Yes position
Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be below 1%?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 35%
- Current value
- $215.64
- Potential payout
- $616.11
- Potential profit
- $400.47
- Multiplier
- 2.86x
- User PnL
- -$49.29
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $1.79K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $2.46K
- Potential payout
- $3.11K
- Potential profit
- $653.28
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$69.14
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $133.67
- Potential payout
- $201
- Potential profit
- $67.34
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- -$29.15
Top Traders
WEATHER leaderboard
Rank #13
ChaosStake
0xb427...4c62 Public
- PnL
- $220.99
- Volume
- $70.36
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $224.91
- Potential payout
- $225.02
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- User PnL
- $22.21
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $199.82
- Potential payout
- $207.39
- Potential profit
- $7.57
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.26
Rank #14
CRonaldo777
0x52dc...33c9 Public
- PnL
- $203.7
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.1%
- Current value
- $5.81
- Potential payout
- $38.46
- Potential profit
- $32.65
- Multiplier
- 6.62x
- User PnL
- $0.81
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.3%
- Current value
- $5.33
- Potential payout
- $64.16
- Potential profit
- $58.83
- Multiplier
- 12.05x
- User PnL
- $2.33
Rank #15
0x49C4a535912CFec7e90b33672771a7d6BA98dB5B-1775560756137
0x49c4...db5b Public
- PnL
- $198.54
- Volume
- $160.79
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $37.92
- Potential payout
- $37.93
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $20.97
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $35.65
- Potential payout
- $36.23
- Potential profit
- $0.58
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $10.65
Rank #16
OlympusHive
0xf421...efce Public
- PnL
- $189.86
- Volume
- $5.01K
- Win rate
- 26.7%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $52.44
- Potential profit
- $52.42
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.74
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $52.44
- Potential profit
- $52.41
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.74
Rank #17
Voltron-128
0x1dce...1ae5 Public
- PnL
- $176.53
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #18
pootytherewardfarmer
0xa3e2...fdf8 Public
- PnL
- $170.42
- Volume
- $4.51K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $133.67
- Potential payout
- $201
- Potential profit
- $67.34
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- -$29.15
No position
Will Jack Schlossberg be the democratic nominee for NY-12?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $133.06
- Potential payout
- $134
- Potential profit
- $0.94
- User PnL
- $12.46
Rank #19
0xfA8cBC8ea1d02E5CE5dF2948Ed5c3ec1591D9169-1779235867284
0xfa8c...9169 Public
- PnL
- $162.95
- Volume
- $317.71
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$60
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $185.06
- Potential profit
- $185.06
- User PnL
- -$80.19
Rank #20
Stopcopyingtrades
0x8b6f...b9be Public
- PnL
- $162.38
- Volume
- $1.85K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #21
thunderstruck101
0xfc18...1341 Public
- PnL
- $156.73
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #22
0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023
0x1abc...45e7 Public
- PnL
- $148.9
- Volume
- $2.54K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 77%
- Current value
- $222.87
- Potential payout
- $289.44
- Potential profit
- $66.57
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- -$6.37
Yes position
Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be below 1%?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 35%
- Current value
- $215.64
- Potential payout
- $616.11
- Potential profit
- $400.47
- Multiplier
- 2.86x
- User PnL
- -$49.29
Rank #23
0xeC86a2d3f69015b1A9382e4dfA8695E1B48760E4-1770735132210
0xec86...60e4 Public
- PnL
- $147.97
- Volume
- $1.52K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Current value
- $743.98
- Potential payout
- $794.85
- Potential profit
- $50.87
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $7.71
No position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $725.86
- Potential payout
- $758.47
- Potential profit
- $32.61
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $16.84
Rank #24
balthazar
0x5a21...9318 Public @balthazarpoly
- PnL
- $147.95
- Volume
- $3.48K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $2.65K
- Potential payout
- $2.66K
- Potential profit
- $7.97
- User PnL
- $287.9
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $2.46K
- Potential payout
- $3.11K
- Potential profit
- $653.28
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$69.14
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
No position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $725.86
- Potential payout
- $758.47
- Potential profit
- $32.61
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $16.84
No position
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 77%
- Current value
- $222.87
- Potential payout
- $289.44
- Potential profit
- $66.57
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- -$6.37
Yes position
Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be below 1%?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 35%
- Current value
- $215.64
- Potential payout
- $616.11
- Potential profit
- $400.47
- Multiplier
- 2.86x
- User PnL
- -$49.29
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $199.82
- Potential payout
- $207.39
- Potential profit
- $7.57
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $192.78
- Potential payout
- $194.83
- Potential profit
- $2.05
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $4.66
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $133.67
- Potential payout
- $201
- Potential profit
- $67.34
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- -$29.15
Market Context
Live markets traders may be watching
Event FIFA World Cup Live
Argentina vs. Algeria
ArgentinaAlgeria Jun 17, 2026
Argentina Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?
Yes99.9% No0.2%
Algeria Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?
Yes0.1% No100%
Event Live
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White SoxO/U 8.5 Jun 18, 2026
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox
Yes52.5% No47.5%
O/U 8.5 Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5
Yes80% No20%
Event Live
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C
Match WinnerGame Handicap: SGW (-1.5) vs Saigon Dino (+1.5) Jun 10, 2026
Match Winner LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C
Yes100% No0%
Game Handicap: SGW (-1.5) vs Saigon Dino (+1.5)
Yes50% No50%
Event Live
Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros
Detroit Tigers vs. Houston AstrosO/U 8.5 Jun 24, 2026
Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros
Yes10.5% No89.5%
O/U 8.5 Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5
Yes14.5% No85.5%
Event Live
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta BravesNRFI Jun 23, 2026
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves
Yes46.5% No53.5%
NRFI Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves
Yes100% No0%
Event Live
Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubs
Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago CubsO/U 9.5 Jun 24, 2026
Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubs
Yes93.5% No6.5%
O/U 9.5 Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5
Yes22% No78%
Event Live
Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona DiamondbacksSpread -1.5 Jun 24, 2026
Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Yes85.5% No14.5%
Spread -1.5 Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)
Yes6.5% No93.5%
Event Live
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles DodgersSpread -3.5 Jun 24, 2026
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Yes40.5% No59.5%
Spread -3.5 Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)
Yes14% No86%
Event Live
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. AthleticsO/U 10.5 Jun 24, 2026
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics
Yes11.5% No88.5%
O/U 10.5 Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5
Yes50% No50%
Event Live
Minnesota Twins vs. Texas Rangers
Minnesota Twins vs. Texas RangersO/U 8.5 Jun 24, 2026
Minnesota Twins vs. Texas Rangers
Yes100% No0.1%
O/U 8.5 Minnesota Twins vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5
Yes100% No0%
Event Live
Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners
Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle MarinersSpread -2.5 Jun 24, 2026
Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners
Yes45.5% No54.5%
Spread -2.5 Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)
Yes17.5% No82.5%
Event Soccer Live
Argentina vs. Algeria - Second Half Result
ArgentinaAlgeria Jun 17, 2026
Argentina Argentina to win the second half?
Yes94.5% No5.5%
Algeria Algeria to win the second half?
Yes18.5% No81.5%