Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.3%
- Current value
- $63.69K
- Potential payout
- $566.15K
- Potential profit
- $502.46K
- Multiplier
- 8.89x
- User PnL
- $15.04K
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $23.55K WEATHER · WEEK · PnL sorted
Partial data Some leaderboard sections are delayed, but available rows are shown.
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $125.35K
- Potential payout
- $217.99K
- Potential profit
- $92.65K
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$25.74K
Yes position
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 67%
- Current value
- $62.26K
- Potential payout
- $92.92K
- Potential profit
- $30.66K
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- $35.22K
Top Traders
WEATHER leaderboard
Rank #1
0X3573
0x3c95...8188 Public
- PnL
- $4.22K
- Volume
- $33.47K
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $112.54
- Potential profit
- $112.54
- User PnL
- -$0.66
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.33K
- Potential profit
- $1.33K
- User PnL
- -$36.19
Rank #2
OnlyLuckNoBrain
0x6a8d...50f9 Public
- PnL
- $3.56K
- Volume
- $55.44K
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.9%
- Current value
- $669.89
- Potential payout
- $798.91
- Potential profit
- $129.02
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $599.92
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $297.7
- Potential payout
- $297.85
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- User PnL
- $230.19
Rank #3
gghff
0x044f...d1f1 Public
- PnL
- $2.59K
- Volume
- $80.37K
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $1.56K
- Potential payout
- $1.63K
- Potential profit
- $61.8
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $27.34
No position
Israeli forces enter Beirut by June 30?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $983.49
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $16.5
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $33.5
Rank #4
HighTempTation
0x6011...b31e Public
- PnL
- $2.34K
- Volume
- $62.22K
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #5
Pityok1
0x82f3...9f82 Public
- PnL
- $2.29K
- Volume
- $36.79K
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.5K
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $0.75
- User PnL
- $144
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $641.45
- Potential payout
- $641.77
- Potential profit
- $0.32
- User PnL
- $147.26
Rank #6
0x4CE3f17Be91C3d0D6dbFed7Bd4D326957dec4291-1768045938794
0x4ce3...4291 Public
- PnL
- $2.03K
- Volume
- $32.77K
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C or higher on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $130.28
- Potential payout
- $130.61
- Potential profit
- $0.33
- User PnL
- $20.65
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $105.63
- Potential payout
- $459.25
- Potential profit
- $353.62
- Multiplier
- 4.35x
- User PnL
- $21.36
Rank #7
balthazar
0x5a21...9318 Public @balthazarpoly
- PnL
- $1.7K
- Volume
- $197.99K
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Current value
- $20.27K
- Potential payout
- $21.21K
- Potential profit
- $943.81
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $2.41K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $17.59K
- Potential payout
- $17.62K
- Potential profit
- $26.42
- User PnL
- $4.84K
Rank #8
pedrobueno
0x17e0...fe5b Public
- PnL
- $1.66K
- Volume
- $14.31K
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $835.82
- Potential profit
- $835.82
- User PnL
- -$134.58
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.35K
- Potential profit
- $1.35K
- User PnL
- -$421.35
Rank #9
BeefsSlayer
0xf1e1...c152 Public
- PnL
- $1.62K
- Volume
- $14.66K
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $1.15K
- User PnL
- -$126.58
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.28
- Potential profit
- $23.28
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Rank #10
WeatherHK
0x488c...8c1c Public
- PnL
- $1.52K
- Volume
- $38.99K
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Hong Kong have between 375-400mm of precipitation in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $245.87
- Potential payout
- $247.11
- Potential profit
- $1.24
- User PnL
- $6.18
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $182.19
- Potential payout
- $714.49
- Potential profit
- $532.3
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $13.76
Rank #11
opopv2
0xafde...3e1d Public
- PnL
- $1.47K
- Volume
- $78.08K
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $7.27K
- Potential payout
- $9.7K
- Potential profit
- $2.43K
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $2.42K
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 25.1%
- Current value
- $2.43K
- Potential payout
- $9.7K
- Potential profit
- $7.27K
- Multiplier
- 3.99x
- User PnL
- -$2.42K
Rank #12
gopfan2
0xf2f6...5817 Public @r_gopfan
- PnL
- $1.37K
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $125.35K
