Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.1%
- Current value
- $62.84K
- Potential payout
- $566.15K
- Potential profit
- $503.31K
- Multiplier
- 9.01x
- User PnL
- $14.2K
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $87.61K WEATHER · MONTH · PnL sorted
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $125.35K
- Potential payout
- $217.99K
- Potential profit
- $92.65K
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$25.74K
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $581K
- Potential payout
- $603.63K
- Potential profit
- $22.64K
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $20.4K
Top Traders
WEATHER leaderboard
Rank #1
opopv
0x116d...fbf1 Public
- PnL
- $12.14K
- Volume
- $451.67K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $579.45
- Potential payout
- $579.74
- Potential profit
- $0.29
- User PnL
- $5.51
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $307.47
- Potential payout
- $307.62
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- User PnL
- $2.92
Rank #2
HighTempTation
0x6011...b31e Public
- PnL
- $12.07K
- Volume
- $288.1K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #3
anoin123
0x9648...6825 Public
- PnL
- $10.34K
- Volume
- $136.52K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $633.4K
- Potential payout
- $636.91K
- Potential profit
- $3.5K
- User PnL
- $80.56K
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $609.83K
- Potential payout
- $615.68K
- Potential profit
- $5.85K
- User PnL
- $47.54K
Rank #4
badatmath.
0x8fbd...a959 Public
- PnL
- $9.9K
- Volume
- $801.61K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.3%
- Current value
- $1.22K
- Potential payout
- $4.16K
- Potential profit
- $2.94K
- Multiplier
- 3.41x
- User PnL
- $1.17K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $666.51
- Potential payout
- $666.84
- Potential profit
- $0.33
- User PnL
- $566.96
Rank #5
balthazar
0x5a21...9318 Public @balthazarpoly
- PnL
- $9.58K
- Volume
- $904.09K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $20.33K
- Potential payout
- $21.21K
- Potential profit
- $880.18
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $2.47K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $17.59K
- Potential payout
- $17.62K
- Potential profit
- $26.42
- User PnL
- $4.84K
Rank #6
0xeC86a2d3f69015b1A9382e4dfA8695E1B48760E4-1770735132210
0xec86...60e4 Public
- PnL
- $7.17K
- Volume
- $850.98K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $1.29K
- Potential payout
- $1.39K
- Potential profit
- $104.29
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $41.66
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $1.25K
- Potential payout
- $1.31K
- Potential profit
- $66.4
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $5.34
Rank #7
gopfan2
0xf2f6...5817 Public @r_gopfan
- PnL
- $6.91K
- Volume
- $6.62K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $125.35K
- Potential payout
- $217.99K
- Potential profit
- $92.65K
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$25.74K
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.1%
- Current value
- $62.84K
- Potential payout
- $566.15K
- Potential profit
- $503.31K
- Multiplier
- 9.01x
- User PnL
- $14.2K
Rank #8
Weatherstappen
0xb901...9fc4 Public
- PnL
- $6.7K
- Volume
- $170.88K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.87
- Potential profit
- $8.87
- User PnL
- -$6.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$215.87
Rank #9
WeatherHK
0x488c...8c1c Public
- PnL
- $6.55K
- Volume
- $280.59K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Hong Kong have between 375-400mm of precipitation in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $245.75
- Potential payout
- $247.11
- Potential profit
- $1.36
- User PnL
- $6.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 28%
- Current value
- $200.06
- Potential payout
- $714.49
- Potential profit
- $514.43
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- $31.62
Rank #10
michi1
0xa895...faac Public
- PnL
- $6.25K
- Volume
- $81.41K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
No position
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $11.37K
- Potential payout
- $11.47K
- Potential profit
- $97.48
- User PnL
- $5.64K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $97.48
- Potential payout
- $11.47K
- Potential profit
- $11.37K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$5.64K
Rank #11
opopv2
0xafde...3e1d Public
- PnL
- $6.04K
- Volume
- $342.63K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $7.27K
- Potential payout
- $9.7K
- Potential profit
- $2.43K
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $2.42K
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 25.1%
- Current value
- $2.43K
- Potential payout
- $9.7K
