Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $12.17K CULTURE · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.4%
Current value: $100.19K
Potential payout: $490.17K
Potential profit: $389.98K
Multiplier: 4.89x
User PnL: -$144.89K

If you invest $100 $489.24 back +$389.24 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.6%
Current value: $389.8K
Potential payout: $490K
Potential profit: $100.21K
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $144.8K

If you invest $100 $125.71 back +$25.71 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $62.65K
Potential payout: $76.88K
Potential profit: $14.23K
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $3.3K

If you invest $100 $122.71 back +$22.71 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

CULTURE leaderboard

Updated 12:06 PM

PnL: $2.07K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 25.9%
Current value: $2.35K
Potential payout: $9.07K
Potential profit: $6.73K
Multiplier: 3.87x
User PnL: $1.98K

If you invest $100 $386.85 back +$286.85 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $222.69
Potential payout: $21.21K
Potential profit: $20.99K
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: $131.11

If you invest $100 $9.52K back +$9.42K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.41K
Volume: $11.03K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 26.7%
Current value: $1.91K
Potential payout: $7.16K
Potential profit: $5.25K
Multiplier: 3.75x
User PnL: $1.18K

If you invest $100 $375.23 back +$275.23 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $308.53
Potential payout: $1.31K
Potential profit: $1K
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $48.21

If you invest $100 $425.53 back +$325.53 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.31K
Volume: $5.67K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 25.9%
Current value: $766.89
Potential payout: $2.97K
Potential profit: $2.2K
Multiplier: 3.87x
User PnL: $471.87

If you invest $100 $386.85 back +$286.85 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $430.6
Potential payout: $2.33K
Potential profit: $1.9K
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $186.59

If you invest $100 $540.54 back +$440.54 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.3K
Volume: $2.66K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $23.76
Potential payout: $47.53K
Potential profit: $47.5K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$946.18

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $23.76
Potential payout: $47.53K
Potential profit: $47.5K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$946.18

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.21K
Volume: $7.81K
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 3

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $2.09K
Potential payout: $2.13K
Potential profit: $34
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $688.56

If you invest $100 $101.63 back +$1.63 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 26.7%
Current value: $1.32K
Potential payout: $4.97K
Potential profit: $3.64K
Multiplier: 3.75x
User PnL: $1.03K

If you invest $100 $375.23 back +$275.23 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.11K
Volume: $1.26K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $21.73K
Potential payout: $22.53K
Potential profit: $799.89
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $2.83K

If you invest $100 $103.68 back +$3.68 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $13.2K
Potential payout: $24.68K
Potential profit: $11.48K
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $2.32K

If you invest $100 $186.92 back +$86.92 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.01K
Volume: $15.44K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 53 and 53.5 million views on day 5?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $9.06K
Potential payout: $9.13K
Potential profit: $63.88
User PnL: $143.81

If you invest $100 $100.7 back +$0.7 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 94.8%
Current value: $7.57K
Potential payout: $7.99K
Potential profit: $419.35
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $33.93

If you invest $100 $105.54 back +$5.54 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $955.66
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.6%
Current value: $389.8K
Potential payout: $490K
Potential profit: $100.21K
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $144.8K

If you invest $100 $125.71 back +$25.71 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.4%
Current value: $100.19K
Potential payout: $490.17K
Potential profit: $389.98K
Multiplier: 4.89x
User PnL: -$144.89K

If you invest $100 $489.24 back +$389.24 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $912.99
Volume: $333.29
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $15.73K
Potential payout: $16.31K
Potential profit: $578.85
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $1.47K

If you invest $100 $103.68 back +$3.68 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will "Little Brother" be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $2.1K
Potential payout: $5.76K
Potential profit: $3.66K
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: $1.52K

If you invest $100 $273.97 back +$173.97 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $874.65
Volume: $3.92K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $91.18
Potential payout: $104.2
Potential profit: $13.03
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $87.17

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Sian Astley win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $64.8
Potential payout: $864
Potential profit: $799.2
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: $47.86

If you invest $100 $1.33K back +$1.23K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $868.41
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.4%
Current value: $38.54K
Potential payout: $40K
Potential profit: $1.46K
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $18.54K

If you invest $100 $103.79 back +$3.79 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 81.7%
Current value: $6.02K
Potential payout: $7.38K
Potential profit: $1.35K
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: -$379.44

If you invest $100 $122.47 back +$22.47 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $839.22
Volume: $1.22K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Fredrikstad win Norway Eliteserien?

Ends Dec 20, 2026

Implied probability: 45.6%
Current value: $20.5
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $24.5
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: $18

If you invest $100 $219.54 back +$119.54 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Bradley Beal play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $19.13
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $25.88
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $17.76

If you invest $100 $235.29 back +$135.29 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.4%
Current value: $38.54K
Potential payout: $40K
Potential profit: $1.46K
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $18.54K

If you invest $100 $103.79 back +$3.79 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $21.73K
Potential payout: $22.53K
Potential profit: $799.89
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $2.83K

If you invest $100 $103.68 back +$3.68 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $13.2K
Potential payout: $24.68K
Potential profit: $11.48K
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $2.32K

If you invest $100 $186.92 back +$86.92 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 94.8%
Current value: $7.57K
Potential payout: $7.99K
Potential profit: $419.35
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $33.93

If you invest $100 $105.54 back +$5.54 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 81.7%
Current value: $6.02K
Potential payout: $7.38K
Potential profit: $1.35K
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: -$379.44

If you invest $100 $122.47 back +$22.47 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $2.63K
Potential payout: $2.67K
Potential profit: $37.33
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $2.59K

If you invest $100 $101.42 back +$1.42 estimated profit if it wins

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