- Potential payout
- $217.99K
- Potential profit
- $92.65K
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$25.74K
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.3%
- Current value
- $63.69K
- Potential payout
- $566.15K
- Potential profit
- $502.46K
- Multiplier
- 8.89x
- User PnL
- $15.04K
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Current value
- $20.27K
- Potential payout
- $21.21K
- Potential profit
- $943.81
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $2.41K
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $11.23K
- Potential payout
- $11.35K
- Potential profit
- $119.16
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $4.51K
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $7.27K
- Potential payout
- $9.7K
- Potential profit
- $2.43K
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $2.42K
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 25.1%
- Current value
- $2.43K
- Potential payout
- $9.7K
- Potential profit
- $7.27K
- Multiplier
- 3.99x
- User PnL
- -$2.42K
No position
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $1.56K
- Potential payout
- $1.63K
- Potential profit
- $61.8
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $27.34
No position
Israeli forces enter Beirut by June 30?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $983.49
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $16.5
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $33.5
Market Context
Live markets traders may be watching
Event Live
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White SoxO/U 8.5 Jun 18, 2026
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox
Yes53% No47%
O/U 8.5 Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5
Yes79% No21%
Event Live
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C
Match WinnerGame Handicap: SGW (-1.5) vs Saigon Dino (+1.5) Jun 10, 2026
Match Winner LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C
Yes100% No0%
Game Handicap: SGW (-1.5) vs Saigon Dino (+1.5)
Yes50% No50%
Event Live
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta BravesNRFI Jun 23, 2026
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves
Yes46.5% No53.5%
NRFI Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves
Yes100% No0%
Event Live
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. AthleticsO/U 10.5 Jun 24, 2026
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics
Yes24.5% No75.5%
O/U 10.5 Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5
Yes50.5% No49.5%
Event Live
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles DodgersSpread -3.5 Jun 24, 2026
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Yes41.5% No58.5%
Spread -3.5 Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)
Yes8% No92%
Event Live
Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona DiamondbacksSpread -1.5 Jun 24, 2026
Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Yes97.8% No2.3%
Spread -1.5 Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)
Yes0.9% No99.1%
Event Live
Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners
Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle MarinersSpread -2.5 Jun 24, 2026
Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners
Yes40.5% No59.5%
Spread -2.5 Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)
Yes11% No89%
Event MLB Live
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox - First 5 Innings Winner
Atlanta BravesDraw Jun 11, 2026
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves winning after 5 innings?
Yes50% No50%
Draw Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: Tied after 5 innings?
Yes50% No50%
Event Live
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves - First 5 Innings Winner
San Francisco GiantsAtlanta Braves Jun 16, 2026
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants winning after 5 innings?
Yes49.5% No50.5%
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves winning after 5 innings?
Yes50% No50%
Event Live
Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacks - First 5 Innings Winner
Los Angeles AngelsArizona Diamondbacks Jun 17, 2026
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels winning after 5 innings?
Yes100% No0.1%
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks winning after 5 innings?
Yes0% No100%
Event Live
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics - First 5 Innings Winner
AthleticsPittsburgh Pirates Jun 17, 2026
Athletics Athletics winning after 5 innings?
Yes90.5% No9.5%
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates winning after 5 innings?
Yes0.1% No100%
Event Live
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers - First 5 Innings Winner
Tampa Bay RaysLos Angeles Dodgers Jun 17, 2026
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays winning after 5 innings?
Yes0.1% No100%
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers winning after 5 innings?
Yes8.4% No91.6%