- Potential profit
- $7.27K
- Multiplier
- 3.99x
- User PnL
- -$2.42K
Rank #12
OnlyLuckNoBrain
0x6a8d...50f9 Public
- PnL
- $5.92K
- Volume
- $275.65K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $639.13
- Potential payout
- $798.91
- Potential profit
- $159.78
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $569.16
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $541.11
- Potential payout
- $541.38
- Potential profit
- $0.27
- User PnL
- $486.75
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
Yes position
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 67%
- Current value
- $62.26K
- Potential payout
- $92.92K
- Potential profit
- $30.66K
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- $35.22K
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $20.33K
- Potential payout
- $21.21K
- Potential profit
- $880.18
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $2.47K
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $11.23K
- Potential payout
- $11.35K
- Potential profit
- $113.48
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $4.51K
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $7.27K
- Potential payout
- $9.7K
- Potential profit
- $2.43K
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $2.42K
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 25.1%
- Current value
- $2.43K
- Potential payout
- $9.7K
- Potential profit
- $7.27K
- Multiplier
- 3.99x
- User PnL
- -$2.42K
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $1.29K
- Potential payout
- $1.39K
- Potential profit
- $104.29
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $41.66
Market Context
Live markets traders may be watching
Event FIFA World Cup Live
Argentina vs. Algeria
ArgentinaAlgeria Jun 17, 2026
Argentina Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?
Yes99.9% No0.2%
Algeria Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?
Yes0.1% No100%
Event Live
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White SoxO/U 8.5 Jun 18, 2026
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox
Yes52.5% No47.5%
O/U 8.5 Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5
Yes80% No20%
Event Live
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C
Match WinnerGame Handicap: SGW (-1.5) vs Saigon Dino (+1.5) Jun 10, 2026
Match Winner LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C
Yes100% No0%
Game Handicap: SGW (-1.5) vs Saigon Dino (+1.5)
Yes50% No50%
Event Live
Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros
Detroit Tigers vs. Houston AstrosO/U 8.5 Jun 24, 2026
Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros
Yes10.5% No89.5%
O/U 8.5 Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5
Yes14.5% No85.5%
Event Live
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta BravesNRFI Jun 23, 2026
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves
Yes46.5% No53.5%
NRFI Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves
Yes100% No0%
Event Live
Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubs
Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago CubsO/U 9.5 Jun 24, 2026
Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubs
Yes93.5% No6.5%
O/U 9.5 Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5
Yes22% No78%
Event Live
Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona DiamondbacksSpread -1.5 Jun 24, 2026
Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Yes85.5% No14.5%
Spread -1.5 Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)
Yes6.5% No93.5%
Event Live
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles DodgersSpread -3.5 Jun 24, 2026
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Yes40.5% No59.5%
Spread -3.5 Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)
Yes14% No86%
Event Live
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. AthleticsO/U 10.5 Jun 24, 2026
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics
Yes11.5% No88.5%
O/U 10.5 Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5
Yes50% No50%
Event Live
Minnesota Twins vs. Texas Rangers
Minnesota Twins vs. Texas RangersO/U 8.5 Jun 24, 2026
Minnesota Twins vs. Texas Rangers
Yes100% No0.1%
O/U 8.5 Minnesota Twins vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5
Yes100% No0%
Event Live
Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners
Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle MarinersSpread -2.5 Jun 24, 2026
Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners
Yes45.5% No54.5%
Spread -2.5 Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)
Yes17.5% No82.5%
Event Soccer Live
Argentina vs. Algeria - Second Half Result
ArgentinaAlgeria Jun 17, 2026
Argentina Argentina to win the second half?
Yes94.5% No5.5%
Algeria Algeria to win the second half?
Yes18.5% No81.5%