced in Q4 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.08
- Potential payout
- $2.08
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1
Rank #6
Hans323
0x0f37...1410 Public @Hans323
- PnL
- $81.16K
- Volume
- $7.24M
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $10.18K
- Potential payout
- $10.2K
- Potential profit
- $15.29
- User PnL
- $896.07
Y
Yes position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $4.66K
- Potential payout
- $4.67K
- Potential profit
- $7.01
- User PnL
- $7.01
Rank #7
Poligarch
0xb40e...7cc9 Public
- PnL
- $72.54K
- Volume
- $10.46M
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $57.68K
- Potential payout
- $59.93K
- Potential profit
- $2.25K
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $3.05K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $9.13K
- Potential payout
- $9.39K
- Potential profit
- $263.03
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $2.2K
Rank #8
Handsanitizer23
0x05e7...9641 Public
- PnL
- $71.17K
- Volume
- $953.27K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on March 19?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.5K
- Potential profit
- $19.5K
- User PnL
- -$5.07K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on March 4?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.4K
- Potential profit
- $20.4K
- User PnL
- -$224.4
Rank #9
BeefSlayer
0x331b...193f Public @BeefSlayer_
- PnL
- $66.08K
- Volume
- $1.52M
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $69.85
- Potential payout
- $69.88
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $55.17
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $463.16
- Potential profit
- $463.16
- User PnL
- -$4.52
Rank #10
automatedAItradingbot
0xd8f8...0f11 Public
- PnL
- $64.32K
- Volume
- $2.62M
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $19.8
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.18K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$2.4
Sri Lanka position
ODI Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka - Who wins the toss?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 51%
- Current value
- $5.74
- Potential payout
- $11.25
- Potential profit
- $5.51
- Multiplier
- 1.96x
- User PnL
- $3.49
Rank #11
ShyGuy1
0x1f66...4c8d Public @Mask4che
- PnL
- $63.67K
- Volume
- $5.55M
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $273.92
- Potential payout
- $1.66K
- Potential profit
- $1.39K
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$413.33
Yes position
Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $236.53
- Potential payout
- $276.64
- Potential profit
- $40.11
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $114.81
Rank #12
BigMike11
0xecdb...da79 Public
- PnL
- $62.78K
- Volume
- $850.76K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $14.35K
- Potential payout
- $16.4K
- Potential profit
- $2.05K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $3.53K
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.3%
- Current value
- $63.69K
- Potential payout
- $566.15K
- Potential profit
- $502.46K
- Multiplier
- 8.89x
- User PnL
- $15.04K
Yes position
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 67%
- Current value
- $62.26K
- Potential payout
- $92.92K
- Potential profit
- $30.66K
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- $35.22K
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $57.68K
- Potential payout
- $59.93K
- Potential profit
- $2.25K
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $3.05K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $9.13K
- Potential payout
- $9.39K
- Potential profit
- $263.03
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $2.2K
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $2.73K
- Potential payout
- $2.8K
- Potential profit
- $74.19
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $252.31
Yes position
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 71%
- Current value
- $759.42
- Potential payout
- $1.07K
- Potential profit
- $310.18
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- $447.28
Market Context
Live markets traders may be watching
Event Live
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White SoxO/U 8.5 Jun 18, 2026
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox
Yes53% No47%
O/U 8.5 Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5
Yes79% No21%
Event Live
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C
Match WinnerGame Handicap: SGW (-1.5) vs Saigon Dino (+1.5) Jun 10, 2026
Match Winner LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C
Yes100% No0%
Game Handicap: SGW (-1.5) vs Saigon Dino (+1.5)
Yes50% No50%
Event Live
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta BravesNRFI Jun 23, 2026
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves
Yes46.5% No53.5%
NRFI Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves
Yes100% No0%
Event Live
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. AthleticsO/U 10.5 Jun 24, 2026
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics
Yes24.5% No75.5%
O/U 10.5 Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5
Yes50.5% No49.5%
Event Live
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles DodgersSpread -3.5 Jun 24, 2026
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Yes41.5% No58.5%
Spread -3.5 Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)
Yes8% No92%
Event Live
Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona DiamondbacksSpread -1.5 Jun 24, 2026
Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Yes97.8% No2.3%
Spread -1.5 Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)
Yes0.9% No99.1%
Event Live
Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners
Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle MarinersSpread -2.5 Jun 24, 2026
Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners
Yes40.5% No59.5%
Spread -2.5 Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)
Yes11% No89%
Event MLB Live
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox - First 5 Innings Winner
Atlanta BravesDraw Jun 11, 2026
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves winning after 5 innings?
Yes50% No50%
Draw Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: Tied after 5 innings?
Yes50% No50%
Event Live
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves - First 5 Innings Winner
San Francisco GiantsAtlanta Braves Jun 16, 2026
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants winning after 5 innings?
Yes49.5% No50.5%
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves winning after 5 innings?
Yes50% No50%
Event Live
Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacks - First 5 Innings Winner
Los Angeles AngelsArizona Diamondbacks Jun 17, 2026
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels winning after 5 innings?
Yes100% No0.1%
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks winning after 5 innings?
Yes0% No100%
Event Live
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics - First 5 Innings Winner
AthleticsPittsburgh Pirates Jun 17, 2026
Athletics Athletics winning after 5 innings?
Yes90.5% No9.5%
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates winning after 5 innings?
Yes0.1% No100%
Event Live
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers - First 5 Innings Winner
Tampa Bay RaysLos Angeles Dodgers Jun 17, 2026
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays winning after 5 innings?
Yes0.1% No100%
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers winning after 5 innings?
Yes8.4% No91.6%