Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $20.58K FINANCE · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

Grid view List view

Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

No position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $132.72K
Potential payout: $243.52K
Potential profit: $110.8K
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $23.85K

If you invest $100 $183.49 back +$83.49 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $214.3K
Potential payout: $276.51K
Potential profit: $62.21K
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $5.59K

If you invest $100 $129.03 back +$29.03 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $80.39K
Potential payout: $130.72K
Potential profit: $50.33K
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $3.53K

If you invest $100 $162.6 back +$62.6 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

FINANCE leaderboard

Updated 1:39 PM

PnL: $3.23K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 86.5%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $132.72K
Potential payout: $243.52K
Potential profit: $110.8K
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $23.85K

If you invest $100 $183.49 back +$83.49 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $80.39K
Potential payout: $130.72K
Potential profit: $50.33K
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $3.53K

If you invest $100 $162.6 back +$62.6 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.04K
Volume: $28.11K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Up position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $17.89K
Potential payout: $22.23K
Potential profit: $4.33K
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $4.31K

If you invest $100 $124.22 back +$24.22 estimated profit if it wins

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $4.93K
Potential payout: $6.17K
Potential profit: $1.23K
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $844.93

If you invest $100 $125 back +$25 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.63K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.4%
Current value: $186.5K
Potential payout: $193.57K
Potential profit: $7.07K
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $8.54K

If you invest $100 $103.79 back +$3.79 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 80.3%
Current value: $160.5K
Potential payout: $200K
Potential profit: $39.5K
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $60.5K

If you invest $100 $124.61 back +$24.61 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.44K
Volume: $230.83
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Top Esports win MSI 2026?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $282.99
Potential payout: $292.35
Potential profit: $9.36
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $4.35

If you invest $100 $103.31 back +$3.31 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $277.29
Potential payout: $284.84
Potential profit: $7.55
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $102.57

If you invest $100 $102.72 back +$2.72 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.88K
Volume: $98.83
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 43%
Current value: $5.66K
Potential payout: $13.15K
Potential profit: $7.5K
Multiplier: 2.33x
User PnL: $61.32

If you invest $100 $232.56 back +$132.56 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $2.61K
Potential payout: $9.49K
Potential profit: $6.88K
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$671.4

If you invest $100 $363.64 back +$263.64 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.81K
Volume: $1.03K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?

Ends Oct 28, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $194.05
Potential payout: $195.42
Potential profit: $1.37
User PnL: -$0.39

If you invest $100 $100.7 back +$0.7 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?

Ends Oct 28, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $193.86
Potential payout: $195.42
Potential profit: $1.56
User PnL: -$0.78

If you invest $100 $100.81 back +$0.81 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.58K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $9.55K
Potential payout: $12.02K
Potential profit: $2.46K
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $1.3K

If you invest $100 $125.79 back +$25.79 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.4%
Current value: $2.04K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $7.96K
Multiplier: 4.89x
User PnL: -$280.79

If you invest $100 $489.24 back +$389.24 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.4K
Volume: $5.14K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 17.1%
Current value: $85.6
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $414.4
Multiplier: 5.84x
User PnL: -$81.07

If you invest $100 $584.11 back +$484.11 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Sian Astley win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $64.8
Potential payout: $864
Potential profit: $799.2
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: $47.86

If you invest $100 $1.33K back +$1.23K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.32K
Volume: $607.86
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?

Ends Aug 14, 2026

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $2.02K
Potential payout: $2.22K
Potential profit: $199.58
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $192.2

If you invest $100 $109.89 back +$9.89 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $1.82K
Potential payout: $2.32K
Potential profit: $499.27
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $1.82K

If you invest $100 $127.39 back +$27.39 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.26K
Volume: $3K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $61 Week of June 29 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $999.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $0.5
User PnL: $9.5

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $600
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $6

If you invest $100 $100 back +$0 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.2K
Volume: $157.47
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $423.63K
Potential payout: $426.83K
Potential profit: $3.2K
User PnL: $4.02K

If you invest $100 $100.76 back +$0.76 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $214.3K
Potential payout: $276.51K
Potential profit: $62.21K
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $5.59K

If you invest $100 $129.03 back +$29.03 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.15K
Volume: $32.58K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $4.86K
Potential payout: $6.07K
Potential profit: $1.21K
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $1.4K

If you invest $100 $125 back +$25 estimated profit if it wins

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.93K
Potential payout: $2.93K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.12K

If you invest $100 $100 back +$0 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $132.72K
Potential payout: $243.52K
Potential profit: $110.8K
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $23.85K

If you invest $100 $183.49 back +$83.49 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $80.39K
Potential payout: $130.72K
Potential profit: $50.33K
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $3.53K

If you invest $100 $162.6 back +$62.6 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 93.6%
Current value: $50.33K
Potential payout: $53.8K
Potential profit: $3.47K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $1.1K

If you invest $100 $106.89 back +$6.89 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $44.11K
Potential payout: $48.73K
Potential profit: $4.63K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $4.04K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

Up position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $17.89K
Potential payout: $22.23K
Potential profit: $4.33K
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $4.31K

If you invest $100 $124.22 back +$24.22 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $9.55K
Potential payout: $12.02K
Potential profit: $2.46K
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $1.3K

If you invest $100 $125.79 back +$25.79 estimated profit if it wins

Market Context

Live markets traders may be watching

Browse all markets

Market context is temporarily unavailable

Trader intelligence is still available above.