Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $4.14K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.05
Potential payout: $697.06
Potential profit: $696.01
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.35

If you invest $100 $66.67K back +$66.57K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $1.1
Potential payout: $313.78
Potential profit: $312.68
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.47

If you invest $100 $28.57K back +$28.47K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $1.04
Potential payout: $50.91
Potential profit: $49.86
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: $0.48

If you invest $100 $4.88K back +$4.78K estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 11:25 PM

PnL: $424.73
Volume: $1.94K
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 18?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $162.23
Potential profit: $162.23
User PnL: -$3.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $295.48
Potential profit: $295.48
User PnL: -$11.82

PnL: $422.8
Volume: $19.84K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $54.55
Potential payout: $56.47
Potential profit: $1.92
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $2.6

If you invest $100 $103.52 back +$3.52 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $47.56
Potential payout: $57.65
Potential profit: $10.09
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $7.21

If you invest $100 $121.21 back +$21.21 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $420.59
Volume: $21.7K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $417.71
Volume: $5.14K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on December 11?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.49
Potential profit: $52.49
User PnL: -$29.12

PnL: $413.13
Volume: $6.58K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 11.3%
Current value: $33.42
Potential payout: $295.75
Potential profit: $262.33
Multiplier: 8.85x
User PnL: $17.85

If you invest $100 $884.96 back +$784.96 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 22.2%
Current value: $32.97
Potential payout: $148.51
Potential profit: $115.54
Multiplier: 4.50x
User PnL: $28.33

If you invest $100 $450.45 back +$350.45 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $412.74
Volume: $1.83K
Win rate: 26.9%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $412.35
Volume: $14.74K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $31.7
Potential payout: $32
Potential profit: $0.3
User PnL: $1.3

If you invest $100 $100.96 back +$0.96 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $31.66
Potential payout: $32
Potential profit: $0.34
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.94

If you invest $100 $101.06 back +$1.06 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $407.32
Volume: $3.27K
Win rate: 76.5%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 2?

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$72

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 54°F or higher on December 14?

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$0.5

PnL: $407.07
Volume: $15.01K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $1.1
Potential payout: $313.78
Potential profit: $312.68
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.47

If you invest $100 $28.57K back +$28.47K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.05
Potential payout: $697.06
Potential profit: $696.01
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.35

If you invest $100 $66.67K back +$66.57K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $403.22
Volume: $1.5K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $402.42
Volume: $345.4
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 48%
Current value: $404.43
Potential payout: $842.57
Potential profit: $438.13
Multiplier: 2.08x
User PnL: -$56.56

If you invest $100 $208.33 back +$108.33 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $403.85
Potential payout: $521.1
Potential profit: $117.25
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $93.64

If you invest $100 $129.03 back +$29.03 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $400.49
Volume: $55.99K
Open positions: 1

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $54.55
Potential payout: $56.47
Potential profit: $1.92
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $2.6

If you invest $100 $103.52 back +$3.52 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $47.56
Potential payout: $57.65
Potential profit: $10.09
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $7.21

If you invest $100 $121.21 back +$21.21 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $46.78
Potential payout: $77.32
Potential profit: $30.54
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: -$8.97

If you invest $100 $165.29 back +$65.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 11.3%
Current value: $33.42
Potential payout: $295.75
Potential profit: $262.33
Multiplier: 8.85x
User PnL: $17.85

If you invest $100 $884.96 back +$784.96 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 22.2%
Current value: $32.97
Potential payout: $148.51
Potential profit: $115.54
Multiplier: 4.50x
User PnL: $28.33

If you invest $100 $450.45 back +$350.45 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Karolína Muchová be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 30.1%
Current value: $32.81
Potential payout: $109.01
Potential profit: $76.2
Multiplier: 3.32x
User PnL: $31.34

If you invest $100 $332.23 back +$232.23 estimated profit if it wins

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