Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $12.31K CULTURE · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Partial data Some leaderboard sections are delayed, but available rows are shown.

Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.4%
Current value: $100.19K
Potential payout: $490.17K
Potential profit: $389.98K
Multiplier: 4.89x
User PnL: -$144.89K

If you invest $100 $489.24 back +$389.24 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.6%
Current value: $389.8K
Potential payout: $490K
Potential profit: $100.21K
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $144.8K

If you invest $100 $125.71 back +$25.71 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $61.7K
Potential payout: $76.64K
Potential profit: $14.95K
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $2.54K

If you invest $100 $124.22 back +$24.22 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

CULTURE leaderboard

Updated 9:16 AM

PnL: $1.96K
Volume: $1.26K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $22.42K
Potential payout: $22.53K
Potential profit: $112.66
User PnL: $3.52K

If you invest $100 $100.5 back +$0.5 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $13.45K
Potential payout: $24.68K
Potential profit: $11.23K
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $2.57K

If you invest $100 $183.49 back +$83.49 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.87K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $2.22K
Potential payout: $9.07K
Potential profit: $6.86K
Multiplier: 4.09x
User PnL: $1.85K

If you invest $100 $409 back +$309 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $222.69
Potential payout: $21.21K
Potential profit: $20.99K
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: $131.11

If you invest $100 $9.52K back +$9.42K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.45K
Volume: $242.5
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $16.22K
Potential payout: $16.31K
Potential profit: $81.53
User PnL: $1.97K

If you invest $100 $100.5 back +$0.5 estimated profit if it wins

New York Liberty position

Minnesota Lynx vs. New York Liberty

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $2K
Potential payout: $4.4K
Potential profit: $2.4K
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: -$80.96

If you invest $100 $219.78 back +$119.78 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.25K
Volume: $10.99K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $1.75K
Potential payout: $7.16K
Potential profit: $5.41K
Multiplier: 4.09x
User PnL: $1.03K

If you invest $100 $409 back +$309 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $282.27
Potential payout: $1.31K
Potential profit: $1.03K
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $21.95

If you invest $100 $465.12 back +$365.12 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.11K
Volume: $3.67K
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $893.81
Potential payout: $3.66K
Potential profit: $2.76K
Multiplier: 4.09x
User PnL: $530.28

If you invest $100 $409 back +$309 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $384.05
Potential payout: $2.33K
Potential profit: $1.94K
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $140.04

If you invest $100 $606.06 back +$506.06 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.09K
Volume: $6.02K
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 3

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $2.1K
Potential payout: $2.13K
Potential profit: $28.69
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $693.87

If you invest $100 $101.37 back +$1.37 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $1.21K
Potential payout: $4.97K
Potential profit: $3.75K
Multiplier: 4.09x
User PnL: $921.77

If you invest $100 $409 back +$309 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $955.09
Volume: $0
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.6%
Current value: $389.8K
Potential payout: $490K
Potential profit: $100.21K
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $144.8K

If you invest $100 $125.71 back +$25.71 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.4%
Current value: $100.19K
Potential payout: $490.17K
Potential profit: $389.98K
Multiplier: 4.89x
User PnL: -$144.89K

If you invest $100 $489.24 back +$389.24 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $918.61
Volume: $370
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $1.64K
Potential payout: $2.46K
Potential profit: $825.11
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $475.66

If you invest $100 $150.38 back +$50.38 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 95m?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $1.56K
Potential payout: $1.6K
Potential profit: $41.6
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $85.8

If you invest $100 $102.67 back +$2.67 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $868.41
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.4%
Current value: $38.54K
Potential payout: $40K
Potential profit: $1.46K
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $18.54K

If you invest $100 $103.79 back +$3.79 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $6.05K
Potential payout: $7.38K
Potential profit: $1.33K
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: -$357.31

If you invest $100 $122.03 back +$22.03 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $836.96
Volume: $125.64
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $7.31K
Potential payout: $7.49K
Potential profit: $179.66
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $97.62

If you invest $100 $102.46 back +$2.46 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $3.65K
Potential payout: $3.75K
Potential profit: $91.76
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $457.37

If you invest $100 $102.51 back +$2.51 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $782.63
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $20.31K
Potential payout: $20.41K
Potential profit: $102.05
User PnL: $2.8K

If you invest $100 $100.5 back +$0.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $15.24K
Potential payout: $20.73K
Potential profit: $5.49K
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $3.58K

If you invest $100 $136.05 back +$36.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $772.85
Volume: $0
Win rate: 87.5%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.4%
Current value: $135.39K
Potential payout: $140.52K
Potential profit: $5.13K
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $1.71K

If you invest $100 $103.79 back +$3.79 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $46.75K
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $3.25K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $3.75K

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $61.7K
Potential payout: $76.64K
Potential profit: $14.95K
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $2.54K

If you invest $100 $124.22 back +$24.22 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $46.75K
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $3.25K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $3.75K

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.4%
Current value: $38.54K
Potential payout: $40K
Potential profit: $1.46K
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $18.54K

If you invest $100 $103.79 back +$3.79 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $15.24K
Potential payout: $20.73K
Potential profit: $5.49K
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $3.58K

If you invest $100 $136.05 back +$36.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $13.45K
Potential payout: $24.68K
Potential profit: $11.23K
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $2.57K

If you invest $100 $183.49 back +$83.49 estimated profit if it wins

Taylor Fritz position

Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Patrick Kypson

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $9.35K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $650
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$15.21

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

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