Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $1.28K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 6.1%
Current value: $90.63
Potential payout: $1.49K
Potential profit: $1.4K
Multiplier: 16.39x
User PnL: $62.32

If you invest $100 $1.64K back +$1.54K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $20.94
Potential payout: $349
Potential profit: $328.06
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: $0.23

If you invest $100 $1.67K back +$1.57K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $491.22
Potential payout: $1.38K
Potential profit: $892.5
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$351.57

If you invest $100 $281.69 back +$181.69 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 2:11 AM

PnL: $150.59
Volume: $9.44K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $542.56
Potential payout: $542.83
Potential profit: $0.27
User PnL: $157.81

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $505.34
Potential payout: $505.6
Potential profit: $0.25
User PnL: $120.24

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $147.63
Volume: $5.27K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $20.94
Potential payout: $349
Potential profit: $328.06
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: $0.23

If you invest $100 $1.67K back +$1.57K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $4.95
Potential payout: $1.65K
Potential profit: $1.65K
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$1.9

If you invest $100 $33.33K back +$33.23K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $145.91
Volume: $86.82
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $167.56
Potential payout: $190.41
Potential profit: $22.85
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $5.22

If you invest $100 $113.64 back +$13.64 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $166.03
Potential payout: $245.97
Potential profit: $79.94
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $3.69

If you invest $100 $148.15 back +$48.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $140
Volume: $1.5K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $97.42
Potential payout: $97.47
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $22.43

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $93.48
Potential payout: $93.53
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $25.98

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $130.03
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

PnL: $121.86
Volume: $413.25
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $47.8
Potential payout: $51.12
Potential profit: $3.32
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $11.44

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $34.49
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $65.51
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: $5.49

If you invest $100 $289.94 back +$189.94 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $117.52
Volume: $369.56
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $112.9
Volume: $4.05K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $183.67
Potential payout: $183.76
Potential profit: $0.09
User PnL: $46.75

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $172.84
Potential payout: $173.01
Potential profit: $0.17
User PnL: $40.63

If you invest $100 $100.1 back +$0.1 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $109.52
Volume: $103
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $18.12
Potential payout: $116.88
Potential profit: $98.76
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: $2.92

If you invest $100 $645.16 back +$545.16 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $13.26
Potential payout: $757.76
Potential profit: $744.5
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: $8.06

If you invest $100 $5.71K back +$5.61K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $108.89
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $334.01
Potential payout: $400.01
Potential profit: $66
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$12

If you invest $100 $119.76 back +$19.76 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.6%
Current value: $317.1
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $32.9
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$2.1

If you invest $100 $110.38 back +$10.38 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $107.09
Volume: $1.04K
Win rate: 36.8%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.26K
Potential profit: $1.26K
User PnL: -$449.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $918.53
Potential profit: $918.53
User PnL: -$200.24

PnL: $105.89
Volume: $205.66
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $29
Potential profit: $28.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$11.88

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $8
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.44

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $167.56
Potential payout: $190.41
Potential profit: $22.85
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $5.22

If you invest $100 $113.64 back +$13.64 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $166.03
Potential payout: $245.97
Potential profit: $79.94
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $3.69

If you invest $100 $148.15 back +$48.15 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $165.86
Potential payout: $177.39
Potential profit: $11.53
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $14.54

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 6.1%
Current value: $90.63
Potential payout: $1.49K
Potential profit: $1.4K
Multiplier: 16.39x
User PnL: $62.32

If you invest $100 $1.64K back +$1.54K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $47.8
Potential payout: $51.12
Potential profit: $3.32
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $11.44

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $34.49
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $65.51
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: $5.49

If you invest $100 $289.94 back +$189.94 estimated profit if it wins

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