Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $2.94K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup?

Ends Dec 19, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $8.17
Potential payout: $398.5
Potential profit: $390.33
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$3.79

If you invest $100 $4.88K back +$4.78K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $10.21
Potential payout: $346.13
Potential profit: $335.92
Multiplier: 33.90x
User PnL: -$7.03

If you invest $100 $3.39K back +$3.29K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Megaquake by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $124.13
Potential payout: $993
Potential profit: $868.88
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$100.27

If you invest $100 $800 back +$700 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 12:02 PM

PnL: $314.46
Volume: $10.1K
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $311.42
Volume: $2.01K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $35
User PnL: -$14.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $94
Potential profit: $94
User PnL: -$15.04

PnL: $308.46
Volume: $10.87K
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $304.2
Volume: $1.73K
Win rate: 16%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $380.62
Potential profit: $380.62
User PnL: -$6.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.98
Potential profit: $99.98
User PnL: -$10.35

PnL: $295.75
Volume: $495.1
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $10.21
Potential payout: $346.13
Potential profit: $335.92
Multiplier: 33.90x
User PnL: -$7.03

If you invest $100 $3.39K back +$3.29K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?

Ends Oct 28, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $10.09
Potential payout: $18.18
Potential profit: $8.09
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $1.55

If you invest $100 $180.18 back +$80.18 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $286.93
Volume: $3.81K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $43.26
Potential payout: $51.5
Potential profit: $8.24
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: -$0.74

If you invest $100 $119.05 back +$19.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $40.83
Potential payout: $40.85
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.83

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $286.81
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 44%
Current value: $163.51
Potential payout: $371.61
Potential profit: $208.1
Multiplier: 2.27x
User PnL: -$44.84

If you invest $100 $227.27 back +$127.27 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 66%
Current value: $160.86
Potential payout: $243.73
Potential profit: $82.87
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: $18.16

If you invest $100 $151.52 back +$51.52 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $284.72
Volume: $3.5K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $275.05
Volume: $498.33
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

D4vd released from custody in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $193.63
Potential payout: $220.03
Potential profit: $26.4
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$8.8

If you invest $100 $113.64 back +$13.64 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.7%
Current value: $140.48
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $9.53
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $9.98

If you invest $100 $106.78 back +$6.78 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $271.37
Volume: $569.54
Win rate: 88%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $269.22
Volume: $8.57K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $262.47
Volume: $8.31K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $108.07
Potential payout: $135.94
Potential profit: $27.87
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: -$6.13

If you invest $100 $125.79 back +$25.79 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 74%
Current value: $105.9
Potential payout: $143.11
Potential profit: $37.21
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: -$6.64

If you invest $100 $135.14 back +$35.14 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Trump pays Jan 6 rioter?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $158.15
Potential payout: $167.35
Potential profit: $9.2
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $6.85

If you invest $100 $105.82 back +$5.82 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.7%
Current value: $140.48
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $9.53
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $9.98

If you invest $100 $106.78 back +$6.78 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Megaquake by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $124.13
Potential payout: $993
Potential profit: $868.88
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$100.27

If you invest $100 $800 back +$700 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $108.07
Potential payout: $135.94
Potential profit: $27.87
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: -$6.13

If you invest $100 $125.79 back +$25.79 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 74%
Current value: $105.9
Potential payout: $143.11
Potential profit: $37.21
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: -$6.64

If you invest $100 $135.14 back +$35.14 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 41°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $103.06
Potential payout: $170.35
Potential profit: $67.29
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: -$26.56

If you invest $100 $165.29 back +$65.29 estimated profit if it wins

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