Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $3.43K CULTURE · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $304.72
Potential profit: $304.57
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$7.6

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $260
Potential profit: $259.87
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$33.67

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.77
Potential payout: $511.2
Potential profit: $510.44
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$15.21

If you invest $100 $66.67K back +$66.57K estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

CULTURE leaderboard

Updated 5:56 PM

PnL: $376.79
Volume: $8.94K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $371.46
Volume: $4.44K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $304.72
Potential profit: $304.57
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$7.6

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $260
Potential profit: $259.87
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$33.67

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $356.18
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Mexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$420

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$1.57K

PnL: $350.21
Volume: $1.59K
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.26K
Potential profit: $15.26K
User PnL: -$20.94

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1760-1839 tweets in April 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $640.01
Potential profit: $640.01
User PnL: -$9.81

PnL: $348.74
Volume: $8.01K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $345.49
Volume: $2.94K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 36.2%
Current value: $8.83
Potential payout: $24.41
Potential profit: $15.59
Multiplier: 2.77x
User PnL: $3.82

If you invest $100 $276.63 back +$176.63 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Aric Nesbitt win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $8.31
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.85

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $326.76
Volume: $15.69K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.41K
Potential profit: $1.41K
User PnL: -$12.93

PnL: $319.05
Volume: $1.3K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Carlos Ulberg be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $0.84
Potential payout: $1.04
Potential profit: $0.2
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $0.78

If you invest $100 $124.22 back +$24.22 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Felipe Camarão win the Governor of Maranhão election?

Ends Oct 5, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $0.82
Potential payout: $47
Potential profit: $46.18
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$1.94

If you invest $100 $5.71K back +$5.61K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $319.05
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Daryl Parks win the Tallahassee mayoral election?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 29.1%
Current value: $24.93
Potential payout: $85.69
Potential profit: $60.75
Multiplier: 3.44x
User PnL: $1.11

If you invest $100 $343.64 back +$243.64 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Obama arrested before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $24.79
Potential payout: $612.01
Potential profit: $587.22
Multiplier: 24.69x
User PnL: $0.86

If you invest $100 $2.47K back +$2.37K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $316.56
Volume: $75.04K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $194.5
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $5.5
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $1.5

If you invest $100 $102.83 back +$2.83 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $187.5
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.31K
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: $91.35

If you invest $100 $1.33K back +$1.23K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $307.4
Volume: $17.33K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$38.46

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.8K
Potential profit: $1.8K
User PnL: -$76.44

PnL: $305.63
Volume: $2.16K
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $949.99
Potential profit: $949.99
User PnL: -$28.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will Daryl Parks win the Tallahassee mayoral election?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 29.1%
Current value: $24.93
Potential payout: $85.69
Potential profit: $60.75
Multiplier: 3.44x
User PnL: $1.11

If you invest $100 $343.64 back +$243.64 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Obama arrested before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $24.79
Potential payout: $612.01
Potential profit: $587.22
Multiplier: 24.69x
User PnL: $0.86

If you invest $100 $2.47K back +$2.37K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $24.69
Potential payout: $1.33K
Potential profit: $1.31K
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: $10.01

If you invest $100 $5.41K back +$5.31K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 36.2%
Current value: $8.83
Potential payout: $24.41
Potential profit: $15.59
Multiplier: 2.77x
User PnL: $3.82

If you invest $100 $276.63 back +$176.63 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $7.37
Potential payout: $290.14
Potential profit: $282.77
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: -$3.79

If you invest $100 $3.94K back +$3.84K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Carlos Ulberg be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $0.84
Potential payout: $1.04
Potential profit: $0.2
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $0.78

If you invest $100 $124.22 back +$24.22 estimated profit if it wins

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