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Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $1.21K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or below on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.77
Potential payout: $1.55K
Potential profit: $1.55K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$9.48

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.9
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $599.1
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.9

If you invest $100 $66.67K back +$66.57K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.87
Potential payout: $582.2
Potential profit: $581.33
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.41

If you invest $100 $66.67K back +$66.57K estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 2:46 AM

PnL: $127.99
Volume: $6.84K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $19.73
Potential payout: $19.74
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $16.77

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $18.98
Potential payout: $165.01
Potential profit: $146.03
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$20.4

If you invest $100 $869.57 back +$769.57 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $127.91
Volume: $4.71K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Graham Platner drop out by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.8%
Current value: $1.43K
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $78.2
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$4.98

If you invest $100 $105.49 back +$5.49 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $1.37K
Potential payout: $1.38K
Potential profit: $11.77
User PnL: $33.58

If you invest $100 $100.86 back +$0.86 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $126.11
Volume: $965.22
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $134.35
Potential payout: $162.85
Potential profit: $28.5
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $4.66

If you invest $100 $121.21 back +$21.21 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $133.62
Potential payout: $154.47
Potential profit: $20.85
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $4.19

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $125.22
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $3.34K
Potential payout: $3.75K
Potential profit: $412.67
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $1.13K

If you invest $100 $112.36 back +$12.36 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $3.33K
Potential payout: $3.42K
Potential profit: $90.63
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $63.34

If you invest $100 $102.72 back +$2.72 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $123.07
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $67
Potential profit: $67
User PnL: -$2.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $35
User PnL: -$14.22

PnL: $122.14
Volume: $0
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or below on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.77
Potential payout: $1.55K
Potential profit: $1.55K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$9.48

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $301.56
Potential profit: $300.81
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$16.8

If you invest $100 $40K back +$39.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $118.5
Volume: $267.85
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$2.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.71
Potential profit: $90.71
User PnL: -$5

PnL: $114.43
Volume: $688.79
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $11.3
Potential payout: $33.72
Potential profit: $22.42
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: $0.3

If you invest $100 $298.51 back +$198.51 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $10.51
Potential payout: $55.33
Potential profit: $44.81
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: $0.51

If you invest $100 $526.32 back +$426.32 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $113.45
Volume: $1.4K
Win rate: 97.4%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31
Potential profit: $31
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $464.59
Potential profit: $464.59
User PnL: -$79.65

PnL: $111.67
Volume: $465.66
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $111.03
Volume: $801.23
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $107.73
Volume: $1.69K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.9
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $599.1
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.9

If you invest $100 $66.67K back +$66.57K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.87
Potential payout: $582.2
Potential profit: $581.33
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.41

If you invest $100 $66.67K back +$66.57K estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 51.3%
Current value: $1.36K
Potential payout: $2.64K
Potential profit: $1.29K
Multiplier: 1.95x
User PnL: $108.65

If you invest $100 $195.12 back +$95.12 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $134.35
Potential payout: $162.85
Potential profit: $28.5
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $4.66

If you invest $100 $121.21 back +$21.21 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $133.62
Potential payout: $154.47
Potential profit: $20.85
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $4.19

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $132.85
Potential payout: $185.81
Potential profit: $52.96
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: -$23.23

If you invest $100 $139.86 back +$39.86 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $18.98
Potential payout: $165.01
Potential profit: $146.03
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$20.4

If you invest $100 $869.57 back +$769.57 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 36.2%
Current value: $17.43
Potential payout: $48.14
Potential profit: $30.71
Multiplier: 2.76x
User PnL: $3.9

If you invest $100 $276.24 back +$176.24 estimated profit if it wins

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