Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $1.85K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will "The Choral" be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.94
Potential payout: $1.88K
Potential profit: $1.88K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$103.72

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.95
Potential payout: $633.51
Potential profit: $632.56
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$9.61

If you invest $100 $66.67K back +$66.57K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.95
Potential payout: $381.82
Potential profit: $380.86
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$5.41

If you invest $100 $40K back +$39.9K estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 9:43 AM

PnL: $192.52
Volume: $995.48
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $192.4
Volume: $4.45K
Win rate: 71.4%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $1.78
Potential payout: $22.24
Potential profit: $20.46
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: $1.31

If you invest $100 $1.25K back +$1.15K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $1.72
Potential payout: $149.59
Potential profit: $147.87
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$0.71

If you invest $100 $8.7K back +$8.6K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $191.27
Volume: $1.04K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $189.52
Volume: $6.43K
Win rate: 52%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $187.33
Volume: $933.88
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.24K
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$1.3

If you invest $100 $25K back +$24.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mariah Carey have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $4.04
Potential payout: $4.57
Potential profit: $0.53
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $0.94

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $186.17
Volume: $8.63K
Open positions: 1

PnL: $181.09
Volume: $2.16K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $54.9
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $5.1
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $3.3

If you invest $100 $109.29 back +$9.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $54.9
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $5.1
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $8.9

If you invest $100 $109.29 back +$9.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $180.09
Volume: $26.08K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $135.97
Potential payout: $136.04
Potential profit: $0.07
User PnL: $29.17

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $132.52
Potential payout: $262.42
Potential profit: $129.9
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: $28.07

If you invest $100 $198.02 back +$98.02 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $177.84
Volume: $35.88K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.95
Potential payout: $381.82
Potential profit: $380.86
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$5.41

If you invest $100 $40K back +$39.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.95
Potential payout: $633.51
Potential profit: $632.56
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$9.61

If you invest $100 $66.67K back +$66.57K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $176.1
Volume: $1.31K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C or below on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $113.43
Potential profit: $113.43
User PnL: -$12.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $855.38
Potential profit: $855.38
User PnL: -$146.09

PnL: $173.55
Volume: $2.07K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $171.4
Volume: $5.43K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

G2 Esports position

LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$3

JD Gaming position

LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$43

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $54.6
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $65.4
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: -$6

If you invest $100 $219.78 back +$119.78 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.24K
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$1.3

If you invest $100 $25K back +$24.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mariah Carey have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $4.04
Potential payout: $4.57
Potential profit: $0.53
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $0.94

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Republican Party win the OH-08 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $4
Potential payout: $32
Potential profit: $28
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$1.44

If you invest $100 $800 back +$700 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $1.78
Potential payout: $22.24
Potential profit: $20.46
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: $1.31

If you invest $100 $1.25K back +$1.15K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $1.72
Potential payout: $149.59
Potential profit: $147.87
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$0.71

If you invest $100 $8.7K back +$8.6K estimated profit if it wins

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