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Top trader positions, sized for your budget

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Top 10 PnL on this page $333.79 WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $185.97
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.01K
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$43.01

If you invest $100 $645.16 back +$545.16 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $185.86
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.01K
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: $125.91

If you invest $100 $645.16 back +$545.16 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 48%
Current value: $33.67
Potential payout: $70.14
Potential profit: $36.47
Multiplier: 2.08x
User PnL: $25.22

If you invest $100 $208.33 back +$108.33 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 2:44 AM

PnL: $34.58
Volume: $1.21K
Open positions: 1

PnL: $34.53
Volume: $133.86
Win rate: 42.6%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.03
Potential profit: $27.03
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.24
Potential profit: $17.24
User PnL: -$5

PnL: $34.18
Volume: $1.79K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.05
Potential profit: $111.05
User PnL: -$96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $217.47
Potential profit: $217.47
User PnL: -$201

PnL: $34
Volume: $622.84
Open positions: 2

Yes position

Exact Score: Germany 0 - 2 Côte d'Ivoire?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$3.3

PnL: $33.83
Volume: $2.19K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $18.63
Potential payout: $24.35
Potential profit: $5.72
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: -$1.22

If you invest $100 $130.72 back +$30.72 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will UK annual inflation be between 2.8% and 3% in June?

Ends Jul 22, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $18.5
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $1.5
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $2.5

If you invest $100 $108.11 back +$8.11 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $33.53
Volume: $1.35K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $32.49
Volume: $217.17
Win rate: 4%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $32.26
Volume: $2.47K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $35.04
Potential payout: $50.42
Potential profit: $15.38
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: -$3.99

If you invest $100 $143.91 back +$43.91 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $33.83
Potential payout: $65.69
Potential profit: $31.86
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $6.2

If you invest $100 $194.17 back +$94.17 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $32.21
Volume: $459.91
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $32.17
Volume: $481.55
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $30.53
Volume: $955.13
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $10.07
Potential payout: $14.7
Potential profit: $4.63
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $0.07

If you invest $100 $145.99 back +$45.99 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $10.07
Potential payout: $14.49
Potential profit: $4.42
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $0.07

If you invest $100 $143.91 back +$43.91 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $30.48
Volume: $3.28K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $185.97
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.01K
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$43.01

If you invest $100 $645.16 back +$545.16 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $185.86
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.01K
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: $125.91

If you invest $100 $645.16 back +$545.16 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $35.04
Potential payout: $50.42
Potential profit: $15.38
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: -$3.99

If you invest $100 $143.91 back +$43.91 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $33.83
Potential payout: $65.69
Potential profit: $31.86
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $6.2

If you invest $100 $194.17 back +$94.17 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 48%
Current value: $33.67
Potential payout: $70.14
Potential profit: $36.47
Multiplier: 2.08x
User PnL: $25.22

If you invest $100 $208.33 back +$108.33 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $18.63
Potential payout: $24.35
Potential profit: $5.72
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: -$1.22

If you invest $100 $130.72 back +$30.72 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will UK annual inflation be between 2.8% and 3% in June?

Ends Jul 22, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $18.5
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $1.5
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $2.5

If you invest $100 $108.11 back +$8.11 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 72%
Current value: $18.43
Potential payout: $25.6
Potential profit: $7.17
Multiplier: 1.39x
User PnL: -$0.77

If you invest $100 $138.89 back +$38.89 estimated profit if it wins

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