Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $24.43K CULTURE · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Partial data Some leaderboard sections are delayed, but available rows are shown.

Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $210.45K
Potential payout: $230K
Potential profit: $19.55K
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $9.35K

If you invest $100 $109.29 back +$9.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.1%
Current value: $1.9K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $8.09K
Multiplier: 5.25x
User PnL: $629.5

If you invest $100 $524.93 back +$424.93 estimated profit if it wins

No position

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $39.77K
Potential payout: $48.2K
Potential profit: $8.44K
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: -$110.91

If you invest $100 $121.21 back +$21.21 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

CULTURE leaderboard

Updated 12:51 PM

PnL: $5.36K
Volume: $1.9K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $210.45K
Potential payout: $230K
Potential profit: $19.55K
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $9.35K

If you invest $100 $109.29 back +$9.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $57.09K
Potential payout: $58.05K
Potential profit: $957.85
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $101.36

If you invest $100 $101.68 back +$1.68 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.25K
Volume: $34.79K
Win rate: 63%
Open positions: 3

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $3.05K
Potential payout: $3.57K
Potential profit: $517.03
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $999.16

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 28.3%
Current value: $2.24K
Potential payout: $7.91K
Potential profit: $5.67K
Multiplier: 3.53x
User PnL: $1.84K

If you invest $100 $353.48 back +$253.48 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.89K
Volume: $6.16K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 28.3%
Current value: $2.63K
Potential payout: $9.3K
Potential profit: $6.67K
Multiplier: 3.53x
User PnL: $2.38K

If you invest $100 $353.48 back +$253.48 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 7.8%
Current value: $587.7
Potential payout: $7.58K
Potential profit: $7K
Multiplier: 12.90x
User PnL: $450.75

If you invest $100 $1.29K back +$1.19K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.7K
Volume: $2.69K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $3.36K
Potential payout: $6.72K
Potential profit: $3.36K
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $2.41K

If you invest $100 $200 back +$100 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 28.3%
Current value: $1.44K
Potential payout: $5.08K
Potential profit: $3.64K
Multiplier: 3.53x
User PnL: $926.56

If you invest $100 $353.48 back +$253.48 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.7K
Volume: $42.68K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $1.6K
Potential payout: $2.69K
Potential profit: $1.09K
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: -$40.35

If you invest $100 $168.07 back +$68.07 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $984.8
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $15.5
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.16

If you invest $100 $101.57 back +$1.57 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.22K
Volume: $127.4
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $2.25K
Potential payout: $4.5K
Potential profit: $2.25K
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $1.75K

If you invest $100 $200 back +$100 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 28.3%
Current value: $707.25
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $1.79K
Multiplier: 3.53x
User PnL: $507.3

If you invest $100 $353.48 back +$253.48 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.6K
Volume: $1.86K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $11.17K
Potential payout: $11.37K
Potential profit: $199.04
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $2.29K

If you invest $100 $101.78 back +$1.78 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $11.09K
Potential payout: $13.87K
Potential profit: $2.78K
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: -$41.59

If you invest $100 $125.08 back +$25.08 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.46K
Volume: $29.62K
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $796.3
Potential payout: $1.59K
Potential profit: $796.31
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $554.94

If you invest $100 $200 back +$100 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 28.3%
Current value: $544.82
Potential payout: $1.93K
Potential profit: $1.38K
Multiplier: 3.53x
User PnL: $497.95

If you invest $100 $353.48 back +$253.48 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.14K
Volume: $10.24K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.2%
Current value: $745.72
Potential payout: $2.32K
Potential profit: $1.57K
Multiplier: 3.11x
User PnL: $300.52

If you invest $100 $311.04 back +$211.04 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $697.11
Potential payout: $855.46
Potential profit: $158.35
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $61.79

If you invest $100 $122.71 back +$22.71 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.11K
Volume: $2.88K
Win rate: 65%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.9%
Current value: $4.73K
Potential payout: $5.57K
Potential profit: $841.63
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$745.8

If you invest $100 $117.79 back +$17.79 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 74.3%
Current value: $3.34K
Potential payout: $4.5K
Potential profit: $1.16K
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: -$1.1K

If you invest $100 $134.68 back +$34.68 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.02K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 74%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $1.65K
Potential payout: $3.3K
Potential profit: $1.65K
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $1.11K

If you invest $100 $200 back +$100 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $3.31
Potential payout: $6.63K
Potential profit: $6.62K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$16.68

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $923.53
Volume: $5.61K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 89.6%
Current value: $1.71K
Potential payout: $1.91K
Potential profit: $199.63
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $364.62

If you invest $100 $111.67 back +$11.67 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $1.17K
Potential payout: $2.33K
Potential profit: $1.17K
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: -$388.16

If you invest $100 $200 back +$100 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $11.17K
Potential payout: $11.37K
Potential profit: $199.04
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $2.29K

If you invest $100 $101.78 back +$1.78 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $11.09K
Potential payout: $13.87K
Potential profit: $2.78K
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: -$41.59

If you invest $100 $125.08 back +$25.08 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.1%
Current value: $10.53K
Potential payout: $12.68K
Potential profit: $2.14K
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $1.32K

If you invest $100 $120.34 back +$20.34 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.9%
Current value: $4.73K
Potential payout: $5.57K
Potential profit: $841.63
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$745.8

If you invest $100 $117.79 back +$17.79 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $3.36K
Potential payout: $6.72K
Potential profit: $3.36K
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $2.41K

If you invest $100 $200 back +$100 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 74.3%
Current value: $3.34K
Potential payout: $4.5K
Potential profit: $1.16K
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: -$1.1K

If you invest $100 $134.68 back +$34.68 estimated profit if it wins

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