Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $820.76K OVERALL · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $55.1K
Potential payout: $1.33M
Potential profit: $1.27M
Multiplier: 24.10x
User PnL: -$111.33K

If you invest $100 $2.41K back +$2.31K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $26.08K
Potential payout: $350.07K
Potential profit: $323.99K
Multiplier: 13.42x
User PnL: -$10.19K

If you invest $100 $1.34K back +$1.24K estimated profit if it wins

Under position

France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $228.24K
Potential payout: $434.75K
Potential profit: $206.5K
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $2.19K

If you invest $100 $190.48 back +$90.48 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

OVERALL leaderboard

Updated 4:55 AM

PnL: $154.18K
Volume: $647.8K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

San Diego Padres position

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $290.37K
Potential payout: $292.27K
Potential profit: $1.9K
User PnL: $134.79K

If you invest $100 $100.65 back +$0.65 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $141K
Potential payout: $268.58K
Potential profit: $127.57K
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $1.34K

If you invest $100 $190.48 back +$90.48 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $102.27K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2

Yes position

[Single Market] Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Sep 10, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
User PnL: -$300

No position

[Single Market] Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Sep 10, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.89K
Potential profit: $54.89K
User PnL: -$25K

PnL: $100.29K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Ethereum switch to Proof-of-Stake (EIP-3675) by February 22, 2022?

Ends Feb 22, 2022

Implied probability: 4.4%
Current value: $25.07
Potential payout: $574.96
Potential profit: $549.89
Multiplier: 22.94x
User PnL: -$174.93

If you invest $100 $2.29K back +$2.19K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will 3 or more of Dan Ariely’s papers be retracted by December 31, 2021?

Ends Dec 31, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.43
Potential payout: $2.43
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.1

If you invest $100 $100.01 back +$0.01 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $89.68K
Volume: $13.15K
Win rate: 96%
Open positions: 3

Under position

United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $235.31K
Potential profit: $235.31K
User PnL: -$159.24K

Under position

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $96.39K
Potential profit: $96.39K
User PnL: -$48.01K

PnL: $85.55K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $79.39K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $200.16K
Potential payout: $250.36K
Potential profit: $50.2K
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: -$20.24K

If you invest $100 $125.08 back +$25.08 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $82.39K
Potential payout: $140.84K
Potential profit: $58.45K
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$24.32K

If you invest $100 $170.94 back +$70.94 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $57.64K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 92.3%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $1.06K
Potential payout: $20.96K
Potential profit: $19.9K
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: $53.35

If you invest $100 $1.98K back +$1.88K estimated profit if it wins

Seattle Mariners position

Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $67.89K
Potential profit: $67.89K
User PnL: -$39.54K

PnL: $52.89K
Volume: $171.62K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $55.1K
Potential payout: $1.33M
Potential profit: $1.27M
Multiplier: 24.10x
User PnL: -$111.33K

If you invest $100 $2.41K back +$2.31K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $22.77K
Potential payout: $198.02K
Potential profit: $175.25K
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$6.44K

If you invest $100 $869.57 back +$769.57 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $50.77K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $95.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $4.5
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $4.5

If you invest $100 $104.71 back +$4.71 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 92.7%
Current value: $83.39
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $6.61
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$2.02

If you invest $100 $107.93 back +$7.93 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $48.11K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 87.5%
Open positions: 3

Under position

France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $228.24K
Potential payout: $434.75K
Potential profit: $206.5K
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $2.19K

If you invest $100 $190.48 back +$90.48 estimated profit if it wins

Under position

San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $167.81K
Potential profit: $167.81K
User PnL: -$82.23K

PnL: $35.62K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Over position

Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $26.76K
Potential payout: $35.45K
Potential profit: $8.68K
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $8.33K

If you invest $100 $132.45 back +$32.45 estimated profit if it wins

San Francisco Giants position

San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 51%
Current value: $14.48K
Potential payout: $28.39K
Potential profit: $13.91K
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: $2K

If you invest $100 $196.08 back +$96.08 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $34.12K
Volume: $131.55K
Win rate: 78.6%
Open positions: 3

San Diego Padres position

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $80.52K
Potential payout: $81.04K
Potential profit: $526.78
User PnL: $40.48K

If you invest $100 $100.65 back +$0.65 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $26.08K
Potential payout: $350.07K
Potential profit: $323.99K
Multiplier: 13.42x
User PnL: -$10.19K

If you invest $100 $1.34K back +$1.24K estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 59.6%
Current value: $119.2K
Potential payout: $200K
Potential profit: $80.8K
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: -$800

If you invest $100 $167.79 back +$67.79 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $82.39K
Potential payout: $140.84K
Potential profit: $58.45K
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$24.32K

If you invest $100 $170.94 back +$70.94 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $55.1K
Potential payout: $1.33M
Potential profit: $1.27M
Multiplier: 24.10x
User PnL: -$111.33K

If you invest $100 $2.41K back +$2.31K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $35.35K
Potential payout: $76.01K
Potential profit: $40.67K
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: -$13.11K

If you invest $100 $215.05 back +$115.05 estimated profit if it wins

Over position

Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $26.76K
Potential payout: $35.45K
Potential profit: $8.68K
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $8.33K

If you invest $100 $132.45 back +$32.45 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $26.08K
Potential payout: $350.07K
Potential profit: $323.99K
Multiplier: 13.42x
User PnL: -$10.19K

If you invest $100 $1.34K back +$1.24K estimated profit if it wins

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