Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $95.79K FINANCE · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.7%
Current value: $159.3K
Potential payout: $200K
Potential profit: $40.7K
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $59.3K

If you invest $100 $125.55 back +$25.55 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $374.56K
Potential payout: $396.36K
Potential profit: $21.8K
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $49.73K

If you invest $100 $105.82 back +$5.82 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.4%
Current value: $287.46K
Potential payout: $304.68K
Potential profit: $17.21K
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $7.35K

If you invest $100 $105.99 back +$5.99 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

FINANCE leaderboard

Updated 9:56 PM

PnL: $34.65K
Volume: $28.43K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $58.58
Potential payout: $452.37
Potential profit: $393.79
Multiplier: 7.72x
User PnL: $35.96

If you invest $100 $772.2 back +$672.2 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $55.83
Potential payout: $56
Potential profit: $0.17
User PnL: -$0.04

If you invest $100 $100.3 back +$0.3 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $10.9K
Volume: $57.83K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $14.93K
Potential payout: $14.93K
Potential profit: $7.47
User PnL: $11.84K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $4.99K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: $715

If you invest $100 $100.2 back +$0.2 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $10.09K
Volume: $16.63K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $13.23K
Potential payout: $13.69K
Potential profit: $458.57
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $3.34K

If you invest $100 $103.47 back +$3.47 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $12.69K
Potential payout: $20.98K
Potential profit: $8.29K
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $1.22K

If you invest $100 $165.29 back +$65.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $9.03K
Volume: $20.03K
Win rate: 60%
Open positions: 3

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $7.85K
Potential payout: $7.86K
Potential profit: $3.93
User PnL: $4.89K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $95
Potential profit: $94.95
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$32.25

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.94K
Volume: $20.86K
Win rate: 74%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 70%
Current value: $8.75K
Potential payout: $12.5K
Potential profit: $3.75K
Multiplier: 1.43x
User PnL: $1.54K

If you invest $100 $142.86 back +$42.86 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $8.23K
Potential payout: $9K
Potential profit: $764.97
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $1.86K

If you invest $100 $109.29 back +$9.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.85K
Volume: $4.41K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $374.56K
Potential payout: $396.36K
Potential profit: $21.8K
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $49.73K

If you invest $100 $105.82 back +$5.82 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $12.28K
Potential payout: $13.42K
Potential profit: $1.14K
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $3.32K

If you invest $100 $109.29 back +$9.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.17K
Volume: $7.89K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $2K
Potential payout: $2.03K
Potential profit: $29.4
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.89K

If you invest $100 $101.47 back +$1.47 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $1.9K
Potential payout: $1.91K
Potential profit: $4.77
User PnL: $1.78K

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.04K
Volume: $3K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 91.1%
Current value: $36.42K
Potential payout: $40K
Potential profit: $3.58K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $592.8

If you invest $100 $109.83 back +$9.83 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $8.84K
Potential payout: $9K
Potential profit: $157.5
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $267.06

If you invest $100 $101.78 back +$1.78 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.62K
Volume: $36.72K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $64.48K
Potential payout: $64.64K
Potential profit: $161.61
User PnL: $176.34

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $27.97K
Potential payout: $28.1K
Potential profit: $126.44
User PnL: $19.08

If you invest $100 $100.45 back +$0.45 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.5K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.4%
Current value: $287.46K
Potential payout: $304.68K
Potential profit: $17.21K
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $7.35K

If you invest $100 $105.99 back +$5.99 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.7%
Current value: $159.3K
Potential payout: $200K
Potential profit: $40.7K
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $59.3K

If you invest $100 $125.55 back +$25.55 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.46K
Volume: $85.29K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.93K
Potential payout: $2.93K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.12K

If you invest $100 $100 back +$0 estimated profit if it wins

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.48K
Potential payout: $2.48K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.31K

If you invest $100 $100 back +$0 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.01K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $7.87K
Potential payout: $10.16K
Potential profit: $2.29K
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $5.32K

If you invest $100 $129.03 back +$29.03 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.7%
Current value: $5.72K
Potential payout: $5.98K
Potential profit: $260.09
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $257.45

If you invest $100 $104.55 back +$4.55 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 91.1%
Current value: $36.42K
Potential payout: $40K
Potential profit: $3.58K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $592.8

If you invest $100 $109.83 back +$9.83 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $13.23K
Potential payout: $13.69K
Potential profit: $458.57
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $3.34K

If you invest $100 $103.47 back +$3.47 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $12.69K
Potential payout: $20.98K
Potential profit: $8.29K
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $1.22K

If you invest $100 $165.29 back +$65.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $12.28K
Potential payout: $13.42K
Potential profit: $1.14K
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $3.32K

If you invest $100 $109.29 back +$9.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 91.2%
Current value: $11.8K
Potential payout: $12.94K
Potential profit: $1.14K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $5.57K

If you invest $100 $109.65 back +$9.65 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 70%
Current value: $9.32K
Potential payout: $13.31K
Potential profit: $3.99K
Multiplier: 1.43x
User PnL: $1.34K

If you invest $100 $142.86 back +$42.86 estimated profit if it wins

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