Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $1.57K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C or below on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $76.94
Potential payout: $854.92
Potential profit: $777.98
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: -$23.04

If you invest $100 $1.11K back +$1.01K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $74.74
Potential payout: $679.46
Potential profit: $604.72
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: $5.73

If you invest $100 $909.09 back +$809.09 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 10.8%
Current value: $32.47
Potential payout: $302.02
Potential profit: $269.55
Multiplier: 9.30x
User PnL: $9.97

If you invest $100 $930.23 back +$830.23 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 3:33 AM

PnL: $208.39
Volume: $471.66
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $198.42
Volume: $14.39K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $542.56
Potential payout: $542.83
Potential profit: $0.27
User PnL: $157.81

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $505.34
Potential payout: $505.6
Potential profit: $0.25
User PnL: $120.24

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $196.29
Volume: $523.35
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $103.74
Potential profit: $103.69
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.09

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $81.28
Potential profit: $81.24
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$39.34

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $181.81
Volume: $4.65K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $40.78
Potential payout: $166.43
Potential profit: $125.66
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$0.83

If you invest $100 $408.16 back +$308.16 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $38.08
Potential payout: $211.53
Potential profit: $173.45
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: $13.35

If you invest $100 $555.56 back +$455.56 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $160.93
Volume: $86.82
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $169.41
Potential payout: $177.39
Potential profit: $7.98
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $18.09

If you invest $100 $104.71 back +$4.71 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $169.13
Potential payout: $198.97
Potential profit: $29.85
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $17.91

If you invest $100 $117.65 back +$17.65 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $135.53
Volume: $1K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $7
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.99K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$174.82

If you invest $100 $28.57K back +$28.47K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$176.82

If you invest $100 $40K back +$39.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $130.21
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

PnL: $121.74
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $121.68
Volume: $413.25
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $48.05
Potential payout: $51.12
Potential profit: $3.07
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $11.7

If you invest $100 $106.38 back +$6.38 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $34.49
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $65.51
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: $5.49

If you invest $100 $289.94 back +$189.94 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $112.98
Volume: $7.38K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.09
Potential profit: $1.09
User PnL: -$0.09

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $296.04
Potential profit: $296.04
User PnL: -$2.18

PnL: $108.41
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78%
Current value: $312.01
Potential payout: $400.01
Potential profit: $88
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: -$34

If you invest $100 $128.21 back +$28.21 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will there be 15+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $298.8
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $1.2
User PnL: $55.8

If you invest $100 $100.4 back +$0.4 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $107.33
Volume: $14.79K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C or below on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $76.94
Potential payout: $854.92
Potential profit: $777.98
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: -$23.04

If you invest $100 $1.11K back +$1.01K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $74.74
Potential payout: $679.46
Potential profit: $604.72
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: $5.73

If you invest $100 $909.09 back +$809.09 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $169.41
Potential payout: $177.39
Potential profit: $7.98
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $18.09

If you invest $100 $104.71 back +$4.71 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $169.13
Potential payout: $198.97
Potential profit: $29.85
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $17.91

If you invest $100 $117.65 back +$17.65 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 66.9%
Current value: $166.78
Potential payout: $249.29
Potential profit: $82.52
Multiplier: 1.49x
User PnL: $4.44

If you invest $100 $149.48 back +$49.48 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C or below on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $76.94
Potential payout: $854.92
Potential profit: $777.98
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: -$23.04

If you invest $100 $1.11K back +$1.01K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $74.74
Potential payout: $679.46
Potential profit: $604.72
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: $5.73

If you invest $100 $909.09 back +$809.09 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 16.2%
Current value: $72.52
Potential payout: $449.04
Potential profit: $376.52
Multiplier: 6.19x
User PnL: $37.91

If you invest $100 $619.2 back +$519.2 estimated profit if it wins

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