No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $1.32M
- Potential payout
- $1.46M
- Potential profit
- $138.32K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $46.82K
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $6.02K CULTURE · DAY · PnL sorted
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.6%
- Current value
- $2.88K
- Potential payout
- $18.5K
- Potential profit
- $15.62K
- Multiplier
- 6.43x
- User PnL
- -$6.37K
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $15.62K
- Potential payout
- $18.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.88K
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $6.37K
Top Traders
CULTURE leaderboard
Rank #1
0xA2cd4CcdA9A1f95949DF7A3355C4c2DAa0642Ba0-1729178570395
0xa2cd...2ba0 Public
- PnL
- $1.46K
- Volume
- $581.72K
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $1.99M
- Potential payout
- $2.01M
- Potential profit
- $15.07K
- User PnL
- $9.92K
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $1.32M
- Potential payout
- $1.46M
- Potential profit
- $138.32K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $46.82K
Rank #2
elmcap2
0xed10...d2e5 Public @elm_cap
- PnL
- $730.44
- Volume
- $4.79K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $2.44M
- Potential payout
- $2.45M
- Potential profit
- $8.58K
- User PnL
- $7.39K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $1.66M
- Potential payout
- $1.66M
- Potential profit
- $2.49K
- User PnL
- $4.05K
Rank #3
Bitgod
0x1e1a...7690 Public
- PnL
- $690.69
- Volume
- $9.35K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Elon Musk post 600-639 tweets in June 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $1.24K
- Potential payout
- $1.24K
- Potential profit
- $1.86
- User PnL
- -$0.54
No position
Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets in June 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.23K
- Potential payout
- $1.23K
- Potential profit
- $0.61
- User PnL
- $0.61
Rank #4
yolol
0xdf0a...08e8 Public @laodao365609
- PnL
- $674
- Volume
- $10.56K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $36.4K
- Potential payout
- $36.71K
- Potential profit
- $312.06
- User PnL
- $591.34
No position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Current value
- $21.85K
- Potential payout
- $23.33K
- Potential profit
- $1.48K
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $140.94
Rank #5
smedking
0x5082...4405 Public
- PnL
- $486.15
- Volume
- $1.05K
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 1
No position
Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $947.25
- Potential payout
- $2.13K
- Potential profit
- $1.18K
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $457.66
Rank #6
SA88
0x397f...c0ed Public
- PnL
- $482.11
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 94%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.1%
- Current value
- $8.87K
- Potential payout
- $9.53K
- Potential profit
- $662.39
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $3.77K
No position
Will Selena Gomez be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $228.26
- Potential payout
- $592.89
- Potential profit
- $364.63
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $58.26
Rank #7
maktemp
0x9bab...e6a2 Public
- PnL
- $391.29
- Volume
- $529.49
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $6.87
- Potential payout
- $16.97
- Potential profit
- $10.1
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$5.83
No position
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 73%
- Current value
- $5.23
- Potential payout
- $7.16
- Potential profit
- $1.93
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- $0.21
Rank #8
dddtrips
0x8565...0c43 Public
- PnL
- $383.11
- Volume
- $499.96
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $2.94K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $61.5
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $432.78
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.1%
- Current value
- $2.85K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $148.49
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $793.7
Rank #9
DREAMBIG.
0x9e8e...8db8 Public
- PnL
- $363.51
- Volume
- $251
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $15.62K
- Potential payout
- $18.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.88K
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $6.37K
No position
Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 72%
- Current value
- $3.02K
- Potential payout
- $4.19K
- Potential profit
- $1.17K
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- $1.05K
Rank #10
dyckpaths
0xc972...dcd9 Public
- PnL
- $360.52
- Volume
- $866.88
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Y
Yes position
Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 40%
- Current value
- $120.18
- Potential payout
- $300.45
- Potential profit
- $180.27
- Multiplier
- 2.50x
- User PnL
- $33.73
Yes position
Will Declan Rice score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $45.45
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $44.55
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $11.55
Rank #11
frozenriver
0x1437...acfe Public @xyzna42
- PnL
- $344.62
- Volume
- $631.55
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $1.57K
- Potential payout
- $1.9K
- Potential profit
- $332.5
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $636.51
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.1%
- Current value
- $1.48K
- Potential payout
- $1.85K
- Potential profit
- $369.58
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $1.45K
Rank #12
Parz1vaI
0xb100...6461 Public @Parz1valPM
- PnL
- $305.21
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $67.55K
- Potential payout
- $67.66K
- Potential profit
- $101.48
- User PnL
- $15.87K
No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $38.39K
- Potential payout
- $38.74K
- Potential profit
- $348.66
- User PnL
- $4.15K
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
No position
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.1%
- Current value
- $8.87K
- Potential payout
- $9.53K
- Potential profit
- $662.39
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $3.77K
No position
Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 72%
- Current value
- $3.02K
- Potential payout
- $4.19K
- Potential profit
- $1.17K
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- $1.05K
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $2.94K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $61.5
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $432.78
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.6%
- Current value
- $2.88K
- Potential payout
- $18.5K
- Potential profit
- $15.62K
- Multiplier
- 6.43x
- User PnL
- -$6.37K
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.1%
- Current value
- $2.85K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $148.49
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $793.7
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $1.57K
- Potential payout
- $1.9K
- Potential profit
- $332.5
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $636.51
Market Context
Live markets traders may be watching
Market Live
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?
Yes7% No93%
Market Live
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?
Yes21.5% No78.5%
Market Soccer Live
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jul 20, 2026
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes6.7% No93.4%
Market Soccer Live
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jul 20, 2026
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes5.7% No94.4%
Market Soccer Live
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jul 20, 2026
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes18.5% No81.6%
Market Live
Will Silver (SI) settle over $85 on the final trading day of June 2026?
Will Silver (SI) settle over $85 on the final trading day of June 2026?
Yes11.5% No88.5%
Market Soccer Live
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jul 20, 2026
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes10.5% No89.6%
Market Live
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $9,300 (HIGH) in December?
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $9,300 (HIGH) in December?
Yes6.4% No93.6%
Market Soccer Live
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jul 20, 2026
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes2.6% No97.5%
Market Soccer Live
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jul 20, 2026
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes13.3% No86.8%
Market Live
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?
Yes12% No88%
Market Soccer Live
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jul 20, 2026
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes10.2% No89.9%